Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

7:15

Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-10-31

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £13,190

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (6)	Al Arbeed b J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	129	—	134	94	106	59	182d	—	—	+3	24.3	3/1 25%
7f win here on debut; solid efforts in conditions races in the spring; absent six months
3 (3)	Dividend b J:Hollie Doyle T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Hollie Doyle T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	133	—	-11640	98	107	99	70d	—	—	+5	22	9/2 18%
3-3 on AW; fine 4th at Royal Ascot; better than bare result latest; not fully exposed
9 (10)	First Principle b J:Joanna Mason T:William Haggas	J:Joanna Mason T:William Haggas	123	t	1-218	88	103	-	50d	—	—	+6	20.9	5/1 17%
Two 1m wins in novice company; low-key h'cap debut (1m2f); gelded since; unexposed
1 (5)	Rajeko b J:Callum Rodriguez T:Michael Bell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Michael Bell	135	—	481-22	100	105	82	240d	—	—	+6	15.2	8/1 11%
Unexposed and progressive; absent eight months prior to this handicap debut; check market
10 (9)	Sir Paul Ramsey b J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	123	—	013400	88	108	81	34d	—	—	+6	14.9	9/1 10%
Two wins this summer and also ran well at the Ebor meeting; below par on last two starts
5 (8)	Supido b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ian Williams	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ian Williams	130	p	-55708	95	110	-	48d	—	—	+5	13.8	10/1 9%
3lb lower than for a close 5th at Royal Ascot; yard in fine form; interesting on AW debut
2 (7)	Two Tempting ch J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	134	—	808935	96	110	-	37d	—	—	+8	15.6	11/1 8%
On last winning mark and this not so deep as many of his assignments in 2025; place claims
8 (1)	Fantastic Fox ch J:Aidan Keeley T:Roger Varian	J:Aidan Keeley T:Roger Varian	128	—	309405	90	113	96	44d	—	—	+5	11.7	12/1 8%
On a losing run but his latest AW appearance (June) was a good one; chance if in that form
7 (4)	Whitcombe Rockstar b J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	128	t	000750	90	111	94	37d	—	—	+6	11.4	20/1 5%
Fine 2024 season but struggled with the handicapper this time around; penultimate run okay
4 (2)	Nikovo b J:Jason Hart T:Michael Herrington	J:Jason Hart T:Michael Herrington	131	—	963028	93	108	97	33d	—	—	+12	16.4	28/1 3%
Better than ever this summer; return to 1m in his favour; each-way shout

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Al Arbeed	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Dividend	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
First Principle	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Rajeko	8/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Sir Paul Ramsey	9/1	8/1	8/1	17/2	17/2
Supido	15/2	17/2	17/2	8/1	10/1
Two Tempting	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Fantastic Fox	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Whitcombe Rockstar	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Nikovo	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Al Arbeed

24.3

OR: 11 Form: 7.1 Odds: 6.2

3/1

2nd

Dividend

OR: 12 Form: 5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

First Principle

20.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Nikovo

16.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 4.4 Odds: 1.3

28/1

Two Tempting

15.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2

11/1

Rajeko

15.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Sir Paul Ramsey

14.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 2.9 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Supido

13.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Fantastic Fox

11.7

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Whitcombe Rockstar

11.4

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rajeko Top Rated	100	105	82
Dividend	98	107	99
Two Tempting	96	110	—
Supido	95	110	—
Al Arbeed	94	106	59
Nikovo	93	108	97
Fantastic Fox	90	113	96
Whitcombe Rockstar	90	111	94
First Principle	88	103	—
Sir Paul Ramsey	88	108	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nikovo	33d ago	Fit
Sir Paul Ramsey	34d ago	Fit
Two Tempting	37d ago	Fit
Whitcombe Rockstar	37d ago	Fit
Fantastic Fox	44d ago	Fit
Supido	48d ago	Fresh
First Principle	50d ago	Fresh
Dividend	70d ago	Fresh
Al Arbeed	182d ago	Long break
Rajeko	240d ago	Long break