Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap

Date 2026-01-22

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,281

Weather Light Drizzle

Temp 8.2°C

Wind 13mph SE

Rain 63%

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (9)	Aisling Oscar Bay J:Conor Whiteley(7) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Conor Whiteley(7) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	130	—	111-11	65	84	60	2d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-17	13.1	0.47/1	15/8 35%
6 (7)	Goldmoyne Bay J:Luke Morris T:James Owen	J:Luke Morris T:James Owen	131	p	3711-2	66	83	68	12d	—	—	0	12.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two 6f course wins in December; good second over C&D 12 days ago; likely to go well again
1 (4)	Judgment Call Brown J:Kaiya Fraser T:Linda Perratt	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Linda Perratt	135	—	514-35	70	80	54	6d	—	—	-1	7.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Opened AW account over 6f here in December but handicapper in charge since
9 (11)	Front Gunner Chestnut J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:Stephen Hanlon	J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:Stephen Hanlon	128	—	7313-5	63	81	62	12d	—	—	-4	5.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Second C&D win in November but behind Goldmoyne and Concert Boy here latest
7 (3)	Tasever Bay J:Alfie Redman(7) T:Patrick Morris	J:Alfie Redman(7) T:Patrick Morris	129	p	321-62	64	81	63	2d	—	—	-3	6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Fifth course win last month and good second to Aisling Oscar over C&D on Tuesday
10 (5)	Concert Boy Bay J:Jason Hart T:Katie Scott	J:Jason Hart T:Katie Scott	127	b	221-43	62	83	63	12d	—	—	-2	4.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
5 (8)	Flowstate Bay J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	132	v	2413-5	67	81	68	10d	—	—	0	6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D win last month; close third next time and excuses latest
8 (12)	Jamaican Storm Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	128	—	9053-3	63	80	61	18d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+2	7.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Plenty of creditable efforts on AW but his wait for a first win may go on
4 (2)	Golden Strike Chestnut J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	134	—	77085-	69	80	-	168d	—	—	0	6.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Two turf wins earlier in career but yet to make major impact in handicaps; off 168 days
2 (10)	Novak Grey J:Cara Tuke(7) T:Iain Jardine	J:Cara Tuke(7) T:Iain Jardine	135	—	4066-6	70	80	62	21d	—	—	+2	6.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Mostly respectable efforts since edging out Judgement Call over C&D in September
12 (6)	Wyvern Brown J:Gina Mangan T:Patrick Morris	J:Gina Mangan T:Patrick Morris	122	p	1451-2	57	81	74	9d	—	—	+4	7.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
3 (1)	Bobby Joe Leg Chestnut J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Ruth Carr	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Ruth Carr	135	b	40613-	70	80	42	24d	—	—	+13	15.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
C&D win in December, his 17th career success; fair third back here since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Aisling Oscar	13/8	7/4	7/4	7/4	15/8
Goldmoyne	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Judgment Call	9/1	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1
Front Gunner	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	7/1
Tasever	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Concert Boy	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Flowstate	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Jamaican Storm	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Golden Strike	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	11/1
Novak	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Wyvern	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Bobby Joe Leg	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bobby Joe Leg

15.8

OR: 5 Form: 10 Odds: 0.8

33/1

2nd

Aisling Oscar

13.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

15/8

3rd

Goldmoyne

12.6

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Jamaican Storm

7.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Wyvern

7.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Judgment Call

7.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Golden Strike

6.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Novak

6.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Tasever

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Flowstate

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Front Gunner

5.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Concert Boy

4.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Judgment Call	70	80	54
Novak	70	80	62
Bobby Joe Leg	70	80	42
Golden Strike	69	80	—
Flowstate	67	81	68
Goldmoyne	66	83	68
Aisling Oscar	65	84	60
Tasever	64	81	63
Front Gunner	63	81	62
Jamaican Storm	63	80	61
Concert Boy	62	83	63
Wyvern	57	81	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aisling Oscar	2d ago	Quick return
Tasever	2d ago	Quick return
Judgment Call	6d ago	Quick return
Wyvern	9d ago	Quick return
Flowstate	10d ago	Quick return
Goldmoyne	12d ago	Quick return
Front Gunner	12d ago	Quick return
Concert Boy	12d ago	Quick return
Jamaican Storm	18d ago	Fit
Novak	21d ago	Fit
Bobby Joe Leg	24d ago	Fit
Golden Strike	168d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.