CAA Stellar Earl Grosvenor Handicap – Chester

Chester

1:30

CAA Stellar Earl Grosvenor Handicap

Date 2023-05-12

Distance 7f127y

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £20,384

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
13 (1)	Wobwobwob b Leigh Roche · Adrian Paul Keatley	Leigh Roche · Adrian Paul Keatley	118	—	316-42	86	114	78	13d	—	—	-4	14.2	7/2 22%
Suited by slow ground; respectable efforts this term; likely player off unaltered mark
3 (4)	Boardman b Sean Kirrane(3) · Tim Easterby	Sean Kirrane(3) · Tim Easterby	129	—	48-705	97	117	86	13d	—	—	0	16.8	9/2 18%
Dual C&D winner; close fifth in this race last year despite a difficult trip; shortlisted
9 (6)	Revich b Jim Crowley · Richard Spencer	Jim Crowley · Richard Spencer	124	v	838-93	92	119	59	20d	—	—	+1	14.5	9/2 18%
Has plenty of Chester form; unlucky third in this contest 12 months ago; now 3lb lower
12 (12)	Ffion b Hollie Doyle · David Loughnane	Hollie Doyle · David Loughnane	120	—	75918-	88	118	103	197d	—	—	+7	20.1	11/2 15%
Has form figures of 5211 at Chester, the two wins on slow ground; interesting back here
5 (8)	Gweedore b Paul Mulrennan · Katie Scott	Paul Mulrennan · Katie Scott	128	—	153-12	96	114	94	13d	—	—	+4	14.6	13/2 13%
Productive sort; better than ever in two starts this term; should go well again
NR (3)	Croupier b Ryan Moore · Simon & Ed Crisford	Ryan Moore · Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	3151-0	96	115	95	41d	—	—	+3	14.8	13/2 13%
Finished last in the Lincoln; steadily progressive otherwise and could well bounce back
8 (10)	Red Mirage ch Jason Hart · John Quinn	Jason Hart · John Quinn	124	—	13244-	92	115	105	233d	—	—	+10	18.1	11 9%
Narrowly won this race (off 2lb lower) last year for Andrew Balding; hard to dismiss
2 (13)	Percys Lad ch Richard Kingscote · Daniel & Claire Kubler	Richard Kingscote · Daniel & Claire Kubler	130	—	05194-	98	115	96	217d	—	—	+11	19.2	10 10%
C&D winner last summer; weighted to the hilt now and forecast slow ground is a negative
7 (9)	Heat Of The Moment ch Ben Curtis · Jane Chapple-Hyam	Ben Curtis · Jane Chapple-Hyam	125	—	/607-5	93	110	68	24d	—	—	+8	11.7	28 4%
Made an encouraging handicap debut at Newmarket last month; may build on that effort
6 (2)	Al Rufaa b Rossa Ryan · Charlie Fellowes	Rossa Ryan · Charlie Fellowes	125	—	8429-9	93	115	108	24d	—	—	+8	11.7	28 4%
Losing spell goes back to 2020; failed to beat a rival on debut for new yard
1 (7)	Witch Hunter b Dane O'Neill · Richard Hannon	Dane O'Neill · Richard Hannon	135	p	-72020	103	114	66	13d	—	—	+16	19	50 2%
Well below best in two turf attempts this year and he's now 0-8 in this sphere; opposed
NR (11)	Street Kid ch NON-RUNNER · Kevin Philippart De Foy	NON-RUNNER · Kevin Philippart De Foy	124	p	24-624	92	-	-	37d	—	—	+7	11.9	18 6%
Chance hinges on whether he can transfer his useful AW form back to turf
NR (5)	Royal Pleasure b NON-RUNNER · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	NON-RUNNER · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	122	ht	13098-	90	108	98	211d	—	—	-40	32.9	20 5%
0-5 on turf but market support should be heeded on debut for new stable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Wobwobwob	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Boardman	4	4	4	4	9/2
Revich	5	5	9/2	5	5
Ffion	5	5	5	5	11/2
Gweedore	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Croupier	13/2	13/2	6	6	6
Red Mirage	11	10	9	10	10
Percys Lad	10	10	9	9	9
Heat Of The Moment	28	25	22	25	22
Al Rufaa	28	25	22	25	25
Witch Hunter	50	40	33	40	33
Street Kid	16	18	16	16	16
Royal Pleasure	16	18	18	20	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Royal Pleasure

32.9

OR: 10 Form: 2.9 Odds: 20

2nd

Ffion

20.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Percys Lad

19.2

OR: 12 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

Witch Hunter

OR: 13.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

Red Mirage

18.1

OR: 10.5 Form: 5.4 Odds: 2.2

Boardman

16.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Croupier

14.8

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Gweedore

14.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Revich

14.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Wobwobwob

14.2

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Street Kid

11.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Heat Of The Moment

11.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Al Rufaa

11.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Witch Hunter Top Rated	103	114	66
Percys Lad	98	115	96
Boardman	97	117	86
Gweedore	96	114	94
Croupier	96	115	95
Heat Of The Moment	93	110	68
Al Rufaa	93	115	108
Revich	92	119	59
Red Mirage	92	115	105
Street Kid	92	—	—
Royal Pleasure	90	108	98
Ffion	88	118	103
Wobwobwob	86	114	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wobwobwob	13d ago	Quick return
Boardman	13d ago	Quick return
Revich	20d ago	Fit
Ffion	197d ago	Long break
Gweedore	13d ago	Quick return
Croupier	41d ago	Fit
Red Mirage	233d ago	Long break
Percys Lad	217d ago	Long break
Heat Of The Moment	24d ago	Fit
Al Rufaa	24d ago	Fit
Witch Hunter	13d ago	Quick return
Street Kid	37d ago	Fit
Royal Pleasure	211d ago	Long break

Going: Soft

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