Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:55

Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap

Date 2025-02-15

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 13.14s (slow by 2.74s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Beale Street (GB) David Nolan · Bryan Smart	100/30F	Won
2nd	Monks Dream (IRE) Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	4/1	.5
3rd	Sibyl Charm (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	8/1	2.25
4th	Strong Power (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	14/1	.75
5th	Dark Kestrel (IRE) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	11/2	0.2
6th	Novak (GB) Mohammed Tabti · Iain Jardine	17/2	.75
7th	Ormolulu (IRE) Rowan Scott · Gemma Tutty	11/2	1.5
8th	Biplane (USA) Paul Mulrennan · John Wainwright	10/1	1.5
9th	Parisiac (IRE) Joe Fanning · Iain Jardine	16/1	1.25
10th	Neapolitan (FR) Alex Jary · Antony Brittain	66/1	0.3

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (9)	Beale Street Bay J:David Nolan T:Bryan Smart	J:David Nolan T:Bryan Smart	130	—	1415-3	73	91	82	35d	—	—	-6	14.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
2 C&D wins this winter; close up in small field here last month; should remain competitive
4 (5)	Dark Kestrel Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	133	t	4-3243	76	88	79	7d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	-4	10.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Comes here in good order but the return to 6f needs to spark some improvement
5 (11)	Monks Dream Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	132	—	0050-7	75	83	60	21d	—	—	-3	9.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Two course wins as a 2yo; should be sharper for last month's return; not ruled out
6 (4)	Novak Grey J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	130	—	8-1424	73	90	82	14d	—	—	-2	8.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Conditions suit but he's 0-10 when tried above Class 5 level
12 (10)	Sibyl Charm Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	123	—	096-76	66	88	60	15d	—	—	-4	7.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Dangerous mark and should be at peak fitness after two runs back from a break; considered
1 (12)	Ormolulu Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	137	—	1-1927	80	86	81	8d	—	—	+8	17.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Three Southwell wins (6f) this winter; often slowly away, markedly so last week; risky
10 (1)	Biplane Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	128	p	8-3412	71	90	70	9d	—	—	-1	7.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Comes here in top form but creeping up the weights and back against males this time
7 (6)	Strong Power Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	130	—	2903-4	73	89	68	29d	—	—	+1	7.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Has been smart on AW; more realistically treated now and holds each-way claims
11 (8)	Parisiac Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Iain Jardine	J:Joe Fanning T:Iain Jardine	127	p	592-58	70	90	85	21d	—	—	0	6.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not at his best the last twice and others bring more pressing claims
9 (7)	Neapolitan Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Antony Brittain	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Antony Brittain	129	t	500-75	72	85	43	13d	—	—	+4	6.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Yet to shine for new yard; dropping down the weights but others have stronger claims
NR (3)	Cargin Bhui Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:David & Nicola Barron	J:NON-RUNNER T:David & Nicola Barron	137	—	25723-	80	-	-	244d	—	—	—	15	—	—
Lightly raced 4yo; absent since June but could have best days ahead of him; interesting
NR (2)	Brazilian Rose Bay J:TBC T:Rebecca Menzies	J: T:Rebecca Menzies	135	—	8-1113	78	92	71	25d	—	—	—	7	—	—
Recorded a C&D hat-trick last month; only just failed over 7f latest; now 5lb higher

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Beale Street	3/1	10/3	11/4	10/3	10/3
Dark Kestrel	11/2	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Monks Dream	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Novak	7/1	8/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Sibyl Charm	11/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	11/2
Ormolulu	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2
Biplane	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Strong Power	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	11/1
Parisiac	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Neapolitan	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Cargin Bhui	-	-	-	-	-
Brazilian Rose	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ormolulu

17.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

8/1

2nd

Cargin Bhui

OR: 7.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Beale Street

14.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Dark Kestrel

10.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Monks Dream

9.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Novak

8.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Strong Power

7.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Biplane

7.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Sibyl Charm

7.3

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Brazilian Rose

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Parisiac

6.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Neapolitan

6.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ormolulu	80	86	81
Cargin Bhui	80	—	—
Brazilian Rose	78	92	71
Dark Kestrel	76	88	79
Monks Dream	75	83	60
Beale Street	73	91	82
Novak	73	90	82
Strong Power	73	89	68
Neapolitan	72	85	43
Biplane	71	90	70
Parisiac	70	90	85
Sibyl Charm	66	88	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dark Kestrel	7d ago	Quick return
Ormolulu	8d ago	Quick return
Biplane	9d ago	Quick return
Neapolitan	13d ago	Quick return
Novak	14d ago	Fit
Sibyl Charm	15d ago	Fit
Monks Dream	21d ago	Fit
Parisiac	21d ago	Fit
Brazilian Rose	25d ago	Fit
Strong Power	29d ago	Fit
Beale Street	35d ago	Fit
Cargin Bhui	244d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.