Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

15:42

Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap

Date 2026-03-27

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,716

Weather Overcast

Temp 6.2°C

Wind 6mph SW

Rain 0%

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (8)	Obsidian Verse Bay J:Kaiya Fraser T:James Fanshawe	J:Kaiya Fraser T:James Fanshawe	133	—	845-	67	70	-	166d	—	—	-10	10.4	0.83/1	10/3 ▲ 23%
Up in trip for his handicap/seasonal debut; been gelded; open to plenty of progress
4 (4)	Because We Can Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Clive Cox	J:Rob Hornby T:Clive Cox	134	v	055-15	68	75	61	56d	—	—	-8	9.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
7f win on h'cap debut; again pulled too hard latest; can do better if learning to settle
2 (10)	Okiru Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	135	p	732-52	69	74	49	36d	—	—	-7	9.8	1.00/1	4/1 ▲ 20%
Placed in three of his five starts; cheekpieces now added; more appealing than many
6 (9)	Mighty Vega Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	133	tp	5-4552	67	77	72	6d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-4	7.6	1.75/1	7/1 ▼ 13%
Good 2nd at Newcastle last week (6f); 2lb well in but has more to prove over 7f
3 (3)	Pretty Danielle Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	134	—	34345-	68	71	38	121d	—	—	0	9.3	2.00/1	8/1 ▲ 11%
Fair form as a 2yo but she was no threat in either handicap start; may do better this year
7 (7)	Yachtsman Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Jack Morland	J:Callum Shepherd T:Jack Morland	133	t	4785-3	67	71	47	60d	—	—	0	9.9	2.25/1	9/1 ▼ 10%
Creditable 3rd on stable debut (6f) in January; stamina for 7f still to be proven
9 (5)	My Shagaf Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:T J Kent	J:Connor Planas(3) T:T J Kent	131	p	833-83	65	78	56	36d	—	—	-2	5.9	3.00/1	12/1 ▼ 8%
Has shown promise but pulled hard and was well beaten when headgear was tried in January
10 (2)	Arjack Bay J:Joe Leavy T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy T:Richard Hannon	128	—	5588-	62	77	-	165d	—	—	-1	4.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Didn't progress from his debut effort as a 2yo; still early days but improvement is needed
1 (6)	Jamie Sommers Bay J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	135	—	951-7	69	74	42	60d	—	—	+2	5.6	8.25/1	33/1 ▼ 3%
Novice win came in a modest event; no impact on handicap debut; improvement needed
8 (1)	Roccobear Bay J:Jonny Peate T:J R Jenkins	J:Jonny Peate T:J R Jenkins	131	—	48-8	65	75	30	48d	—	—	+2	4.3	20.00/1	80/1 ▼ 1%
Beaten just two rivals home in his three maiden/novice starts; opposable on handicap debut

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Obsidian Verse	10/3	10/3	10/3
Because We Can	4/1	4/1	4/1
Okiru	7/2	7/2	4/1
Mighty Vega	6/1	7/1	13/2
Pretty Danielle	8/1	15/2	15/2
Yachtsman	9/1	17/2	8/1
My Shagaf	12/1	11/1	10/1
Arjack	14/1	14/1	14/1
Jamie Sommers	33/1	28/1	28/1
Roccobear	80/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Obsidian Verse

10.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Yachtsman

9.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

9/1

3rd

Okiru

9.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Because We Can

9.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Pretty Danielle

9.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Mighty Vega

7.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

My Shagaf

5.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Jamie Sommers

5.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Arjack

4.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Roccobear

4.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Okiru	69	74	49
Jamie Sommers	69	74	42
Because We Can	68	75	61
Pretty Danielle	68	71	38
Obsidian Verse	67	70	—
Mighty Vega	67	77	72
Yachtsman	67	71	47
My Shagaf	65	78	56
Roccobear	65	75	30
Arjack	62	77	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mighty Vega	6d ago	Quick return
Okiru	36d ago	Fit
My Shagaf	36d ago	Fit
Roccobear	48d ago	Fresh
Because We Can	56d ago	Fresh
Yachtsman	60d ago	Fresh
Jamie Sommers	60d ago	Fresh
Pretty Danielle	121d ago	Long break
Arjack	165d ago	Long break
Obsidian Verse	166d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.