Off The Fence On youtube.com/attheraces Handicap Hurdle

Southwell

5:40

Date 2023-04-12

Distance 2m4f88y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,406

Runners 16

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5	Mole Court b Kielan Woods · Ben Pauling	Kielan Woods · Ben Pauling	160	—	-46721	92	102	85	45d	—	—	+8	30.7	11/4 27%
Fortunate to open his account at Hereford last time out; mark unchanged
NR	Cant Beat History ch Lee Edwards · Henry Oliver	Lee Edwards · Henry Oliver	159	t	-27962	91	103	94	49d	—	—	+3	21.9	7/2 22%
Went close at Doncaster (handicap debut) seven weeks ago; enters calculations
9	Whenthepennydrops b Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	154	p	64-075	86	88	76	35d	—	—	+2	11.7	15/2 12%
First-time headgear may prompt improvement; not written off
2	Tedwin Hills b Tom Bellamy · Emma Lavelle	Tom Bellamy · Emma Lavelle	168	—	4-872	100	97	65	53d	—	—	+5	15.6	13/2 13%
Clear second (behind subsequent scorer) in maiden hurdle last time; respected
13	The Bandit br Bryony Frost · Neil King	Bryony Frost · Neil King	144	h	-3P95P	76	104	74	38d	—	—	0	9	15/2 12%
Drop back to 2m4f may suit on third handicap attempt
4	Lough Carra b Sam Twiston-Davies · Jennie Candlish	Sam Twiston-Davies · Jennie Candlish	162	—	222234	94	100	86	102d	—	—	+12	20.3	11 9%
Has form figures of 2222 in handicaps at 2m3f/2m4f; possibilities
8	Miss Wachit b Jamie Hamilton · Ruth Jefferson	Jamie Hamilton · Ruth Jefferson	155	b	-71024	87	102	73	242d	—	—	+10	18.1	10 10%
Sole win for Alex Hales came over C&D; makes debut for new yard
11	Lighthouse Mill ch Charlie Deutsch · David Dennis	Charlie Deutsch · David Dennis	147	—	0P46P0	79	105	84	30d	—	—	+3	9	12 8%
Maiden who looks far from solid on form
12	Raqisa b Jack Quinlan · Amy Murphy	Jack Quinlan · Amy Murphy	146	tp	776-6	78	97	72	37d	—	—	+2	8.7	14 7%
Only a modest sixth over C&D last month; cheekpieces now added
3	Coconut Tudor b Peter Kavanagh(5) · John Mackie	Peter Kavanagh(5) · John Mackie	164	—	P98PP5	96	101	51	37d	—	—	+7	13.2	14 7%
Only a modest fifth over C&D last month (second run for new stable)
NR	My Virtue b Alex Edwards · Mel Rowley	Alex Edwards · Mel Rowley	150	h	1-9074	82	95	45	20d	—	—	+10	17	22 5%
Opening mark of 82 isn't burdensome
14	Clean Getaway b Joe Williamson(5) · Philip Kirby	Joe Williamson(5) · Philip Kirby	144	—	-48F75	76	102	75	14d	—	—	+3	7.9	16 6%
Modest maiden who has weak form claims
7	Merveillo b Kevin Brogan · Jonjo Oneill	Kevin Brogan · Jonjo Oneill	159	—	3P080	91	99	85	20d	—	—	+5	12.5	12 8%
Has not transferred his useful Flat ability to hurdling
16	Cheers Delboy ch Ben Poste · Harriet Dickin	Ben Poste · Harriet Dickin	142	p	3-3464	74	96	90	164d	—	—	+5	9.1	28 4%
Thoroughly exposed maiden and lacks recent match practice
1	Manofthemoment b Lewis Stones(5) · Caroline Fryer	Lewis Stones(5) · Caroline Fryer	168	—	6521/P	100	-	-	26d	—	—	+10	13.4	33 3%
Achieved nothing last month when back from long absence
15	Classic Tune b David Noonan · Claire Dyson	David Noonan · Claire Dyson	143	t	308-7P	75	99	55	37d	—	—	+4	7	40 3%
Won here in 2020 but still needs to prove he retains that ability

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mole Court	3	3	11/4	3	3
Cant Beat History	7/2	4	4	4	4
Whenthepennydrops	15/2	15/2	15/2	7	15/2
Tedwin Hills	7	7	13/2	13/2	13/2
The Bandit	8	8	8	15/2	15/2
Lough Carra	10	9	11	9	9
Miss Wachit	10	10	17/2	9	9
Lighthouse Mill	12	12	12	12	12
Raqisa	14	14	14	12	12
Coconut Tudor	12	14	12	11	12
My Virtue	22	22	20	22	22
Clean Getaway	16	14	14	14	14
Merveillo	12	11	12	10	10
Cheers Delboy	25	28	22	25	25
Manofthemoment	33	28	28	33	33
Classic Tune	40	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mole Court

30.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Cant Beat History

21.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 6 Odds: 5.6

7/2

3rd

Lough Carra

20.3

OR: 11 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.2

Miss Wachit

18.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.4

My Virtue

OR: 8 Form: 7 Odds: 2

Tedwin Hills

15.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Manofthemoment

13.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Coconut Tudor

13.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Merveillo

12.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 0.2 Odds: 2.1

Whenthepennydrops

11.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Cheers Delboy

9.1

OR: 6 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

The Bandit

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Lighthouse Mill

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Raqisa

8.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Clean Getaway

7.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Classic Tune

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tedwin Hills Top Rated	100	97	65
Manofthemoment	100	—	—
Coconut Tudor	96	101	51
Lough Carra	94	100	86
Mole Court	92	102	85
Cant Beat History	91	103	94
Merveillo	91	99	85
Miss Wachit	87	102	73
Whenthepennydrops	86	88	76
My Virtue	82	95	45
Lighthouse Mill	79	105	84
Raqisa	78	97	72
The Bandit	76	104	74
Clean Getaway	76	102	75
Classic Tune	75	99	55
Cheers Delboy	74	96	90

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mole Court	45d ago	Fit
Cant Beat History	49d ago	Fresh
Whenthepennydrops	35d ago	Fit
Tedwin Hills	53d ago	Fresh
The Bandit	38d ago	Fit
Lough Carra	102d ago	Long break
Miss Wachit	242d ago	Long break
Lighthouse Mill	30d ago	Fit
Raqisa	37d ago	Fit
Coconut Tudor	37d ago	Fit
My Virtue	20d ago	Fit
Clean Getaway	14d ago	Fit
Merveillo	20d ago	Fit
Cheers Delboy	164d ago	Long break
Manofthemoment	26d ago	Fit
Classic Tune	37d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Soft

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