BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

20:00

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2025-03-18

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 13.83s (slow by 1.93s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Rumba Bay (GB) Rossa Ryan · David Evans	11/4F	Won
2nd	Woodhay Whisper (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Max Young	20/1	.5
3rd	Trust Sergei (GB) Sean D Bowen · Gary Hanmer	22/1	1.25
4th	Elland Road Girl (GB) Alfie Redman · Mike Murphy	66/1	.5
5th	Royal Accord (GB) Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	7/2	0.2
6th	Hala Joza (GB) Hollie Doyle · Martin Dunne	33/1	.75
7th	Freak Encounter (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	11/2	.5
8th	Bank On Kent (GB) P J McDonald · David Evans	15/2	3.25
9th	College Witch (GB) Joe Bradnam · Christine Dunnett	33/1	0.3
10th	Due Respect (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · John Butler	10/1	2.5
11th	Causin A Commotion (IRE) Oisin McSweeney · Kevin Ryan	4/1	2.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Rumba Bay Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	135	—	70-613	55	61	55	20d	—	—	-16	8.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
First and a close third on last two outings, both from rear over 7f on Polytrack
2 (4)	Royal Accord Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	135	—	5544-7	55	60	18	28d	—	—	-13	7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Favourite for yard debut here (6f) last month, having been gelded, only to blow the start
5 (5)	Causin A Commotion Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Kevin Ryan	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Kevin Ryan	135	tp	9-3314	55	59	54	6d	—	—	-11	6.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Two Wolverhampton wins this winter; no room in closing stages at Newcastle six days ago
1 (1)	Bank On Kent Bay J:P J McDonald T:David Evans	J:P J McDonald T:David Evans	135	—	-56413	55	64	62	10d	—	—	+3	14.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
14th attempt when off mark at Southwell (6f); creditable third here (5f) eight days later
11 (10)	Freak Encounter Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	129	b	-15835	49	64	60	20d	—	—	-4	7.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
1m win in January with first blinkers; free-going front-runner this year at 1m/7f
9 (6)	Due Respect Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	130	—	670-48	50	58	56	18d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Yet to threaten seriously but with trouble in running for new yard; needs a second look
6 (9)	Woodhay Whisper Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Max Young	J:Billy Loughnane T:Max Young	134	h	54-735	54	60	57	22d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-3	2.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Drawn wide on what's only her second race over this far, after a modest show last October
10 (3)	Trust Sergei Chestnut J:Sean D Bowen T:Gary Hanmer	J:Sean D Bowen T:Gary Hanmer	130	—	7-09	50	57	36	22d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
No solid claims but now he makes his handicap debut
12 (8)	Hala Joza Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Martin Dunne	J:Hollie Doyle T:Martin Dunne	129	—	689-8	49	61	37	10d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Caught the eye of the Stewards when never dangerous over 5f here on recent stable debut
7 (11)	College Witch Bay J:Joe Bradnam(7) T:Christine Dunnett	J:Joe Bradnam(7) T:Christine Dunnett	134	—	0-796	54	62	59	18d	—	—	-1	1.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Late gains in handicap debut at Southwell (6f) when 2l 6th of ten after trouble in running
4 (7)	Elland Road Girl Bay J:Alfie Redman(7) T:Mike Murphy	J:Alfie Redman(7) T:Mike Murphy	135	t	548-7	55	63	45	22d	—	—	-1	2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
7th of eight on handicap debut for new connections here (5f; 20-1, tongue tied first time)
NR (12)	Rhodes Royce Bay J:Luke Morris T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Luke Morris T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	132	—	678	52	57	15	21d	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Handicap debut should be much more realistic and she needs a close look at in the betting

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Rumba Bay	11/4	5/2	5/2	11/4	11/4
Royal Accord	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	10/3
Causin A Commotion	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	10/3
Bank On Kent	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Freak Encounter	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	6/1
Due Respect	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1
Woodhay Whisper	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Trust Sergei	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Hala Joza	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
College Witch	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	22/1
Elland Road Girl	50/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	28/1
Rhodes Royce	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bank On Kent

14.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Rumba Bay

8.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Freak Encounter

7.2

OR: 0 Form: 4.1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Royal Accord

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Causin A Commotion

6.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Woodhay Whisper

2.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Elland Road Girl

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Due Respect

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

College Witch

1.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Hala Joza

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Trust Sergei

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Rhodes Royce

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rumba Bay	55	61	55
Royal Accord	55	60	18
Causin A Commotion	55	59	54
Bank On Kent	55	64	62
Elland Road Girl	55	63	45
Woodhay Whisper	54	60	57
College Witch	54	62	59
Rhodes Royce	52	57	15
Due Respect	50	58	56
Trust Sergei	50	57	36
Freak Encounter	49	64	60
Hala Joza	49	61	37

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Causin A Commotion	6d ago	Quick return
Bank On Kent	10d ago	Quick return
Hala Joza	10d ago	Quick return
Due Respect	18d ago	Fit
College Witch	18d ago	Fit
Rumba Bay	20d ago	Fit
Freak Encounter	20d ago	Fit
Rhodes Royce	21d ago	Fit
Woodhay Whisper	22d ago	Fit
Trust Sergei	22d ago	Fit
Elland Road Girl	22d ago	Fit
Royal Accord	28d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Freak Encounter	Front Runner
Rumba Bay	Hold Up
Causin A Commotion	Hold Up
Trust Sergei	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 4 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.