Race Horse Lotto Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

5:20

Race Horse Lotto Handicap

Date 2023-05-05

Distance 1m

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £15,462

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8 (10)	Warning Sign ch Shane Kelly · Gary Moore	Shane Kelly · Gary Moore	129	—	2786-0	81	96	51	34d	—	—	-5	13	9/2 18%
Has not looked on a great mark but he was first of his small group in the Spring Mile
9 (9)	Longlai b James Doyle · Michael Wigham	James Doyle · Michael Wigham	128	—	/463-1	80	100	88	23d	—	—	+8	21.1	6 17%
Back with a bang last month to win on stable debut; below form on softer than good
4 (8)	Arthurs Realm b Oisin Murphy · Ed Dunlop	Oisin Murphy · Ed Dunlop	136	—	230-67	88	101	96	34d	—	—	+1	12.8	13/2 13%
Suited by ground softer than good but perhaps the heavy ground last time was too much
2 (1)	Outbreak b Andrea Atzeni · Charlie Johnston	Andrea Atzeni · Charlie Johnston	139	—	-51439	91	99	37	17d	—	—	+6	19	11/2 15%
In good form on AW prior to a C&D run when good to soft ground might have been to blame
5 (3)	Hafeet Alain b Hollie Doyle · Ed Walker	Hollie Doyle · Ed Walker	135	—	-40506	87	104	-	28d	—	—	-1	13.3	9/2 18%
Some AW form still reads well compared to this reduced mark; last ran on turf on 2021
3 (4)	Spinaround b Daniel Muscutt · Kevin Philippart De Foy	Daniel Muscutt · Kevin Philippart De Foy	138	—	470-72	90	98	87	23d	—	—	+3	12.9	17/2 11%
New trainer this season and surged back to his best when beaten a neck at Kempton (1m, AW)
6 (7)	Tahitian Prince b Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	133	p	/740-5	85	101	75	18d	—	—	+2	11.4	17/2 11%
18 days ago saw his first run for 289 days and he could prove more potent this time
7 (5)	Power Of Darkness b Callum Shepherd · Charlie Fellowes	Callum Shepherd · Charlie Fellowes	133	—	9-5837	85	102	90	28d	—	—	+2	11.3	16 6%
Close third on penultimate AW start this year and not disgraced in a warm affair on latest
1 (2)	Azano b Daniel Tudhope · David Omeara	Daniel Tudhope · David Omeara	140	—	6054-5	92	104	80	13d	—	—	+7	11.9	18 6%
Best of 2022 form (July/August) reads well compared to this mark; well beaten on return
10 (6)	Cabinet Of Clowns gr/ro Georgia Dobie(3) · Eve Johnson Houghton	Georgia Dobie(3) · Eve Johnson Houghton	124	—	1234-9	76	100	92	18d	—	—	+3	7.9	14 7%
Has bit to prove at 1m (and on softer than good) but may still be capable of a bit better

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Warning Sign	4	10/3	9/2	4	4
Longlai	6	6	6	6	6
Arthurs Realm	6	13/2	6	6	13/2
Outbreak	11/2	5	5	11/2	5
Hafeet Alain	5	5	9/2	5	5
Spinaround	15/2	9	13/2	13/2	17/2
Tahitian Prince	17/2	8	7	15/2	15/2
Power Of Darkness	16	14	15/2	16	16
Azano	18	18	16	18	18
Cabinet Of Clowns	14	14	14	14	14

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Longlai

21.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

2nd

Outbreak

OR: 10.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Hafeet Alain

13.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Warning Sign

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Spinaround

12.9

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Arthurs Realm

12.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Azano

11.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Tahitian Prince

11.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Power Of Darkness

11.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Cabinet Of Clowns

7.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Azano Top Rated	92	104	80
Outbreak	91	99	37
Spinaround	90	98	87
Arthurs Realm	88	101	96
Hafeet Alain	87	104	—
Tahitian Prince	85	101	75
Power Of Darkness	85	102	90
Warning Sign	81	96	51
Longlai	80	100	88
Cabinet Of Clowns	76	100	92

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Warning Sign	34d ago	Fit
Longlai	23d ago	Fit
Arthurs Realm	34d ago	Fit
Outbreak	17d ago	Fit
Hafeet Alain	28d ago	Fit
Spinaround	23d ago	Fit
Tahitian Prince	18d ago	Fit
Power Of Darkness	28d ago	Fit
Azano	13d ago	Quick return
Cabinet Of Clowns	18d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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