Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:22

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-03-04

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 28.94s (slow by 5.14s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Manton Road (GB) Luke Morris · Gay Kelleway	3/1F	Won
2nd	Bantz (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · Gemma Tutty	5/1	.75
3rd	Harry Palmer (GB) Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	16/5	5
4th	What What What (GB) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	7/1	1.5
5th	Sweet Cicely (GB) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	10/1	0.3
6th	Flamborough Head (GB) Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	10/1	1
7th	Falaise Blanc (FR) Billy Loughnane · Katie Scott	7/1	.5
8th	I Can Boogy (GB) Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler	25/1	1.25
9th	Lilchita (GB) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	100/1	5.5
10th	Brown Gold (GB) Mark Winn · John Norton	150/1	24

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (9)	Manton Road Bay J:Luke Morris T:Gay Kelleway	J:Luke Morris T:Gay Kelleway	136	b	113251	60	66	56	6d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+2	24.6	0.75/1	3/1 25%
6lb penalty will make life tougher but he's fine on Tapeta and has to enter the equation
7 (7)	Harry Palmer Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	130	—	0865-	54	64	23	168d	—	—	-13	6.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Stable going well of late but he'll need to be more professional back from a layoff
6 (8)	Falaise Blanc Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Katie Scott	J:Billy Loughnane T:Katie Scott	130	—	63724-	54	65	42	88d	—	—	-6	9.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won't mind the drop from 1m and Billy Loughnane is a positive booking back from a break
2 (1)	Bantz Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Gemma Tutty	135	—	-93173	59	67	46	18d	—	—	+1	15.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Some way behind Manton Road latest but is 9lb better off today, which gives him claims
5 (2)	What What What Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	131	—	804-32	55	65	54	31d	—	—	-7	4.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Can pull hard; the hood comes off as he goes up in trip, so there are risks involved
3 (4)	Sweet Cicely Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	134	v	72-456	58	64	60	17d	—	—	-4	4.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has gone backwards since handicapping and is tried in first-time headgear today
4 (6)	Flamborough Head Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	133	—	98-8	57	59	12	49d	—	—	-4	4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Needs to improve off this mark and also needs to settle better back from seven weeks off
8 (5)	I Can Boogy Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	124	—	0778-	48	63	-	207d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-3	1.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Not obviously fancied back from seven months off unless the market says otherwise
9 (10)	Lilchita Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	122	—	6607-	46	63	29	161d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Started 125-1 for her nursery debut when last seen; can't be recommended
10 (3)	Brown Gold Bay J:Mark Winn T:John Norton	J:Mark Winn T:John Norton	121	—	0770-8	45	57	42	43d	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Big prices and well beaten all starts, again finishing last behind Manton Road in January

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Manton Road	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1
Harry Palmer	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Falaise Blanc	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Bantz	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
What What What	7/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Sweet Cicely	10/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Flamborough Head	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
I Can Boogy	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Lilchita	100/1	80/1	100/1	80/1	80/1
Brown Gold	250/1	150/1	200/1	125/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Manton Road

24.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 15.4 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Bantz

15.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 8.9 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Falaise Blanc

9.8

OR: 1 Form: 4.4 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Harry Palmer

6.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Sweet Cicely

4.5

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

11/1

What What What

4.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Flamborough Head

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

I Can Boogy

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Lilchita

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Brown Gold

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Manton Road	60	66	56
Bantz	59	67	46
Sweet Cicely	58	64	60
Flamborough Head	57	59	12
What What What	55	65	54
Harry Palmer	54	64	23
Falaise Blanc	54	65	42
I Can Boogy	48	63	—
Lilchita	46	63	29
Brown Gold	45	57	42

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Manton Road	6d ago	Quick return
Sweet Cicely	17d ago	Fit
Bantz	18d ago	Fit
What What What	31d ago	Fit
Brown Gold	43d ago	Fit
Flamborough Head	49d ago	Fresh
Falaise Blanc	88d ago	Fresh
Lilchita	161d ago	Long break
Harry Palmer	168d ago	Long break
I Can Boogy	207d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.