DragonBet Proud To Be Welsh Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Chepstow

4:22

Date 2023-04-15

Distance 2m3f100y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,406

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR	Bellamys Girl b NON-RUNNER · Martin Wilesmith	NON-RUNNER · Martin Wilesmith	142	—	85P	73	-	-	9d	—	—	-44	25.8	—
Showed no promise at huge odds in three maiden hurdles this year; 28lb wrong today
6	Dragoon Springs br Nick Slatter(5) · Fergal Obrien	Nick Slatter(5) · Fergal Obrien	157	t	65448-	88	102	-	443d	—	—	-10	17.9	5/2 29%
All three handicap runs for Tony Carroll last season were respectable; stable debut today
3	Hes My Shadow gr Mitchell Bastyan · Robbie Llewellyn	Mitchell Bastyan · Robbie Llewellyn	165	t	-37764	96	95	81	27d	—	—	+2	16.1	11/2 15%
Shaped with significant promise in all three qualifying runs; could take some catching
9	Jack The Farmer br Tom Buckley(3) · Nigel Hawke	Tom Buckley(3) · Nigel Hawke	143	—	-757PP	74	104	61	128d	—	—	-3	9.6	13/2 13%
Pulled up on final two starts for Ben Lund; needs to have been revitalised by yard switch
5	Casts Tasha b Tom Bellamy · Ben Clarke	Tom Bellamy · Ben Clarke	161	t	633662	92	102	84	14d	—	—	+9	20.3	15/2 12%
Got back on track with good effort in defeat a fortnight ago and is 1lb lower now
1	Rajjamataz ch Luke Scott(7) · Dr Richard Newland	Luke Scott(7) · Dr Richard Newland	168	—	607F4	99	107	88	16d	—	—	+4	15.6	13/2 13%
Ran well from the front in recent Hexham maiden; shortlisted on handicap debut
4	Adamhill b Lee Edwards · Henry Oliver	Lee Edwards · Henry Oliver	161	—	-95054	92	104	73	53d	—	—	+4	13	9 11%
Back hurdling after a disappointing chase run; had wind op last month; still unexposed
8	Robynson b Bridget Andrews · Dan Skelton	Bridget Andrews · Dan Skelton	150	—	8005	81	97	61	40d	—	—	+2	10.1	11 9%
Cut little ice in novice company; may improve now upped in trip for handicap debut
7	Duke Of Earl br David Bass · Kim Bailey	David Bass · Kim Bailey	153	t	669/6	84	104	52	143d	—	—	+4	10.2	12 8%
Well beaten after racing too freely on handicap debut but not written off just yet
2	Gastara b Sean Houlihan · Richard Hawker	Sean Houlihan · Richard Hawker	167	—	P32-F6	98	102	-	308d	—	—	+9	13.2	20 5%
0-16 under all codes and off since 56l defeat over fences last June

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bellamys Girl	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Dragoon Springs	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4
Hes My Shadow	11/2	5	9/2	5	5
Jack The Farmer	6	6	5	6	13/2
Casts Tasha	15/2	13/2	11/2	7	7
Rajjamataz	13/2	13/2	11/2	13/2	7
Adamhill	9	9	8	9	9
Robynson	10	10	8	10	11
Duke Of Earl	12	12	11	12	12
Gastara	20	20	16	20	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bellamys Girl

25.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Casts Tasha

20.3

OR: 10.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

3rd

Dragoon Springs

17.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Hes My Shadow

16.1

OR: 11.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 4

11/2

Rajjamataz

15.6

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Gastara

13.2

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Adamhill

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Duke Of Earl

10.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Robynson

10.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Jack The Farmer

9.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rajjamataz Top Rated	99	107	88
Gastara	98	102	—
Hes My Shadow	96	95	81
Casts Tasha	92	102	84
Adamhill	92	104	73
Dragoon Springs	88	102	—
Duke Of Earl	84	104	52
Robynson	81	97	61
Jack The Farmer	74	104	61
Bellamys Girl	73	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bellamys Girl	9d ago	Quick return
Dragoon Springs	443d ago	Long break
Hes My Shadow	27d ago	Fit
Jack The Farmer	128d ago	Long break
Casts Tasha	14d ago	Fit
Rajjamataz	16d ago	Fit
Adamhill	53d ago	Fresh
Robynson	40d ago	Fit
Duke Of Earl	143d ago	Long break
Gastara	308d ago	Long break

Going: Good To Soft

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