Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

4:45

Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2025-10-31

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (5)	Lady Milton b J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	135	—	7641	60	62	49	21d	—	—	-8	21.9	9/4 31%
Improved for 1m and nurseries when winning at Kempton three weeks ago (form well franked)
7 (7)	Thanh Nam ch J:Hollie Doyle T:James Owen	J:Hollie Doyle T:James Owen	124	p	775442	49	65	48	8d	—	—	-11	11.7	3/1 25%
Better effort upped to 1m2f last week; should run his race but others appeal more
2 (2)	Mali Star b J:Callum Rodriguez T:Jack Channon	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Jack Channon	132	—	970	57	61	32	18d	—	—	-15	9	10/3 23%
Not obviously well treated for nursery and the yard could be in better form
4 (6)	Twilight Serenade b J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	131	—	0854	56	60	-	52d	—	—	-7	4.8	8/1 11%
Low-level form across four starts but this longer trip should see him in a better light
3 (3)	Ciao Capo b J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	132	—	7706	57	63	-	30d	—	—	-3	3.7	14/1 7%
Not progressing and hopes are pinned on the new trip and surface sparking something extra
6 (1)	Harswell River b J:Mark Winn T:Roger Fell	J:Mark Winn T:Roger Fell	130	p	423518	55	63	41	11d	—	—	+5	12.2	14/1 7%
1m turf win last month; well held in Class 5 latest; this should be more suitable
5 (4)	Trust No One b J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	130	tp	085	55	64	38	20d	—	—	-2	2.6	28/1 3%
New trip/headgear could help but looks on a tough opening mark; gelded since last run
8 (8)	Looks Likely ch J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	124	p	452390	49	62	-	20d	—	—	+1	3.7	66/1 1%
Placed in first two nurseries but poor over 7f on last 2 runs; now steps up in trip again

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Lady Milton	9/4	2/1	7/4	9/4	2/1
Thanh Nam	11/4	11/4	3/1	11/4	11/4
Mali Star	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Twilight Serenade	7/1	13/2	8/1	13/2	13/2
Ciao Capo	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Harswell River	14/1	12/1	10/1	12/1	12/1
Trust No One	25/1	28/1	20/1	25/1	28/1
Looks Likely	66/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lady Milton

21.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 9.4

9/4

2nd

Harswell River

12.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 8.9 Odds: 2

14/1

3rd

Thanh Nam

11.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Mali Star

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

10/3

Twilight Serenade

4.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Ciao Capo

3.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Looks Likely

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Trust No One

2.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Milton Top Rated	60	62	49
Mali Star	57	61	32
Ciao Capo	57	63	—
Twilight Serenade	56	60	—
Harswell River	55	63	41
Trust No One	55	64	38
Thanh Nam	49	65	48
Looks Likely	49	62	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Thanh Nam	8d ago	Quick return
Harswell River	11d ago	Quick return
Mali Star	18d ago	Fit
Trust No One	20d ago	Fit
Looks Likely	20d ago	Fit
Lady Milton	21d ago	Fit
Ciao Capo	30d ago	Fit
Twilight Serenade	52d ago	Fresh