Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Fillies' Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:15

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Fillies' Handicap

Date 2025-03-11

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 14.96s (slow by 2.76s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Powdering (IRE) Joanna Mason · Michael Herrington	13/8F	Won
2nd	Ormolulu (IRE) Warren Fentiman · Gemma Tutty	9/4	.75
3rd	Mersea (FR) Sean D Bowen · Grant Tuer	4/1	.75
4th	The Real McKay (IRE) Connor Planas · Michael Herrington	14/1	1.75
5th	Elegant Erin (IRE) David Nolan · Paul Midgley	9/1	.5
6th	Just A Spark (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Rod Millman	11/1	4.25

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Powdering Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Herrington	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Herrington	130	—	562-19	78	93	72	17d	—	—	-14	16.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Easy 7f win here last month; met trouble latest; drop to 6f not sure to suit
2 (6)	Ormolulu Bay J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:Gemma Tutty	134	—	192771	82	94	84	18d	—	—	+4	26.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Four C&D wins since December; still feasibly treated but wouldn't want a tactical event
5 (4)	Mersea Bay J:Sean D Bowen T:Grant Tuer	J:Sean D Bowen T:Grant Tuer	122	—	0455-1	70	89	61	12d	—	—	+2	20.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Sprung a 50-1 surprise on return to action 12 days ago (6f, Tapeta); 2lb rise manageable
6 (1)	The Real McKay Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Michael Herrington	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Michael Herrington	117	t	0107-4	65	88	76	33d	—	—	-2	6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Unexposed C&D winner; starts out for a new yard off a fair mark; yard run two
1 (3)	Elegant Erin Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	135	—	1651-5	83	92	66	19d	—	—	+3	10.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Best known for 5f exploits these days; down in grade but others appeal more at the trip
4 (5)	Just A Spark Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	124	b	99-958	72	87	59	24d	—	—	+1	7.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Out of sorts this winter; blinkers now reached for; too much to prove

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Powdering	7/4	13/8	7/4
Ormolulu	11/4	11/4	11/4
Mersea	7/2	7/2	7/2
The Real McKay	9/1	9/1	9/1
Elegant Erin	11/1	10/1	10/1
Just A Spark	12/1	12/1	12/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ormolulu

26.2

OR: 8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Mersea

20.2

OR: 5 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Powdering

16.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

7/4

Elegant Erin

10.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Just A Spark

7.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

The Real McKay

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

9/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Elegant Erin	83	92	66
Ormolulu	82	94	84
Powdering	78	93	72
Just A Spark	72	87	59
Mersea	70	89	61
The Real McKay	65	88	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mersea	12d ago	Quick return
Powdering	17d ago	Fit
Ormolulu	18d ago	Fit
Elegant Erin	19d ago	Fit
Just A Spark	24d ago	Fit
The Real McKay	33d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.