Virgin Bet Handicap (London Stayers' Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

6:20

Date 2025-04-21

Distance 1m7f218y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (8)	Believitanducan b J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	134	—	/3221-	71	81	-	—	—	—	-2	33.6	6/4 40%
Won a couple of juvenile hurdles; relatively unexposed on the Flat; goes on the shortlist
1 (7)	Cinnodin b J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	140	b	24-771	75	81	67	14d	—	—	-5	10.7	5/1 17%
Two wins and a second from three runs over C&D; this mark is within range for in-form yard
7 (4)	Legacy Power b J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	134	—	8125-5	69	84	44	26d	—	—	-5	8.8	11/2 15%
Market spoke his way on comeback and that has to go down as disappointing; bit to prove
2 (9)	Grey Fox gr J:David Probert T:Emma Lavelle	J:David Probert T:Emma Lavelle	137	t	4062-1	72	81	59	26d	—	—	+6	19.5	6/1 14%
Spent most of career racing at around 1m; won well on comeback over 2m here last month
4 (2)	Moel Arthur b J:Callum Shepherd T:Brett Johnson	J:Callum Shepherd T:Brett Johnson	135	t	57-149	70	80	63	51d	—	—	-1	7.4	16/1 6%
Has run well over C&D before but others have more pressing claims back from a short break
5 (1)	Orchestra b J:Kieran Shoemark T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Fergal O'Brien	135	tp	4/7-24	70	81	37	54d	—	—	-1	7.5	14/1 7%
Not allowed his own way over C&D last time; one to consider for a yard among the winners
3 (3)	Tradesman b J:Taryn Langley(7) T:David Simcock	J:Taryn Langley(7) T:David Simcock	137	b	-6642R	72	82	56	38d	—	—	+3	9.1	18/1 5%
Capable off this mark but a lot will hinge on his mood and how he handles the stalls
8 (5)	Alex The Great gr J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tony Carroll	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tony Carroll	130	t	413162	65	79	73	21d	—	—	+12	18.3	18/1 5%
Done well since wind surgery and back to form last time; this company is a bit stronger
9 (6)	French Martini b J:Ashley Lewis(7) T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Ashley Lewis(7) T:Gary & Josh Moore	125	ht	3241-V	60	79	-	24d	—	—	-1	3.7	22/1 4%
11-1 for the the voided Lingfield 0-60 handicap on her return 24 days ago; market useful
10 (10)	Blenheim Lad b J:Kieran O'Neill T:Camilla Poulton	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Camilla Poulton	124	—	05115-	59	78	72	160d	—	—	+13	14.8	66/1 1%
Not achieved much in three runs on Polytrack; needs career-best back from five months off

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Believitanducan	11/8	6/4	11/8	11/8	5/4
Cinnodin	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1
Legacy Power	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1
Grey Fox	6/1	6/1	5/1	6/1	5/1
Moel Arthur	14/1	14/1	11/1	16/1	14/1
Orchestra	14/1	14/1	11/1	14/1	11/1
Tradesman	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Alex The Great	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
French Martini	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Blenheim Lad	66/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Believitanducan

33.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 16.9 Odds: 11.4

6/4

2nd

Grey Fox

19.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Alex The Great

18.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 12.9 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Blenheim Lad

14.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 12 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Cinnodin

10.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Tradesman

9.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Legacy Power

8.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Orchestra

7.5

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

14/1

Moel Arthur

7.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

16/1

French Martini

3.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cinnodin Top Rated	75	81	67
Grey Fox	72	81	59
Tradesman	72	82	56
Believitanducan	71	81	—
Moel Arthur	70	80	63
Orchestra	70	81	37
Legacy Power	69	84	44
Alex The Great	65	79	73
French Martini	60	79	—
Blenheim Lad	59	78	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cinnodin	14d ago	Fit
Alex The Great	21d ago	Fit
French Martini	24d ago	Fit
Legacy Power	26d ago	Fit
Grey Fox	26d ago	Fit
Tradesman	38d ago	Fit
Moel Arthur	51d ago	Fresh
Orchestra	54d ago	Fresh
Blenheim Lad	160d ago	Long break
Believitanducan	—	—