Aston Villa Foundation Handicap Hurdle – Warwick

Warwick

3:10

Aston Villa Foundation Handicap Hurdle

Date 2025-02-21

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,753

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3	Casi Crudo b J:Kielan Woods T:Alex Hales	J:Kielan Woods T:Alex Hales	165	—	22-0U2	105	113	69	13d	—	—	-1	19.9	10/3 23%
Clearly retains ability after finishing second over C&D 13 days ago
1	Chicago Storm b J:Mr Robbie David(7) T:Daisy Hitchins	J:Mr Robbie David(7) T:Daisy Hitchins	168	—	6-0012	108	112	101	15d	—	—	+4	18.9	9/2 18%
Went up 8lb for Wincanton but still ran well at Huntingdon when he stumbled late on
2	Lightning Flash b J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	166	—	-15208	106	108	52	79d	—	—	+11	21.6	7/1 13%
Lost his way in France but only last year he was running well for this yard
6	Risk d'Argent gr J:Jonathan Burke T:Alastair Ralph	J:Jonathan Burke T:Alastair Ralph	163	—	45P-35	103	112	80	14d	—	—	+5	16.6	7/1 13%
He was only beaten 3l at Bangor (2m, soft) despite some mistakes
8	Another Fine Mess gr J:Bryan Carver T:Jeremy Scott	J:Bryan Carver T:Jeremy Scott	160	h	476-4F	100	100	20	36d	—	—	+5	15.4	15/2 12%
17-2 for h'cap debut only to fall 3 out; unable to see how well he was going due to fog
5	Jafimgoso b J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	163	—	-24B07	103	108	75	71d	—	—	+8	16.5	10/1 9%
Not progressing but in top hands and now goes handicapping after a break
10	Seraphic b J:Richie McLernon T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	J:Richie McLernon T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	153	—	PP5-46	93	106	86	—	—	—	+6	12.7	12/1 8%
Infrequent winner under both codes and probably wants drier ground; new yard
7	Ted's Friend b J:Max Kendrick T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Max Kendrick T:Fergal O'Brien	162	t	P42320	102	110	90	17d	—	—	+15	21.4	12/1 8%
Has the form to feature off this mark but long time since he ran over 2m
4	Kourosh b J:Lilly Pinchin T:Henry Oliver	J:Lilly Pinchin T:Henry Oliver	165	h	P-P6P3	105	110	67	28d	—	—	+9	15.5	16/1 6%
Held off a strong pace when third at Sandown so might be a shade flattered
11	Culligran gr J:David Noonan T:John O'Shea	J:David Noonan T:John O'Shea	149	—	331530	89	110	99	21d	—	—	+12	16.8	16/1 6%
Only 1-9 over hurdles but has been reliable since sent handicapping; excuses last time
9	Cawthorne Banker b J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	153	—	450708	93	110	81	17d	—	—	+8	11.7	28/1 3%
He's out of form and there was no sign of turning a corner at Market Rasen
12	Majestic Mia b J:Richard Patrick T:Christian Williams	J:Richard Patrick T:Christian Williams	147	—	F-575	87	100	69	18d	—	—	+7	10	50/1 2%
Handicap debutante; pedigree suggests that she'll need further than this

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Casi Crudo	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	3/1
Chicago Storm	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Lightning Flash	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Risk d'Argent	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Another Fine Mess	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Jafimgoso	9/1	10/1	9/1	17/2	17/2
Seraphic	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Ted's Friend	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Kourosh	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	11/1
Culligran	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Cawthorne Banker	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1	22/1
Majestic Mia	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lightning Flash

21.6

OR: 14 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

2nd

Ted's Friend

21.4

OR: 13 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

3rd

Casi Crudo

19.9

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Chicago Storm

18.9

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Culligran

16.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 5.7 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Risk d'Argent

16.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Jafimgoso

16.5

OR: 13.3 Form: 1 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Kourosh

15.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Another Fine Mess

15.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Seraphic

12.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Cawthorne Banker

11.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Majestic Mia

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Chicago Storm Top Rated	108	112	101
Lightning Flash	106	108	52
Casi Crudo	105	113	69
Kourosh	105	110	67
Risk d'Argent	103	112	80
Jafimgoso	103	108	75
Ted's Friend	102	110	90
Another Fine Mess	100	100	20
Seraphic	93	106	86
Cawthorne Banker	93	110	81
Culligran	89	110	99
Majestic Mia	87	100	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Casi Crudo	13d ago	Quick return
Risk d'Argent	14d ago	Fit
Chicago Storm	15d ago	Fit
Ted's Friend	17d ago	Fit
Cawthorne Banker	17d ago	Fit
Majestic Mia	18d ago	Fit
Culligran	21d ago	Fit
Kourosh	28d ago	Fit
Another Fine Mess	36d ago	Fit
Jafimgoso	71d ago	Fresh
Lightning Flash	79d ago	Fresh
Seraphic	—	—