Bloomfields Horseboxes Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:52

Bloomfields Horseboxes Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2025-04-20

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,888

Winning Time 1m 44.05s (slow by 6.35s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Arctic Grey (IRE) Pat Dobbs · Richard Hannon	14/1	Won
2nd	Nebras (GB) Hollie Doyle · John & Thady Gosden	2/7F	0.3
3rd	Rogue Millions (GB) Harry Davies · James Owen	5/1	1.25
4th	Typhoon Dancer (GB) Luke Morris · Archie Watson	12/1	1.75
5th	San Munoz (GB) Jonny Peate · Jane Chapple-Hyam	20/1	2.5
6th	Man Of Desert (GB) Aidan Keeley · Chris Dwyer	14/1	2.25
7th	Blackwaterfoot (USA) William Cox · Paul Attwater	100/1	1.5
8th	Waiting For Tom (GB) Alec Voikhansky · Kevin Frost	150/1	10

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Nebras Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Hollie Doyle T:John & Thady Gosden	135	—	17-	99	89	-	176d	—	—	-26	39.3	0.06/1	1/4 80%
Newmarket maiden winner on debut; seventh in Group 1 three weeks later; golden opportunity
6 (1)	Rogue Millions Bay J:Harry Davies T:James Owen	J:Harry Davies T:James Owen	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
130,000gns yearling; dam a Group 2 winner; entered in the Derby; check the betting
5 (6)	Arctic Grey Grey J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
80,000gns yearling; dam a well-related 6f winner; tackles a smart opponent on debut
2 (7)	Man Of Desert Bay J:Aidan Keeley T:Chris Dwyer	J:Aidan Keeley T:Chris Dwyer	142	—	6-	-	66	-	284d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Half-brother to a Derby winner; shaped nicely on sole 3yo run; each-way shout
8 (8)	Typhoon Dancer Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Bred to be useful on AW but this isn't an easy starting point
7 (3)	San Munoz Bay J:Jonny Peate T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Jonny Peate T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	—	48-	-	64	39	164d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Some promise in two runs last autumn but plenty more needed to take this; has been gelded
1 (2)	Blackwaterfoot Bay J:William Cox T:Paul Attwater	J:William Cox T:Paul Attwater	142	—	5-7	-	61	29	68d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Some promise in two AW runs but improvement necessary if he's to make a significant impact
3 (5)	Waiting For Tom Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Kevin Frost	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Kevin Frost	142	—	40-	-	17	-	206d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Two heavy defeats over further last September; can't be recommended

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Nebras	1/4	2/9	2/9
Rogue Millions	6/1	5/1	5/1
Arctic Grey	18/1	16/1	16/1
Man Of Desert	18/1	14/1	14/1
Typhoon Dancer	20/1	18/1	16/1
San Munoz	20/1	18/1	18/1
Blackwaterfoot	100/1	66/1	66/1
Waiting For Tom	200/1	100/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Nebras

39.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 7 Odds: 20

1/4

2nd

Rogue Millions

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

3rd

Man Of Desert

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Arctic Grey

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

San Munoz

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Typhoon Dancer

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Blackwaterfoot

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Waiting For Tom

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nebras	99	89	—
Rogue Millions	—	—	—
Arctic Grey	—	—	—
Man Of Desert	—	66	—
Typhoon Dancer	—	—	—
San Munoz	—	64	39
Blackwaterfoot	—	61	29
Waiting For Tom	—	17	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blackwaterfoot	68d ago	Fresh
San Munoz	164d ago	Long break
Nebras	176d ago	Long break
Waiting For Tom	206d ago	Long break
Man Of Desert	284d ago	Long break
Rogue Millions	—	—
Arctic Grey	—	—
Typhoon Dancer	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.