Alan Rae Smith Errant Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

13:25

Alan Rae Smith Errant Handicap

Date 2025-09-13

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 2m 33.87s (slow by 6.07s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	The Bay Warrior (IRE) Tyler Heard · Mark Usher	7/1	Won
2nd	One Million Dreams (FR) Fred Daly · Nick Littmoden	3/1J	.5
3rd	Kintbury (GB) Callum Hutchinson · Andrew Balding	8/1	0.3
4th	Destinado (GB) Pat Cosgrave · James Owen	3/1J	1.75
5th	Arundel (IRE) Harry Davies · Ed Dunlop	100/30	0.3
6th	Typhoon Dancer (GB) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	5/1	4.75

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	Destinado Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:James Owen	J:Pat Cosgrave T:James Owen	136	b	505375	65	78	69	9d	—	—	-11	12.1	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Held in ten starts since turf win in March but this multiple AW winner is on a good mark
7 (3)	Arundel Bay J:Harry Davies T:Ed Dunlop	J:Harry Davies T:Ed Dunlop	130	p	212224	67	75	-	22d	—	—	-2	20.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Consistent in turf handicaps and likely to be thereabouts again back on AW
2 (6)	One Million Dreams Chestnut J:Fred Daly(7) T:Nick Littmoden	J:Fred Daly(7) T:Nick Littmoden	137	—	944161	66	80	51	13d	—	—	+7	24	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Two turf wins of late and acts on AW; has to enter the reckoning
5 (1)	Typhoon Dancer Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	131	p	446366	68	79	58	25d	—	—	-4	10.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Will have a big say if headgear sees him recapture form he showed when third on AW in July
4 (7)	The Bay Warrior Bay J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	136	—	2-1502	65	74	44	14d	—	—	0	9.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
All six wins on AW and went close over C&D latest; should go well again
6 (2)	Kintbury Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	131	—	334	68	70	35	169d	—	—	+3	10	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Potential improver in handicaps after break; all the more interesting if backed
NR (5)	Enough Already Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Wallis	J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Wallis	141	—	3-1709	70	73	55	14d	—	—	—	7.1	—	—
Won on AW on final run in Ireland but down the field all three runs for this yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Destinado	5/2	5/2	5/2	11/4	5/2
Arundel	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
One Million Dreams	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Typhoon Dancer	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
The Bay Warrior	8/1	17/2	8/1	15/2	9/1
Kintbury	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Enough Already	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

One Million Dreams

OR: 4 Form: 15 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Arundel

20.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Destinado

12.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 6.9

11/4

Typhoon Dancer

10.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4.1

5/1

Kintbury

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.9

11/1

The Bay Warrior

9.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Enough Already

7.1

OR: 5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Enough Already	70	73	55
Typhoon Dancer	68	79	58
Kintbury	68	70	35
Arundel	67	75	—
One Million Dreams	66	80	51
Destinado	65	78	69
The Bay Warrior	65	74	44

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Destinado	9d ago	Quick return
One Million Dreams	13d ago	Quick return
The Bay Warrior	14d ago	Fit
Enough Already	14d ago	Fit
Arundel	22d ago	Fit
Typhoon Dancer	25d ago	Fit
Kintbury	169d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m4f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.