Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:15

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2025-12-05

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 13.70s (slow by 3.00s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Brave Traveller (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Bryan Smart	11/2	Won
2nd	Liverpool Star (IRE) Lewis Chalkley · Michael & David Easterby	16/1	0.2
3rd	King Victorious (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	2/1F	1.75
4th	Mystical Land (IRE) Mark Winn · Michael Dods	14/1	1.25
5th	Surgeon Commander (IRE) Tom Eaves · Craig Lidster	4/1	0.3
6th	Copperfield (GB) Rowan Scott · Julie Camacho	9/2	2.25
7th	Mademoiselle Belle (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	16/1	.75
8th	Master Harry (USA) Paul Mulrennan · Ann Duffield	8/1	1.5
9th	Sunniva (IRE) Barry McHugh · Brian Ellison	25/1	0.1

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (2)	King Victorious Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	130	ht	99462	60	67	50	13d	—	—	-11	15.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Very good runner-up at Wolverhampton 13 days ago; big shout nudged up 1lb
2 (7)	Copperfield Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Julie Camacho	J:Rowan Scott T:Julie Camacho	134	h	856	64	61	-	112d	—	—	-11	9.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Brought along steadily, sixth at Thirsk in August; gelded and considered on h'cap debut
8 (8)	Surgeon Commander Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	127	—	678	57	64	-	156d	—	—	-11	7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Cut little ice in three novices in summer; since gelded and more needed on nursery debut
5 (5)	Brave Traveller Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Bryan Smart	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Bryan Smart	132	—	4362	62	70	67	11d	—	—	+1	12.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Improved second in 5f nursery here latest; a likely player off an unchanged mark
3 (6)	Master Harry Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ann Duffield	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ann Duffield	134	t	003256	64	69	39	13d	—	—	+1	9.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Beat one in 5f nursery here 13 days ago; tongue-tie is reached for now with a bit to prove
4 (3)	Mystical Land Brown J:Mark Winn T:Michael Dods	J:Mark Winn T:Michael Dods	132	b	306	62	63	47	13d	—	—	+1	5.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Blinkered when creditable sixth in C&D novice latest; possibilities now handicapping
1 (4)	Liverpool Star Bay J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	135	—	97538	65	68	-	95d	—	—	+2	7.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Last at Windsor 95 days ago; has his first go on Tapeta with improvement required
7 (9)	Mademoiselle Belle Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	128	—	930533	58	66	65	11d	—	—	+4	8.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Best effort when staying-on third in 5f nursery here 11 days ago; in the mix back up to 6f
9 (1)	Sunniva Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Brian Ellison	J:Barry McHugh T:Brian Ellison	124	—	P0363	54	68	48	126d	—	—	+2	6.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Good third at Southwell in August; she's not ruled out off the same mark after a break

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
King Victorious	9/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4
Copperfield	3/1	10/3	10/3	7/2	10/3
Surgeon Commander	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Brave Traveller	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2
Master Harry	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Mystical Land	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	18/1
Liverpool Star	18/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Mademoiselle Belle	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	20/1
Sunniva	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

King Victorious

15.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Brave Traveller

12.8

OR: 3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Copperfield

9.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Master Harry

9.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.4 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Mademoiselle Belle

8.9

OR: 2 Form: 5.7 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Liverpool Star

7.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Surgeon Commander

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Sunniva

6.3

OR: 1 Form: 4.2 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Mystical Land

5.9

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Liverpool Star	65	68	—
Copperfield	64	61	—
Master Harry	64	69	39
Brave Traveller	62	70	67
Mystical Land	62	63	47
King Victorious	60	67	50
Mademoiselle Belle	58	66	65
Surgeon Commander	57	64	—
Sunniva	54	68	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Brave Traveller	11d ago	Quick return
Mademoiselle Belle	11d ago	Quick return
King Victorious	13d ago	Quick return
Master Harry	13d ago	Quick return
Mystical Land	13d ago	Quick return
Liverpool Star	95d ago	Long break
Copperfield	112d ago	Long break
Sunniva	126d ago	Long break
Surgeon Commander	156d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.