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Lingfield (AW)

12:12

Date 2025-12-15

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Winning Time 1m 40.16s (slow by 5.26s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Felicitas (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Ed Walker	18/1	Won
2nd	Allaire (GB) P J McDonald · Andrew Balding	7/2	2.5
3rd	Estissa (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	12/1	2
4th	Al Qaysiyya (GB) Billy Loughnane · Charlie Appleby	5/6F	.5
5th	Poor Relation (FR) Rossa Ryan · Ollie Sangster	50/1	.5
6th	Angry Ant (USA) Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	80/1	0.3
7th	Educating Sheila (GB) Sorin Moldoveanu · Jane Chapple-Hyam	250/1	1.25
8th	Adba (FR) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	11/2	.5
9th	Loving Queen (FR) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	10/1	1.25
10th	Adores (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Teal	80/1	0.1
11th	Celestique (IRE) Alec Voikhansky · Richard Hannon	14/1	13

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (9)	Al Qaysiyya Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Appleby	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	492	77	92	63	12d	—	—	-20	28	0.21/1	5/6 55%
All runs at 7f, the best two efforts on debut and at Kempton recently; obvious contender
1 (3)	Adba Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	7	-	65	42	40d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Never involved on Kempton debut (1m; 14-1); better drawn today; could improve plenty
3 (6)	Allaire Bay J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
High-class pedigree; yard 12% with 2yos here in last 5 years; market check a must
8 (5)	Estissa Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.8	3.00/1	12/1 8%
By Dubawi out of Group 1/Grade 1 winner in France/US for this yard; possible squeak
10 (7)	Loving Queen Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	128	b	647	71	74	49	19d	—	—	0	7.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Having third start when fading over 1m at Southwell latest; blinkers added
9 (8)	Felicitas Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Walker	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Walker	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
150,000gns yearling; trip should suit on debut; market can offer some clues
6 (1)	Celestique Chestnut J:Alec Voikhansky T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky T:Richard Hannon	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
11 (11)	Poor Relation Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ollie Sangster	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
50,000euros yearling; yard 2-14 with 2yos here; drawn widest; probably has tough task
5 (10)	Angry Ant Grey J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	128	—	9	-	68	41	12d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
70,000gns breeze-up as 2yo; 28-1 and down the field on recent Kempton AW debut over 7f
2 (2)	Adores Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Teal	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Teal	128	—	07	-	68	45	12d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Signs of ability in two 1m starts, including C&D; type to do better, perhaps in handicaps
7 (4)	Educating Sheila Bay J:Sorin Moldoveanu(7) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Sorin Moldoveanu(7) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	—	—	-	17	-	18d	—	—	-1	0.3	50.00/1	200/1 0%
66-1, finished remote on recent 7f Chelmsford debut (hooded, but not today)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Al Qaysiyya	5/6	4/5	4/5	4/5	4/5
Adba	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2
Allaire	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2
Estissa	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Loving Queen	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	14/1
Felicitas	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	18/1
Celestique	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Poor Relation	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1
Angry Ant	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Adores	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1
Educating Sheila	200/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Al Qaysiyya

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 16.3

5/6

2nd

Loving Queen

7.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2

14/1

3rd

Adba

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Allaire

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Estissa

1.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.8

12/1

Felicitas

1.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.5

18/1

Celestique

1.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.5

16/1

Poor Relation

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Angry Ant

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Adores

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Educating Sheila

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Al Qaysiyya	77	92	63
Loving Queen	71	74	49
Adba	—	65	42
Allaire	—	—	—
Estissa	—	—	—
Felicitas	—	—	—
Celestique	—	—	—
Poor Relation	—	—	—
Angry Ant	—	68	41
Adores	—	68	45
Educating Sheila	—	17	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Al Qaysiyya	12d ago	Quick return
Angry Ant	12d ago	Quick return
Adores	12d ago	Quick return
Educating Sheila	18d ago	Fit
Loving Queen	19d ago	Fit
Adba	40d ago	Fit
Allaire	—	—
Estissa	—	—
Felicitas	—	—
Celestique	—	—
Poor Relation	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.