Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:45

Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-12-19

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 41.15s (slow by 4.35s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Tasever (GB) David Nolan · Patrick Morris	9/4F	Won
2nd	Powerful Response (IRE) Sean Kirrane · Geoffrey Harker	9/2	0.3
3rd	Minshaar (GB) Warren Fentiman · Richard Fahey	8/1	2.75
4th	Falcon Nine (GB) Mohammed Tabti · Iain Jardine	15/2	.75
5th	Pop Favorite (GB) Joey Haynes · Scott Dixon	25/1	.5
6th	The Cookstown Cafu (GB) Conor Orr · Fionn McSharry	17/2	1
7th	Mercurius Power (IRE) George Wood · Jessica Macey	11/2	0.3
8th	Volenti (IRE) Cam Hardie · Ben Haslam	6/1	1.5
9th	Shifter (GB) Paula Muir · Wilf Storey	100/1	7

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (1)	Tasever Bay J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	136	p	557232	62	74	56	6d	—	—	-4	19.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
All four wins have been at Newcastle and he's been in good form here in last three runs
6 (2)	Powerful Response Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Sean Kirrane T:Geoffrey Harker	135	p	595522	61	73	62	27d	—	—	0	15.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Had a near miss over C&D last time and he's a big player if he can repeat that form
5 (9)	Volenti Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Ben Haslam	J:Cam Hardie T:Ben Haslam	135	—	548843	61	76	36	23d	—	—	-6	10.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Four-time C&D winner but he's been well held here in last two runs; needs to raise game
1 (7)	The Cookstown Cafu Bay J:Conor Orr(3) T:Fionn McSharry	J:Conor Orr(3) T:Fionn McSharry	138	—	605059	64	72	48	17d	—	—	-5	6.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
On dangerous but he's generally struggled for current yard and others are preferred
3 (4)	Mercurius Power Bay J:George Wood T:Jessica Macey	J:George Wood T:Jessica Macey	136	tp	276932	62	75	61	63d	—	—	+2	13.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
On last winning mark and he's finished placed over C&D in last two runs; respected
2 (8)	Falcon Nine Chestnut J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	136	b	211330	62	74	47	48d	—	—	+5	14.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Two wins since blinkers have been added but he was disappointing here last time
7 (3)	Minshaar Bay J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:Richard Fahey	J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:Richard Fahey	134	—	440513	61	74	52	11d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	15.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won over 7f here on penultimate run and she looks worth a try at this new trip
9 (5)	Pop Favorite Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	121	b	548042	47	72	61	71d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+2	6.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Seven-time C&D winner and was runner-up here last time; dangerous back from a short break
8 (6)	Shifter Bay J:Paula Muir(3) T:Wilf Storey	J:Paula Muir(3) T:Wilf Storey	133	—	670-50	59	66	-	23d	—	—	+1	2.6	31.25/1	125/1 1%
6yo who is 1-17 on AW and was tailed off on reappearance over C&D last month

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Tasever	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	10/3
Powerful Response	9/2	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Volenti	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	7/2
The Cookstown Cafu	13/2	6/1	6/1	13/2	11/2
Mercurius Power	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1	8/1
Falcon Nine	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Minshaar	9/1	17/2	9/1	8/1	9/1
Pop Favorite	22/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1
Shifter	125/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tasever

19.9

OR: 3 Form: 9.6 Odds: 7.3

10/3

2nd

Powerful Response

15.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Minshaar

15.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Falcon Nine

14.1

OR: 3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Mercurius Power

13.2

OR: 3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Volenti

10.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5

9/2

The Cookstown Cafu

6.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Pop Favorite

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Shifter

2.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Cookstown Cafu	64	72	48
Tasever	62	74	56
Mercurius Power	62	75	61
Falcon Nine	62	74	47
Powerful Response	61	73	62
Volenti	61	76	36
Minshaar	61	74	52
Shifter	59	66	—
Pop Favorite	47	72	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tasever	6d ago	Quick return
Minshaar	11d ago	Quick return
The Cookstown Cafu	17d ago	Fit
Volenti	23d ago	Fit
Shifter	23d ago	Fit
Powerful Response	27d ago	Fit
Falcon Nine	48d ago	Fresh
Mercurius Power	63d ago	Fresh
Pop Favorite	71d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.