Watch On Racing TV Handicap – Nottingham

Nottingham

17:05

Watch On Racing TV Handicap

Date 2025-05-20

Distance 1m75y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (1)	Man Of La Mancha Chestnut J:Jack Dace(7) T:Ralph Beckett	J:Jack Dace(7) T:Ralph Beckett	137	—	5-631	77	87	71	8d	—	—	-24	22.1	6/5 45%
Solid in novices; comfortably ahead of opening mark at Windsor last week; highly respected
2 (8)	Zarathos Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Dylan Cunha	J:Ray Dawson T:Dylan Cunha	134	—	4-3323	74	85	80	25d	—	—	-8	11.7	9/2 18%
Six-race maiden; proving consistent; went close over C&D two starts ago; solid chance
7 (9)	Hot Dancer Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	223-53	73	81	77	17d	—	—	-3	9.1	15/2 12%
Placed in four of his five outings; creditable third at Doncaster latest; each-way claims
3 (6)	War Howl Brown J:William Buick T:Michael Appleby	J:William Buick T:Michael Appleby	133	—	3940-3	73	85	68	52d	—	—	+2	11.3	10/1 9%
Ran encouragingly at Newcastle on debut for new connections; should build on that effort
5 (5)	Herculeus Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	133	—	55-2	73	79	62	22d	—	—	+6	12.7	12/1 8%
Good second in Windsor maiden on reappearance; further progress is not implausible
4 (3)	Flagon Dry Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Warren Greatrex	J:Edward Greatrex T:Warren Greatrex	133	—	521-3	73	84	59	33d	—	—	+4	10.7	12/1 8%
AW win on final start in 2yo maidens; creditable third in Ripon handicap on reappearance
8 (7)	Darn Hot Mystery Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	132	—	324-	72	80	-	216d	—	—	+6	12.1	16/1 6%
Open to progress but market may prove best guide; lacks 2025 practice, unlike her rivals
6 (2)	Everyoneknowsadave Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Jessica Macey	J:Tom Marquand T:Jessica Macey	133	—	57-195	73	82	76	17d	—	—	+3	6.7	28/1 3%
Dual AW scorer; ran creditably on turf last time but likely needs to show improvement
9 (4)	Oceans Charm Brown J:Luke Morris T:Ed de Giles	J:Luke Morris T:Ed de Giles	130	—	5-26	70	83	37	15d	—	—	+4	5.3	100/1 1%
Seemed to need latest run (back from break); heed the market signals now handicapping

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Man Of La Mancha	6/5	6/5	6/5	6/5	11/10
Zarathos	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	9/2
Hot Dancer	7/1	13/2	7/1	7/1	15/2
War Howl	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Herculeus	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Flagon Dry	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Darn Hot Mystery	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	12/1
Everyoneknowsadave	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Oceans Charm	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Man Of La Mancha

22.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 15.4

6/5

2nd

Herculeus

12.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

3rd

Darn Hot Mystery

12.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Zarathos

11.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

9/2

War Howl

11.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Flagon Dry

10.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Hot Dancer

9.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Everyoneknowsadave

6.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Oceans Charm

5.3

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Man Of La Mancha	77	87	71
Zarathos	74	85	80
Hot Dancer	73	81	77
War Howl	73	85	68
Herculeus	73	79	62
Flagon Dry	73	84	59
Everyoneknowsadave	73	82	76
Darn Hot Mystery	72	80	—
Oceans Charm	70	83	37

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Man Of La Mancha	8d ago	Quick return
Oceans Charm	15d ago	Fit
Hot Dancer	17d ago	Fit
Everyoneknowsadave	17d ago	Fit
Herculeus	22d ago	Fit
Zarathos	25d ago	Fit
Flagon Dry	33d ago	Fit
War Howl	52d ago	Fresh
Darn Hot Mystery	216d ago	Long break