Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:30

Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-12-20

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Counting Cards Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	135	t	742-2	75	88	21	58d	—	—	-8	19.7	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Took keen hold - prominent - weakened inside final furlong (jockey said gelding ran too free)(op 2/1)
5 (2)	Bajan Bandit Bay J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	130	—	988812	70	90	62	7d	—	—	+7	21	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Arrives on the back of two good C&D runs; likely to be in the thick of it once more
6 (10)	Just Typical Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ian Williams	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ian Williams	128	ht	213703	68	88	58	7d	—	—	0	14.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Had a fine year and ran right up to his best when third over C&D last week; contender
9 (8)	Brazilian Rose Bay J:Kaiya Fraser T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Rebecca Menzies	127	h	864394	67	87	87	7d	—	—	-4	9.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Three 6f wins here in January; mixed record more recently and others appeal more
4 (4)	Gressington Grey J:Darragh Keenan T:Katie Scott	J:Darragh Keenan T:Katie Scott	131	b	902664	71	86	62	18d	—	—	+1	8.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Fair efforts on last 3 visits to Newcastle; closely matched with Bajan Bandit on latest
10 (3)	Miners Gamble Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Brian Ellison	J:Barry McHugh T:Brian Ellison	120	—	380260	60	88	64	7d	0W/0P 1 run	—	0	6.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two runs this month (after a break) have been underwhelming; big drop in trip today
3 (1)	They All Know Me Grey J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	132	—	3223	72	87	41	54d	—	—	+10	17.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Lightly raced 3yo but improvement will be needed to make a winning handicap debut
7 (9)	Samra Star Bay J:Alfie Redman(7) T:Linda Perratt	J:Alfie Redman(7) T:Linda Perratt	127	—	154455	67	86	72	7d	—	0W/0P 1 run	0	6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Conditions fine and running well enough of late; doesn't look ahead of her mark though
8 (6)	Bobby Joe Leg Chestnut J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	127	b	675406	67	85	50	7d	—	—	+2	5.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Two heavy defeats back from six months off and only been dropped 2lb; vulnerable for now
2 (7)	Monotone Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	135	p	370008	75	84	32	15d	—	—	+4	7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Not shone in two runs for new yard; drops in class but others have more pressing claims

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Counting Cards	2/1	15/8	2/1	2/1	2/1
Bajan Bandit	9/2	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2
Just Typical	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Brazilian Rose	11/2	13/2	6/1	6/1	7/1
Gressington	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	11/1
Miners Gamble	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
They All Know Me	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Samra Star	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Bobby Joe Leg	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Monotone	50/1	33/1	40/1	33/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bajan Bandit

OR: 5 Form: 12 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Counting Cards

19.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 8.4

2/1

3rd

They All Know Me

17.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 9.9 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Just Typical

14.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 4

5/1

Brazilian Rose

9.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4

7/1

Gressington

8.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Monotone

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Miners Gamble

6.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Samra Star

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Bobby Joe Leg

5.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Counting Cards	75	88	21
Monotone	75	84	32
They All Know Me	72	87	41
Gressington	71	86	62
Bajan Bandit	70	90	62
Just Typical	68	88	58
Brazilian Rose	67	87	87
Samra Star	67	86	72
Bobby Joe Leg	67	85	50
Miners Gamble	60	88	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bajan Bandit	7d ago	Quick return
Just Typical	7d ago	Quick return
Brazilian Rose	7d ago	Quick return
Miners Gamble	7d ago	Quick return
Samra Star	7d ago	Quick return
Bobby Joe Leg	7d ago	Quick return
Monotone	15d ago	Fit
Gressington	18d ago	Fit
They All Know Me	54d ago	Fresh
Counting Cards	58d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.