Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:15

Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-11-01

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 40.59s (slow by 3.79s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Song N Dance (GB) Kieran O'Neill · S Woods	4/1	Won
2nd	Gressington (IRE) Jason Hart · Katie Scott	25/1	1.75
3rd	Forest Caper (GB) Kevin Stott · David O'Meara	11/10F	0.05
4th	Jewel Maker (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby	8/1	1.75
5th	Why Because (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Harry Charlton	12/1	2.5
6th	Lessay (IRE) David Nolan · Patrick Morris	25/1	2.25
7th	Sea Legend (FR) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	18/5	49

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Forest Caper Bay J:Kevin Stott T:David O'Meara	J:Kevin Stott T:David O'Meara	133	h	443763	71	86	40	9d	—	—	-18	22.5	0.30/1	6/5 45%
0-9 but admirably consistent; returning hood could help and likely to go well again
3 (1)	Sea Legend Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	134	—	877958	72	87	68	15d	—	—	-7	10.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Latest effort (1m2f here) was eyecatching but dropping to 1m is not sure to be of benefit
1 (4)	Song N Dance Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:S Woods	J:Kieran O'Neill T:S Woods	135	—	4-3621	75	82	49	18d	—	—	-6	11.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Didn't have to match previous best to win a Leicester novice 18 days ago; handicap debut
7 (5)	Jewel Maker Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	130	—	512515	68	85	53	19d	—	—	+9	17.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Two turf wins this autumn and fine over C&D too; below par latest though and needs revival
5 (3)	Why Because Chestnut J:Lewis Edmunds T:Harry Charlton	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Harry Charlton	132	h	9-44	72	85	48	57d	—	—	0	7.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Improved when 4th on latest start (1m, Polytrack); bred to do better; interesting
6 (2)	Lessay Bay J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	130	p	673368	68	82	64	15d	—	—	+4	7.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Inconsistent and finished down the field on his stable debut two weeks ago
2 (7)	Gressington Grey J:Jason Hart T:Katie Scott	J:Jason Hart T:Katie Scott	134	b	845890	72	80	49	18d	—	—	+3	6.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Three wins over shorter for former yard; low-key stable debut (6f); stamina not assured

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Forest Caper	11/10	6/5	11/10	11/10	6/5
Sea Legend	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Song N Dance	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Jewel Maker	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Why Because	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Lessay	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Gressington	33/1	33/1	28/1	25/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Forest Caper

22.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.9 Odds: 13.3

6/5

2nd

Jewel Maker

17.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

3rd

Song N Dance

11.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Sea Legend

10.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Lessay

7.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.4 Odds: 1

28/1

Why Because

7.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Gressington

6.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Song N Dance	75	82	49
Sea Legend	72	87	68
Why Because	72	85	48
Gressington	72	80	49
Forest Caper	71	86	40
Jewel Maker	68	85	53
Lessay	68	82	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Forest Caper	9d ago	Quick return
Sea Legend	15d ago	Fit
Lessay	15d ago	Fit
Song N Dance	18d ago	Fit
Gressington	18d ago	Fit
Jewel Maker	19d ago	Fit
Why Because	57d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.