Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:45

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2025-12-19

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (7)	Great Success Bay J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	133	—	38	-	85	42	27d	—	—	-13	8.3	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Underwhelming here last month but leading claims judged on debut form at Pontefract
6 (1)	Stepanov Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-17	7.3	0.83/1	10/3 23%
105,000gns yearling; trainer had a 2yo newcomer win impressively here last Saturday
4 (4)	Kohana Nation Bay J:Ben Sanderson T:Charles Hills	J:Ben Sanderson T:Charles Hills	133	—	7	-	58	33	18d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Could be sharper for Kempton experience but needs a sizeable step forward today
3 (6)	Highland Shah Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julie Camacho	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julie Camacho	133	—	4	-	65	23	14d	—	—	-9	3.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Half-brother to seven winners; debut fourth over C&D gives him something to build on
7 (5)	Thestral Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Hugo Palmer	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Hugo Palmer	133	—	5	-	64	14	27d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Only fifth on debut over C&D but this well-bred colt could be capable of much better
1 (3)	Choir Boy Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	133	p	5	-	66	-	69d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
5th of 8 on sole run for Aidan O'Brien; no surprise if he has a part to play on yard debut
5 (2)	Raven's View Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	133	—	6	-	46	11	17d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Down the field at 22-1 on recent debut over C&D and needs to leave that form well behind

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Great Success	11/4	3/1	3/1
Stepanov	10/3	10/3	10/3
Kohana Nation	7/2	10/3	7/2
Highland Shah	6/1	6/1	6/1
Thestral	15/2	15/2	15/2
Choir Boy	13/2	11/2	11/2
Raven's View	40/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Great Success

8.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.2

3/1

2nd

Stepanov

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

10/3

3rd

Kohana Nation

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Highland Shah

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.5

6/1

Choir Boy

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Thestral

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Raven's View

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Great Success	—	85	42
Stepanov	—	—	—
Kohana Nation	—	58	33
Highland Shah	—	65	23
Thestral	—	64	14
Choir Boy	—	66	—
Raven's View	—	46	11

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Highland Shah	14d ago	Fit
Raven's View	17d ago	Fit
Kohana Nation	18d ago	Fit
Great Success	27d ago	Fit
Thestral	27d ago	Fit
Choir Boy	69d ago	Fresh
Stepanov	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.