Sky Sports Racing Virgin 519 Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:30

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 519 Handicap

Date 2025-09-11

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,978

Winning Time 1m 13.36s (slow by 2.96s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sole Spirit (GB) Harrison Shaw · Bryan Smart	12/1	Won
2nd	Invitorio (IRE) Joanna Mason · Ruth Carr	22/1	.5
3rd	Silver Arrow (IRE) Oisin Orr · Lemos De Souza	14/1	0.3
4th	Melissa Honey (GB) Jack Mitchell · Michael Herrington	28/1	0.3
5th	Fan Mail (GB) Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	7/4F	0.3
6th	Lord Capulet (IRE) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	4/1	.5
7th	Tarlac (IRE) Jason Hart · Katie Scott	11/1	3.25
8th	Get Up Everybody (IRE) David Nolan · Paul Midgley	9/1	1.25
9th	Two Shoes (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	25/1	0.3
10th	Promise Time (GB) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	9/2	0.3

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (10)	Fan Mail Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	134	—	466700	69	76	71	26d	—	—	-14	13.2	0.50/1	2/1 33%
This winter's AW form makes him of major interest off reduced mark; poor on turf of late
1 (9)	Promise Time Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	135	h	311612	70	80	42	22d	—	—	+9	27.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Three turf wins since last seen on AW; career best when 2nd at Carlisle latest; now hooded
8 (8)	Lord Capulet Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	5-2407	63	79	45	33d	—	—	-8	7.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Struggled in two turf handicaps this summer; dropped 5lb and return to AW could help
5 (1)	Sole Spirit Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Bryan Smart	J:Harrison Shaw T:Bryan Smart	131	—	8P-116	66	78	-	22d	—	—	-2	6.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Finished lame when disappointing in hat-trick bid at Carlisle last month; can bounce back
7 (6)	Get Up Everybody Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	129	—	-44532	64	81	-	34d	—	—	+5	12.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Seven-race maiden but he's been competitive since switched to handicaps; each-way shout
3 (3)	Silver Arrow Grey J:Oisin Orr T:Lemos De Souza	J:Oisin Orr T:Lemos De Souza	134	tb	01-796	69	76	71	17d	—	—	-2	7.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
7f AW win in December off 1lb lower; struggled at big prices this summer; now down in trip
6 (4)	Tarlac Bay J:Jason Hart T:Katie Scott	J:Jason Hart T:Katie Scott	129	p	215894	64	79	-	22d	—	—	+1	7.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
6f win at Ripon in May off this mark; not progressed since and behind Promise Time latest
9 (2)	Invitorio Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	123	—	806069	58	78	59	17d	—	—	-1	3.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Went wrong way for Karl Burke and not at best in two runs for new yard last month either
4 (7)	Two Shoes Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	132	—	4-0676	67	77	-	38d	—	—	+2	5.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Made a winning 2yo debut but 0-6 since and she's been struggling in handicaps this year
10 (5)	Melissa Honey Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Michael Herrington	J:Jack Mitchell T:Michael Herrington	123	—	9-7437	58	77	-	16d	—	—	0	2.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Two promising efforts this summer before a backwards step at Musselburgh latest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Fan Mail	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Promise Time	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Lord Capulet	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Sole Spirit	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Get Up Everybody	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Silver Arrow	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Tarlac	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Invitorio	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Two Shoes	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1	25/1
Melissa Honey	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Promise Time

27.2

OR: 5 Form: 17 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Fan Mail

13.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

2/1

3rd

Get Up Everybody

12.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Lord Capulet

7.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Silver Arrow

7.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

14/1

Tarlac

7.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Sole Spirit

6.4

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Two Shoes

5.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Invitorio

3.1

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Melissa Honey

2.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Promise Time	70	80	42
Fan Mail	69	76	71
Silver Arrow	69	76	71
Two Shoes	67	77	—
Sole Spirit	66	78	—
Get Up Everybody	64	81	—
Tarlac	64	79	—
Lord Capulet	63	79	45
Invitorio	58	78	59
Melissa Honey	58	77	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Melissa Honey	16d ago	Fit
Silver Arrow	17d ago	Fit
Invitorio	17d ago	Fit
Promise Time	22d ago	Fit
Sole Spirit	22d ago	Fit
Tarlac	22d ago	Fit
Fan Mail	26d ago	Fit
Lord Capulet	33d ago	Fit
Get Up Everybody	34d ago	Fit
Two Shoes	38d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.