Neil Tomlinson Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

16:10

Neil Tomlinson Handicap

Date 2025-05-01

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,978

Winning Time 1m 41.29s (slow by 3.59s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Down To The Kid (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Michael Herrington	7/4F	Won
2nd	Harswell Duke (IRE) Billy Garritty · Liam Bailey	40/1	2
3rd	Milteye (GB) Cam Hardie · Harriet Bethell	7/2	0.1
4th	Panama City (GB) Harry Burns · Ian McInnes	16/1	0.3
5th	Dawn Of Liberation (IRE) Tommie Jakes · Ruth Carr	11/2	.75
6th	Distinction (IRE) P J McDonald · John Mackie	16/1	1
7th	Jack Daniel (IRE) David Probert · Steph Hollinshead	9/2	4.25
8th	Love Your Work (IRE) Pat Cosgrave · Darryll Holland	12/1	0.3
9th	Apache Canyon (IRE) Ben Sanderson · Louise Allan	80/1	22

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Down To The Kid Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Michael Herrington	J:Richard Kingscote T:Michael Herrington	135	—	-02211	69	83	60	27d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	+1	37.2	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Arrives on hat-trick after C&D wins; multiple course winner merits serious consideration
2 (5)	Milteye Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Harriet Bethell	J:Cam Hardie T:Harriet Bethell	133	—	8/87-2	67	83	-	23d	—	—	-3	14.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Back to form for new yard with Pontefract second 23 days ago; can go well again
9 (3)	Jack Daniel Bay J:David Probert T:Steph Hollinshead	J:David Probert T:Steph Hollinshead	125	—	/9-042	59	82	75	23d	—	—	-9	6.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Excellent C&D second for new yard last month; a likely player off just a 1lb higher mark
4 (1)	Dawn Of Liberation Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Ruth Carr	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Ruth Carr	131	p	56-806	65	84	60	18d	—	—	-5	7.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
On losing run but hinted at revival with Musselburgh sixth latest; can make presence felt
3 (9)	Love Your Work Chestnut J:Pat Cosgrave T:Darryll Holland	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Darryll Holland	132	—	581707	66	80	59	16d	—	—	+2	9.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Not discredited when seventh at Kempton 16 days ago; considered in bid for sixth C&D win
7 (4)	Distinction Bay J:P J McDonald T:John Mackie	J:P J McDonald T:John Mackie	128	v	-44783	62	82	72	33d	—	—	+1	7.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Back on track when third at Doncaster 33 days ago; must enter calculations
6 (6)	Panama City Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Ian McInnes	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Ian McInnes	129	t	310-20	63	79	68	7d	—	—	0	4.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Good C&D second but last at Beverley a week ago; needs considering back here, however
5 (8)	Harswell Duke Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	130	—	85859-	64	78	-	198d	—	—	0	4.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Beat only one at Leicester last October; needs to hit ground running on his return
8 (7)	Apache Canyon Bay J:Ben Sanderson T:Louise Allan	J:Ben Sanderson T:Louise Allan	127	—	51700-	61	79	72	123d	—	—	+4	6.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Failed to beat rival on last two runs for Michael Wigham; lots more needed for new yard

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Down To The Kid	5/4	11/8	11/8
Milteye	9/2	4/1	4/1
Jack Daniel	5/1	5/1	5/1
Dawn Of Liberation	6/1	6/1	6/1
Love Your Work	11/1	11/1	11/1
Distinction	14/1	12/1	12/1
Panama City	18/1	16/1	16/1
Harswell Duke	40/1	28/1	28/1
Apache Canyon	66/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Down To The Kid

37.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 21 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Milteye

14.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Love Your Work

9.1

OR: 4 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Distinction

7.7

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Dawn Of Liberation

7.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Jack Daniel

6.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Apache Canyon

6.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Harswell Duke

4.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

40/1

Panama City

4.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Down To The Kid	69	83	60
Milteye	67	83	—
Love Your Work	66	80	59
Dawn Of Liberation	65	84	60
Harswell Duke	64	78	—
Panama City	63	79	68
Distinction	62	82	72
Apache Canyon	61	79	72
Jack Daniel	59	82	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Panama City	7d ago	Quick return
Love Your Work	16d ago	Fit
Dawn Of Liberation	18d ago	Fit
Milteye	23d ago	Fit
Jack Daniel	23d ago	Fit
Down To The Kid	27d ago	Fit
Distinction	33d ago	Fit
Apache Canyon	123d ago	Long break
Harswell Duke	198d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.