Stephanie Pennington Birthday Celebration Handicap (Div II)

Thirsk

4:15

Date 2023-04-22

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (4)	Run This Way b NON-RUNNER · Paul Midgley	NON-RUNNER · Paul Midgley	128	—	749-76	68	-	-	19d	—	—	-46	24.5	—
Won this race last year off 1lb lower; mixed bag since but a big run is expected today
1 (1)	Society Lion b Hollie Doyle · Ed Dunlop	Hollie Doyle · Ed Dunlop	135	t	2373-3	75	88	76	16d	—	—	-2	13.7	9/2 18%
Promising return to action at Chelmsford recently; 5lb lower on grass; handles slow ground
2 (7)	Cold Stare b Daniel Tudhope · David Omeara	Daniel Tudhope · David Omeara	134	tp	5447-4	74	89	77	20d	—	—	-7	11.2	7/2 22%
Drops to Class 5 for the first time; rain would help but he'll need a strong pace to win
4 (6)	As If By Chance b Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	133	v	200-35	73	91	83	19d	—	—	-4	9.8	9/2 18%
C&D win in big field last May & only 2lb higher; promise on AW this year; often slow away
8 (11)	Little Earl b Paul Mulrennan · Ruth Carr	Paul Mulrennan · Ruth Carr	129	—	60-707	69	85	67	24d	—	—	-3	7.8	13/2 13%
Dropped a long way in the weights and new yard likely to find the key to him at some point
NR (8)	Emeralds Pride br Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	123	—	43346-	63	87	82	234d	—	—	0	7.7	12 8%
C&D winner; fair mark for her return but something to prove on slower than good
3 (9)	After John b Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	133	—	1-4720	73	88	72	50d	—	—	+8	14.7	11 9%
2nd in this race last year; in good form on AW this winter but he'll need a career best
6 (3)	Parisiac b Thore Hammer Hansen · Alice Haynes	Thore Hammer Hansen · Alice Haynes	132	h	860-07	72	89	82	79d	—	—	-1	8.2	17/2 11%
Potentially well treated back on turf but some low-key AW runs for this yard are the worry
5 (2)	Kapono b Jonny Peate(5) · Roger Fell	Jonny Peate(5) · Roger Fell	132	—	7-0762	72	85	70	22d	—	—	+1	7.2	12 8%
Good AW run latest but he returns to the grass off a 7lb higher mark
7 (13)	Cotai West b Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	131	—	15129-	71	85	73	238d	—	—	+12	17.4	14 7%
Two 5f wins last year & not badly treated for her return; has to prove her stamina though
12 (10)	Showmolina b Jack Garritty · Danny Brooke	Jack Garritty · Danny Brooke	127	—	41000-	67	83	83	189d	—	—	+3	9	14 7%
Won twice in big fields last season in Ireland; sold £2,000 in January; hard to assess
11 (12)	Ramiro ch Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	127	h	/5080-	67	84	51	285d	—	—	-1	6.2	16 6%
Blown the start and well beaten in all five runs for this yard; hood on back from absence
10 (5)	Impeller b Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	128	tp	10030-	68	86	72	169d	—	—	+6	9.5	25 4%
Well beaten in this race last year and he's not the most consistent; others appeal more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Run This Way	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Society Lion	4	9/2	9/2	9/2	4
Cold Stare	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
As If By Chance	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Little Earl	13/2	13/2	6	6	7
Emeralds Pride	11	12	11	12	12
After John	11	11	11	11	11
Parisiac	8	17/2	15/2	8	9
Kapono	12	11	11	12	12
Cotai West	14	14	12	14	14
Showmolina	14	14	14	14	14
Ramiro	16	16	12	14	16
Impeller	25	25	22	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Run This Way

24.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Cotai West

17.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 10.5 Odds: 1.6

3rd

After John

14.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

Society Lion

13.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Cold Stare

11.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

As If By Chance

9.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Impeller

9.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 0.9

Showmolina

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

Parisiac

8.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Little Earl

7.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Emeralds Pride

7.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.4 Odds: 2

Kapono

7.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ramiro

6.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Society Lion Top Rated	75	88	76
Cold Stare	74	89	77
As If By Chance	73	91	83
After John	73	88	72
Parisiac	72	89	82
Kapono	72	85	70
Cotai West	71	85	73
Little Earl	69	85	67
Run This Way	68	—	—
Impeller	68	86	72
Showmolina	67	83	83
Ramiro	67	84	51
Emeralds Pride	63	87	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Run This Way	19d ago	Fit
Society Lion	16d ago	Fit
Cold Stare	20d ago	Fit
As If By Chance	19d ago	Fit
Little Earl	24d ago	Fit
Emeralds Pride	234d ago	Long break
After John	50d ago	Fresh
Parisiac	79d ago	Fresh
Kapono	22d ago	Fit
Cotai West	238d ago	Long break
Showmolina	189d ago	Long break
Ramiro	285d ago	Long break
Impeller	169d ago	Long break

Going: Soft

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