David Brownlee 50 Years At Kelso Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Kelso

1:40

Date 2023-04-17

Distance 2m2f25y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Jimmy Chou Pecos Aa b Ben Harvey(5) · John C Mcconnell	Ben Harvey(5) · John C Mcconnell	159	t	25-22	125	127	83	44d	—	—	-13	35.1	5/6 55%
Runner-up on both hurdling starts in Ireland and ought to be very hard to beat here
1	Ballyporeen b Brian Hughes · Donald Mccain	Brian Hughes · Donald Mccain	166	—	253451	113	126	109	24d	—	—	+8	34.7	5/2 29%
Wide-margin handicap winner on last month's stable debut; respected under penalty
2	Chase A Fortune b Sean Quinlan · Chris Grant	Sean Quinlan · Chris Grant	166	—	223212	114	115	96	34d	—	—	+19	38.1	7/2 22%
Won easily at Catterick in February and placed on other four hurdling starts; in the mix
10	Beauty To Behold gr Alan Doyle(5) · Patrick Neville	Alan Doyle(5) · Patrick Neville	152	h	P138	-	101	78	48d	—	—	+5	7.1	50 2%
Won small-field Irish point in October but soundly beaten on first two hurdling starts
13	Monty Nevett ch Emma Smith-Chaston(3) · Jedd Okeeffe	Emma Smith-Chaston(3) · Jedd Okeeffe	151	—	068	-	-	-	97d	—	—	-1	0.5	66 2%
Didn't show enough in three bumpers to warrant serious consideration on hurdling debut
6	Lucky Soldier br Conor O'Farrell · N W Alexander	Conor O'Farrell · N W Alexander	159	—	246	-	-	-	49d	—	—	0	3.4	28 4%
Second on bumper debut but next two bumper runs were underwhelming; hurdle debut
8	Monklaw b Sam Coltherd · Stuart Coltherd	Sam Coltherd · Stuart Coltherd	159	—	FF0	-	-	-	32d	—	—	-3	1.2	25 4%
Shaped with some promise on rules debut at Hexham but one for further down the line
11	Glen Ali b Craig Nichol · Iain Jardine	Craig Nichol · Iain Jardine	152	—	PP-0PR	-	-	-	38d	—	—	-1	0.3	125 1%
Yet to show any promise, and refused to race on last month's stable debut
14	Flash Bulb b Stephen Mulqueen · Katie Scott	Stephen Mulqueen · Katie Scott	144	—	—	-	-	-	49d	—	—	-1	0.2	200 1%
Placed on the Flat in Ireland but struggled when 200-1 for hurdle debut in February
5	Kopa Kilana b Conor Rabbitt(7) · Maurice Barnes	Conor Rabbitt(7) · Maurice Barnes	159	t	148-	-	-	31	—	—	—	+4	5.4	80/1 1%
Bumper winner in 2021 but hasn't shown much over hurdles/on the Flat since; stable debut
12	Not In Kansas b Bruce Lynn(3) · N W Alexander	Bruce Lynn(3) · N W Alexander	152	t	66PF	-	-	-	49d	—	—	-1	0.5	66/1 1%
Struggled on her first two hurdling starts and fell when last in action; easy to overlook
7	Midnight Fiddler ch Edward Austin(5) · Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford	Edward Austin(5) · Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford	159	—	6-P	-	-	-	76d	—	—	-1	0.3	200 1%
Struggled to get competitive on first two starts (3m1f/2m); can't be recommended
3	Diamant Sur Canape b Henry Brooke · Ewan Whillans	Henry Brooke · Ewan Whillans	159	h	9-9P9P	67	75	22	97d	—	—	+4	4.5	200 1%
Yet to show any promise after four hurdle starts; hooded for first time here
9	Special Rate b Thomas Dowson · Philip Kirby	Thomas Dowson · Philip Kirby	159	t	35-476	-	-	-	11d	—	—	-2	0.6	50 2%
Has shown ability in points/bumpers but needs to improve on today's hurdling debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Jimmy Chou Pecos Aa	4/5	4/5	5/6	4/5	4/5
Ballyporeen	5/2	9/4	9/4	2	5/2
Chase A Fortune	7/2	10/3	3	3	10/3
Beauty To Behold	50	50	50	50	50
Monty Nevett	66	66	50	50	66
Lucky Soldier	25	25	28	25	25
Monklaw	16	22	25	20	20
Glen Ali	100	100	125	100	80
Flash Bulb	200	150	150	125	125
Kopa Kilana	80	80	80	80/1	80
Not In Kansas	66	50	50	66/1	66
Midnight Fiddler	200	125	150	125	100
Diamant Sur Canape	200	125	150	150	125
Special Rate	40	40	50	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Chase A Fortune

38.1

OR: 16 Form: 16.4 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Jimmy Chou Pecos Aa

35.1

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 16.4

5/6

3rd

Ballyporeen

34.7

OR: 15.8 Form: 10.9 Odds: 8

5/2

Beauty To Behold

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 6.7 Odds: 0.5

Kopa Kilana

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Diamant Sur Canape

4.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Lucky Soldier

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.9

Monklaw

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Special Rate

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Monty Nevett

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Not In Kansas

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Glen Ali

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125

Midnight Fiddler

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Flash Bulb

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jimmy Chou Pecos Aa Top Rated	125	127	83
Chase A Fortune	114	115	96
Ballyporeen	113	126	109
Diamant Sur Canape	67	75	22
Beauty To Behold	—	101	78
Monty Nevett	—	—	—
Lucky Soldier	—	—	—
Monklaw	—	—	—
Glen Ali	—	—	—
Flash Bulb	—	—	—
Kopa Kilana	—	—	31
Not In Kansas	—	—	—
Midnight Fiddler	—	—	—
Special Rate	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jimmy Chou Pecos Aa	44d ago	Fit
Ballyporeen	24d ago	Fit
Chase A Fortune	34d ago	Fit
Beauty To Behold	48d ago	Fresh
Monty Nevett	97d ago	Long break
Lucky Soldier	49d ago	Fresh
Monklaw	32d ago	Fit
Glen Ali	38d ago	Fit
Flash Bulb	49d ago	Fresh
Kopa Kilana	—	—
Not In Kansas	49d ago	Fresh
Midnight Fiddler	76d ago	Fresh
Diamant Sur Canape	97d ago	Long break
Special Rate	11d ago	Quick return

Going: Good

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