Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:30

Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Handicap (Div I)

Date 2026-03-21

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,397

Weather Overcast

Temp 3.9°C

Wind 5mph SE

Rain 0%

Winning Time 1m 13.29s (slow by 2.59s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Alfa Duplicate (IRE) Jason Hart · Ivan Furtado	13/2	Won
2nd	Cool Molly (IRE) Sam James · Ollie Sangster	100/30	0.2
3rd	Espona Bay (IRE) Luke Morris · Scott Dixon	5/1	2.25
4th	Liverpool Star (IRE) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	3/1F	2
5th	Henriette Ronner (GB) David Nolan · Martin Dunne	9/1	3.5
6th	Pivotal Terms (GB) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	16/1	3.75
7th	Evolve (GB) Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	14/1	4.75
8th	Soul Warrior (IRE) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	11/2	5.5

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (5)	Liverpool Star Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	133	—	3824-3	67	73	63	21d	—	—	-7	13.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Registered peak effort over C&D; possibilities back in this scenario
1 (3)	Cool Molly Bay J:Sam James T:Ollie Sangster	J:Sam James T:Ollie Sangster	135	—	32-151	69	76	73	21d	—	—	-9	10.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Lingfield win took her record this year to 2-3; may improve further
4 (6)	Espona Bay Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	132	—	252-24	66	72	60	16d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-6	8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Maiden who has consistent form (2224) in his AW attempts
7 (1)	Soul Warrior Bay J:Alex Jary(3) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(3) T:Nigel Tinkler	128	—	8881-	62	70	14	178d	—	—	+3	17	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won at Redcar on handicap debut when last seen; may have more to offer
2 (8)	Alfa Duplicate Bay J:Jason Hart T:Ivan Furtado	J:Jason Hart T:Ivan Furtado	134	—	72-671	68	71	62	21d	—	—	-6	8.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Improved for drop to 5f last time; return to 6f is the question mark
5 (7)	Henriette Ronner Bay J:David Nolan T:Martin Dunne	J:David Nolan T:Martin Dunne	130	b	3-7149	64	76	68	21d	—	—	0	7.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Below par for new stable but the return to this C&D may suit
6 (2)	Evolve Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	129	—	7-456	63	72	50	49d	—	—	-1	5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Gelding operation is a possible source of improvement
8 (4)	Pivotal Terms Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	125	—	637-87	59	72	71	16d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-1	3.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Ex-Irish maiden; needs improvement on her efforts for new yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Liverpool Star	10/3	10/3	16/5	3/1	3/1
Cool Molly	3/1	10/3	16/5	10/3	10/3
Espona Bay	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Soul Warrior	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2
Alfa Duplicate	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Henriette Ronner	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Evolve	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Pivotal Terms	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Soul Warrior

OR: 3 Form: 10 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Liverpool Star

13.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Cool Molly

10.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Alfa Duplicate

8.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Espona Bay

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Henriette Ronner

7.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2

11/1

Evolve

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Pivotal Terms

3.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cool Molly	69	76	73
Alfa Duplicate	68	71	62
Liverpool Star	67	73	63
Espona Bay	66	72	60
Henriette Ronner	64	76	68
Evolve	63	72	50
Soul Warrior	62	70	14
Pivotal Terms	59	72	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Espona Bay	16d ago	Fit
Pivotal Terms	16d ago	Fit
Liverpool Star	21d ago	Fit
Cool Molly	21d ago	Fit
Alfa Duplicate	21d ago	Fit
Henriette Ronner	21d ago	Fit
Evolve	49d ago	Fresh
Soul Warrior	178d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.