Win £250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Win £250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap

Date 2025-12-20

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (2)	Military Leader Bay J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	132	b	524324	56	73	62	8d	—	—	-13	16.9	0.44/1	7/4 36%
0-9 but knocking at the door in 7f handicaps and should be just as effective over 1m
5 (4)	Aisling Oscar Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Barry McHugh T:Adrian Paul Keatley	132	—	003111	56	75	55	15d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+7	31.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Three wins here in last month; 6lb rise for latest should not prevent another bold bid
4 (3)	Wyvern Brown J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	132	p	086414	56	72	64	7d	—	—	-3	12.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
C&D winner in November; didn't get the rub of the green next time; should be thereabouts
8 (10)	Crownthorpe Bay J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:Alan Brown	J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:Alan Brown	125	p	536344	49	70	54	4d	—	—	-5	5	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Veteran; arrives in decent form; others appeal more for the win but he should be involved
2 (5)	Heretic Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Herrington	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Herrington	134	t	531150	58	71	64	8d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	12.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two wins at Southwell in October but seems to have gone off the boil
3 (6)	Ratafia Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Herrington	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Herrington	133	—	315059	57	72	-	68d	—	—	0	5.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Won over this trip at Yarmouth in June but has failed to repeat the form; needs a revival
7 (7)	Pallas Lord Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Donald Whillans	J:Sean Kirrane T:Donald Whillans	131	t	088088	55	67	24	4d	—	—	-2	2.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Multiple course winner but hasn't shown his form since March; others preferred
1 (1)	The Doonan Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Paul Mulrennan T:John & Sean Quinn	135	—	546	60	68	-	67d	—	—	0	3.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Unplaced all three starts; may improve now handicapping but hard to fancy on form
9 (8)	Showmethewayhome Bay J:Greg Fairley T:Ewan Whillans	J:Greg Fairley T:Ewan Whillans	121	t	-09067	45	66	25	43d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
15-race maiden with placed form but few positives to take from last five races
10 (9)	Easter Sundae Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:John Wainwright	J:Cam Hardie T:John Wainwright	121	—	89/97/	45	-	-	957d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
0-9; returns from layoff after stable switch; hard to recommend but worth a market check

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Military Leader	7/4	7/4	7/4
Aisling Oscar	5/2	5/2	5/2
Wyvern	9/2	5/1	9/2
Crownthorpe	7/1	7/1	7/1
Heretic	12/1	11/1	11/1
Ratafia	18/1	14/1	16/1
Pallas Lord	22/1	16/1	20/1
The Doonan	33/1	33/1	33/1
Showmethewayhome	100/1	66/1	80/1
Easter Sundae	150/1	80/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aisling Oscar

31.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 22.9 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Military Leader

16.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 6 Odds: 9.4

7/4

3rd

Wyvern

12.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Heretic

12.5

OR: 2 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Ratafia

5.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.5

18/1

Crownthorpe

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

7/1

The Doonan

3.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Pallas Lord

2.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

22/1

Showmethewayhome

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Easter Sundae

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Doonan	60	68	—
Heretic	58	71	64
Ratafia	57	72	—
Military Leader	56	73	62
Aisling Oscar	56	75	55
Wyvern	56	72	64
Pallas Lord	55	67	24
Crownthorpe	49	70	54
Showmethewayhome	45	66	25
Easter Sundae	45	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Crownthorpe	4d ago	Quick return
Pallas Lord	4d ago	Quick return
Wyvern	7d ago	Quick return
Military Leader	8d ago	Quick return
Heretic	8d ago	Quick return
Aisling Oscar	15d ago	Fit
Showmethewayhome	43d ago	Fit
The Doonan	67d ago	Fresh
Ratafia	68d ago	Fresh
Easter Sundae	957d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.