Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:15

Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap

Date 2025-12-19

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 13.85s (slow by 3.15s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Watchdog (GB) David Nolan · Richard Fahey	15/8F	Won
2nd	Grey Horizon (GB) Joey Haynes · Scott Dixon	7/1	3.5
3rd	King Victorious (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · George Boughey	3/1	1.5
4th	Mademoiselle Belle (IRE) Harry Russell · Brian Ellison	28/1	3
5th	He Bangs The Drums (IRE) William Cox · Archie Watson	22/1	1
6th	Surgeon Commander (IRE) Sean Kirrane · Craig Lidster	3/1	0.3
7th	A Boy Named Mary (IRE) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	11/1	3

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (5)	Watchdog Bay J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	131	—	45862	56	66	58	7d	—	—	-14	15.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Made bold bid when close second off same mark here (7f) last week; big player back in trip
6 (3)	Surgeon Commander Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Craig Lidster	J:Sean Kirrane T:Craig Lidster	130	b	6785	55	61	38	14d	—	—	-16	8.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Well held in all four runs and he needs improvement with blinkers added
2 (2)	King Victorious Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Boughey	J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Boughey	135	t	994623	60	62	45	14d	—	—	-6	15.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
0-6 but he's been placed on Tapeta in last two starts and should go well again
3 (8)	A Boy Named Mary Bay J:Alex Jary(3) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(3) T:Nigel Tinkler	132	—	940	57	63	9	23d	—	—	-5	4.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Unexposed gelding but he needs a transformation dropped to 6f on nursery debut
1 (4)	Grey Horizon Grey J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	135	v	474871	60	67	46	52d	—	—	+8	14.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won at Catterick in October; up 7lb but he's open to more progress for new yard
7 (6)	He Bangs The Drums Bay J:William Cox T:Archie Watson	J:William Cox T:Archie Watson	130	—	6896	55	60	40	27d	—	—	-2	2.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Down the field in all four runs and latest was on nursery debut at Wolverhampton
4 (1)	Mademoiselle Belle Bay J:Harry Russell T:Brian Ellison	J:Harry Russell T:Brian Ellison	131	—	305337	56	63	62	14d	—	—	+3	5.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Seven-race maiden and she was laboured over C&D last time; passed over
8 (7)	Go Kylie Go Chestnut J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	122	h	849	47	58	-	25d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Nursery newcomer and she's a possible improver back up in trip; hood reapplied

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Watchdog	2/1	2/1	2/1
Surgeon Commander	9/4	9/4	9/4
King Victorious	3/1	3/1	3/1
A Boy Named Mary	11/1	10/1	10/1
Grey Horizon	11/1	11/1	11/1
He Bangs The Drums	22/1	18/1	18/1
Mademoiselle Belle	40/1	33/1	33/1
Go Kylie Go	40/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Watchdog

15.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 5 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

King Victorious

15.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 6.2

3/1

3rd

Grey Horizon

14.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Surgeon Commander

8.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.6

9/4

Mademoiselle Belle

5.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.8

40/1

A Boy Named Mary

4.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

11/1

He Bangs The Drums

2.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

22/1

Go Kylie Go

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
King Victorious	60	62	45
Grey Horizon	60	67	46
A Boy Named Mary	57	63	9
Watchdog	56	66	58
Mademoiselle Belle	56	63	62
Surgeon Commander	55	61	38
He Bangs The Drums	55	60	40
Go Kylie Go	47	58	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Watchdog	7d ago	Quick return
Surgeon Commander	14d ago	Fit
King Victorious	14d ago	Fit
Mademoiselle Belle	14d ago	Fit
A Boy Named Mary	23d ago	Fit
Go Kylie Go	25d ago	Fit
He Bangs The Drums	27d ago	Fit
Grey Horizon	52d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.