Kate Hinkins 40th Birthday Celebration Handicap Hurdle – Bangor-on-Dee

Bangor-on-Dee

2:15

Kate Hinkins 40th Birthday Celebration Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-04-22

Distance 2m3f123y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,697

Runners 16

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3	Vandemere b Craig Nichol · John Quinn	Craig Nichol · John Quinn	165	—	31/23	107	113	96	37d	—	—	+2	19.3	18/5 22%
Irish point winner; placed on both hurdling starts and open to significant improvement
4	Hardy Boy gr Luca Morgan · Ben Pauling	Luca Morgan · Ben Pauling	164	p	-70824	106	118	108	25d	—	—	+8	21.5	9/2 18%
Went close in first-time cheekpieces two runs ago; probably won't be far away
16	Bravethewaves b Henry Brooke · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	Henry Brooke · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	150	t	683-43	92	115	89	21d	—	—	-1	14.9	9/2 18%
0-5 over hurdles but ran well over this month, after a break; up from 2m today
11	Taragrace b Charlie Maggs(10) · Donald Mccain	Charlie Maggs(10) · Donald Mccain	155	—	-225P4	97	119	110	53d	—	—	+4	16.8	6 17%
Generally pretty consistent and has slipped to a workable mark; considered each-way
NR	Rockinastorm b Richard Patrick · Henry Daly	Richard Patrick · Henry Daly	161	p	-52U95	103	117	91	30d	—	—	+6	17.1	13/2 13%
Unable to justify prominence in betting when well held in first two handicaps; headgear on
NR	Thankyourluckystar b Jay Tidball(7) · Alastair Ralph	Jay Tidball(7) · Alastair Ralph	167	—	563613	109	111	103	32d	—	—	+20	28	9 11%
Won on last month's handicap debut and could still have more to offer
6	Zafar b Abbie McCain(5) · Donald Mccain	Abbie McCain(5) · Donald Mccain	160	p	24-630	102	115	79	76d	—	—	+8	15.1	10 10%
Has conditions to suit and is well handicapped but needs to better this season's efforts
14	Ghasham b Sean Bowen · Ian Williams	Sean Bowen · Ian Williams	151	tp	66741	103	108	100	24d	—	—	+17	25.5	10 10%
Off mark over hurdles last month; could still be well handicapped if judged on Flat form
9	Sinndarella b Chris Ward(3) · Sarah Hollinshead	Chris Ward(3) · Sarah Hollinshead	156	—	1-4354	98	113	91	76d	—	—	+15	20.4	16 6%
Placed over C&D in October but has very modest 1-39 career strike-rate
13	Heva Rose gr Charlie Deutsch · Venetia Williams	Charlie Deutsch · Venetia Williams	153	—	3P-407	95	114	90	31d	—	—	+8	12.5	20 5%
Shaped well on seasonal debut in January but has suffered two heavy defeats since
10	Iceman Dennis gr Theo Gillard · Donald Mccain	Theo Gillard · Donald Mccain	155	—	U4347F	97	109	99	28d	—	—	+9	13	22 5%
Unable to land a telling blow in first two handicaps; fell last time; up in trip today
NR	Irish Sovereign b Harry Reed · Tristan Davidson	Harry Reed · Tristan Davidson	151	b	5101P-	93	117	88	382d	—	—	+16	20.6	25 4%
Dual hurdle winner last season; makes stable debut after 382-day layoff; market may guide
1	Hidor De Bersy ch Caoilin Quinn(5) · Tom Symonds	Caoilin Quinn(5) · Tom Symonds	168	p	P-2P74	110	115	59	19d	—	—	+11	16.4	18 6%
Just a respectable fourth when back over hurdles last month but cheekpieces might help
7	Tullyhogue Fort ch Mr P J O'Neill(7) · John F Oneill	Mr P J O'Neill(7) · John F Oneill	158	—	641430	100	107	81	58d	—	—	+15	18.7	25 4%
Irish raider who is a contender if judged on last autumn's form
12	Jipekaa Machin b Peter Kavanagh(5) · Donald Mccain	Peter Kavanagh(5) · Donald Mccain	154	tp	331546	106	113	69	58d	—	—	+15	18.7	22 5%
Dropped out tamely when upped to 2m4f for handicap debut; headgear switched today
8	Prison Break b David Noonan · Tim Vaughan	David Noonan · Tim Vaughan	158	t	3164P8	100	112	73	60d	—	—	+11	14.3	33 3%
Won on handicap debut last June but his last two runs were very disappointing

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Vandemere	4	7/2	7/2	18/5	7/2
Hardy Boy	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Bravethewaves	9/2	9/2	9/2	5	5
Taragrace	6	6	6	6	6
Rockinastorm	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Thankyourluckystar	9	9	9	9	9
Zafar	10	10	9	10	10
Ghasham	9	9	9	9	10
Sinndarella	16	16	16	16	16
Heva Rose	20	20	18	20	18
Iceman Dennis	20	22	16	20	20
Irish Sovereign	20	25	25	25	25
Hidor De Bersy	16	18	14	18	18
Tullyhogue Fort	25	25	18	22	22
Jipekaa Machin	20	22	18	22	22
Prison Break	25	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Thankyourluckystar

OR: 14.8 Form: 10.9 Odds: 2.3

2nd

Ghasham

25.5

OR: 13.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

3rd

Hardy Boy

21.5

OR: 14 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

9/2

Irish Sovereign

20.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.3

Sinndarella

20.4

OR: 12 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

Vandemere

19.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

18/5

Tullyhogue Fort

18.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.1

Jipekaa Machin

18.7

OR: 14 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.1

Rockinastorm

17.1

OR: 13.3 Form: 0.8 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Taragrace

16.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

Hidor De Bersy

16.4

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Zafar

15.1

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Bravethewaves

14.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Prison Break

14.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 1 Odds: 0.9

Iceman Dennis

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Heva Rose

12.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hidor De Bersy Top Rated	110	115	59
Thankyourluckystar	109	111	103
Vandemere	107	113	96
Hardy Boy	106	118	108
Jipekaa Machin	106	113	69
Rockinastorm	103	117	91
Ghasham	103	108	100
Zafar	102	115	79
Tullyhogue Fort	100	107	81
Prison Break	100	112	73
Sinndarella	98	113	91
Taragrace	97	119	110
Iceman Dennis	97	109	99
Heva Rose	95	114	90
Irish Sovereign	93	117	88
Bravethewaves	92	115	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Vandemere	37d ago	Fit
Hardy Boy	25d ago	Fit
Bravethewaves	21d ago	Fit
Taragrace	53d ago	Fresh
Rockinastorm	30d ago	Fit
Thankyourluckystar	32d ago	Fit
Zafar	76d ago	Fresh
Ghasham	24d ago	Fit
Sinndarella	76d ago	Fresh
Heva Rose	31d ago	Fit
Iceman Dennis	28d ago	Fit
Irish Sovereign	382d ago	Long break
Hidor De Bersy	19d ago	Fit
Tullyhogue Fort	58d ago	Fresh
Jipekaa Machin	58d ago	Fresh
Prison Break	60d ago	Fresh

Going: Good

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