BetMGM Supports Safer Gambling Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

16:25

Date 2026-01-22

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £4,320

Weather Light Drizzle

Temp 8.5°C

Wind 16mph SE

Rain 100%

Winning Time 1m 26.67s (slow by 2.67s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Elizabetty (IRE) Cam Hardie · Brian Ellison	15/2	Won
2nd	Dakota Breeze (IRE) Luke Morris · Archie Watson	11/4	3.5
3rd	Five Cay (GB) Jason Watson · Jack Morland	9/4F	.5
4th	Star Of Emerald (FR) Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	8/1	7
5th	Moon Bonce (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Edward Bethell	11/1	2.25
6th	Stromness (GB) Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler	16/5	0.2
7th	Red House (GB) Gina Mangan · Stephen Hanlon	25/1	8
8th	Freezing Havana (GB) Duran Fentiman · Adrian Nicholls	100/1	6.5

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Five Cay Brown J:Jason Watson T:Jack Morland	J:Jason Watson T:Jack Morland	133	—	447-2	69	74	56	13d	—	—	-9	18.2	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Fair form, including second over 1m here 13 days ago; likely to go well
1 (3)	Dakota Breeze Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	5.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Half-brother to useful winners and starts out in a winnable race;
3 (8)	Stromness Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	133	—	5	-	68	47	21d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Showed a bit when fifth of eight on 6f course debut three weeks ago; may do better
6 (1)	Star Of Emerald Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	129	—	7	-	47	-	9d	—	—	-12	5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Green when well held on last week's C&D debut but should be more clued up now
7 (2)	Elizabetty Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Brian Ellison	J:Cam Hardie T:Brian Ellison	126	h	5527-7	65	79	47	21d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-4	6.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Second over 7f at Ayr in September but only seventh twice since, including here
4 (7)	Moon Bonce Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Edward Bethell	J:Andrew Mullen T:Edward Bethell	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.8	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Gelded son of Calyx; yard can ready them but Callum Rodriguez is on stable's other runner
5 (4)	Red House Chestnut J:Gina Mangan T:Stephen Hanlon	J:Gina Mangan T:Stephen Hanlon	129	—	6-4	-	58	-	13d	—	—	-2	0.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
8 (5)	Freezing Havana Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Duran Fentiman T:Adrian Nicholls	124	—	0-5	-	57	-	13d	—	—	-1	0.5	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Well beaten in course novices over 6f and 1m in recent weeks

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Five Cay	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Dakota Breeze	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Stromness	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1	4/1
Star Of Emerald	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Elizabetty	6/1	13/2	6/1	6/1	13/2
Moon Bonce	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Red House	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	28/1
Freezing Havana	125/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Five Cay

18.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 5 Odds: 8.5

9/4

2nd

Elizabetty

6.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Dakota Breeze

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

3/1

Star Of Emerald

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

Stromness

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Moon Bonce

1.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.8

14/1

Red House

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Freezing Havana

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Five Cay	69	74	56
Elizabetty	65	79	47
Dakota Breeze	—	—	—
Stromness	—	68	47
Star Of Emerald	—	47	—
Moon Bonce	—	—	—
Red House	—	58	—
Freezing Havana	—	57	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Star Of Emerald	9d ago	Quick return
Five Cay	13d ago	Quick return
Red House	13d ago	Quick return
Freezing Havana	13d ago	Quick return
Stromness	21d ago	Fit
Elizabetty	21d ago	Fit
Dakota Breeze	—	—
Moon Bonce	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.