Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:25

Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap (Div I)

Date 2025-12-19

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 42.00s (slow by 3.90s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ribston Pippin (IRE) Darragh Keenan · Lemos De Souza	8/1	Won
2nd	Imola (IRE) Hector Crouch · Joey Ramsden	2/1	1.25
3rd	R P McMurphy (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Michael Appleby	6/4F	1.5
4th	Spirit Of Bowland (GB) Billy Garritty · Stella Barclay	25/1	1
5th	Kodebreaker (IRE) Zak Wheatley · Michael Herrington	20/1	.75
6th	Von Krolock (IRE) Paddy Bradley · James Owen	7/1	0.3
7th	Dash Power (GB) Luke Morris · Lawrence Mullaney	20/1	2.75
8th	Mickey Mongoose (GB) Duran Fentiman · Olly Williams	22/1	0.1
9th	Invincible Storm (IRE) Pat Cosgrave · Ed de Giles	40/1	14
10th	Rohilla (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Scott Dixon	100/1	4.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (8)	R P McMurphy Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Michael Appleby	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Michael Appleby	135	—	500331	55	71	53	13d	—	—	-11	27.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Unexposed 3yo; easy win at Wolverhampton 13 days ago; strong contender despite a 5lb rise
3 (5)	Imola Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Joey Ramsden	J:Hector Crouch T:Joey Ramsden	133	—	32326U	52	67	54	10d	—	—	-14	10.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Going okay when unseating rider over 2f out at Newcastle ten days ago; each-way shout
1 (10)	Von Krolock Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:James Owen	J:Paddy Bradley T:James Owen	135	v	007418	54	70	47	1d	—	—	+1	10.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
7f win at Wolverhampton last month but weakened over 7f here yesterday
5 (6)	Ribston Pippin Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Lemos De Souza	J:Darragh Keenan T:Lemos De Souza	130	—	142754	50	68	52	15d	—	—	-5	4.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
1m turf win in August; not been getting home over 1m2f of late; not ruled out back at 1m
4 (3)	Spirit Of Bowland Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Stella Barclay	J:Billy Garritty T:Stella Barclay	132	—	579847	51	64	52	49d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 2 runs	-3	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Only 1lb higher than for easy C&D win in April; quiet of late but revival quite possible
7 (4)	Dash Power Bay J:Luke Morris T:Lawrence Mullaney	J:Luke Morris T:Lawrence Mullaney	126	b	756782	45	69	51	13d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	+1	6.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Chased home R P McMurphy at Wolverhampton two weeks ago; 5lb turnaround may not be enough
6 (1)	Kodebreaker Bay J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Michael Herrington	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Michael Herrington	129	p	946652	48	65	52	18d	—	—	+2	6.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Conditions to suit and latest 2nd (7f) was a step in the right direction; each-way claims
8 (9)	Mickey Mongoose Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Olly Williams	J:Duran Fentiman T:Olly Williams	126	p	637650	45	69	41	29d	—	—	-2	1.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Two-time C&D winner; low-key return from a break four weeks ago; now gets cheekpieces
10 (7)	Invincible Storm Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:Ed de Giles	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Ed de Giles	125	—	687094	45	63	56	17d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Inconsistent 17-race maiden; latest run was okay but not certain to build on it
9 (2)	Rohilla Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	126	—	526670	45	58	-	69d	—	—	0	1.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Modest maiden; recent efforts don't suggest she is about to break her duck

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
R P McMurphy	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4	11/8
Imola	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Von Krolock	13/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	8/1
Ribston Pippin	8/1	15/2	8/1	7/1	8/1
Spirit Of Bowland	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	14/1
Dash Power	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
Kodebreaker	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Mickey Mongoose	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	22/1
Invincible Storm	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Rohilla	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

R P McMurphy

27.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 13.6 Odds: 12.5

11/8

2nd

Von Krolock

10.9

OR: 1 Form: 7 Odds: 2.9

8/1

3rd

Imola

10.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.9 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Dash Power

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Kodebreaker

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ribston Pippin

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Spirit Of Bowland

1.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Mickey Mongoose

1.5

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Rohilla

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Invincible Storm

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
R P McMurphy	55	71	53
Von Krolock	54	70	47
Imola	52	67	54
Spirit Of Bowland	51	64	52
Ribston Pippin	50	68	52
Kodebreaker	48	65	52
Dash Power	45	69	51
Mickey Mongoose	45	69	41
Invincible Storm	45	63	56
Rohilla	45	58	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Von Krolock	1d ago	Quick return
Imola	10d ago	Quick return
R P McMurphy	13d ago	Quick return
Dash Power	13d ago	Quick return
Ribston Pippin	15d ago	Fit
Invincible Storm	17d ago	Fit
Kodebreaker	18d ago	Fit
Mickey Mongoose	29d ago	Fit
Spirit Of Bowland	49d ago	Fresh
Rohilla	69d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.