St Austell Brewery Handicap Chase – Newton Abbot

Newton Abbot

3:10

St Austell Brewery Handicap Chase

Date 2023-05-17

Distance 3m1f170y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £4,832

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3	Doctor Foley b Rex Dingle · Anthony Honeyball	Rex Dingle · Anthony Honeyball	164	t	0/51-1	90	97	82	7d	—	—	-3	30.6	13/8 38%
2-2 over fences; 7lb penalty for last week's Fontwell win; strong claims again
2	Lady Wilberry br Harry Kimber(3) · Keiran Burke	Harry Kimber(3) · Keiran Burke	167	tp	33342-	93	102	77	20d	—	—	+6	24	5 20%
Consistent but yet to win; may have to settle for minor honours again
1	Paseo b Shane Quinlan(3) · Venetia Williams	Shane Quinlan(3) · Venetia Williams	168	—	15266-	94	103	75	31d	—	—	+9	17.9	10 10%
Ludlow winner last November but only one good effort in four starts since
6	West Orchard b Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	154	t	4OO54-	80	-	-	24d	—	—	+1	10	17/2 11%
Has ability but has proved untrustworthy over hurdles; chasing debut/first start at trip
5	Wind Tor b Miss Chloe Emsley(7) · Polly Gundry	Miss Chloe Emsley(7) · Polly Gundry	154	—	6P334-	80	105	93	19d	—	—	+5	13	10 10%
Thorough stayer; has run well in recent starts but tends to show her best at Exeter
8	Entre Deux b Nick Scholfield · Paul Henderson	Nick Scholfield · Paul Henderson	149	p	/PP44-	75	102	83	20d	—	—	0	8.6	17/2 11%
Often disappoints but very close fourth at Warwick latest; repeat brings into reckoning
7	Mountain Grey gr/ro Daniel Sansom(3) · Seamus Mullins	Daniel Sansom(3) · Seamus Mullins	150	—	/5P77-	76	93	55	26d	—	—	+1	8.6	11 9%
Unplaced all starts, the latest on chasing debut last month; markedly up in trip
9	Baily Gorse b Sean Houlihan · Linda Blackford	Sean Houlihan · Linda Blackford	145	p	2/646-	71	92	78	36d	—	—	+5	10.1	18 6%
Maiden after 24 starts; tailed off on return from an absence
4	Shortcross Storm b Bryan Carver · Chris Honour	Bryan Carver · Chris Honour	155	b	674P6-	81	97	91	20d	—	—	+5	8.8	22 5%
Well beaten on recent return from break/wind op; takes marked step up in trip
NR	Bellamys Grey gr Micheal Nolan · Carroll Gray	Micheal Nolan · Carroll Gray	144	t	3P740-	70	93	41	26d	—	—	-45	25.2	40 3%
Tends to find himself too far back and not in great form lately; tongue-strap fitted

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Doctor Foley	6/4	6/4	13/8	6/4	6/4
Lady Wilberry	5	10/3	4	4	4
Paseo	10	10	8	9	17/2
West Orchard	8	17/2	15/2	8	17/2
Wind Tor	10	9	8	9	9
Entre Deux	8	9	17/2	9	9
Mountain Grey	9	11	9	11	11
Baily Gorse	16	18	14	18	18
Shortcross Storm	20	22	18	22	22
Bellamys Grey	40	28	28	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Doctor Foley

30.6

OR: 10 Form: 10 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Bellamys Grey

25.2

OR: 5 Form: 0.2 Odds: 20

3rd

Lady Wilberry

OR: 10.8 Form: 8 Odds: 5.2

Paseo

17.9

OR: 11 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.4

Wind Tor

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.2 Odds: 2.4

Baily Gorse

10.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

West Orchard

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Shortcross Storm

8.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Entre Deux

8.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Mountain Grey

8.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Paseo Top Rated	94	103	75
Lady Wilberry	93	102	77
Doctor Foley	90	97	82
Shortcross Storm	81	97	91
West Orchard	80	—	—
Wind Tor	80	105	93
Mountain Grey	76	93	55
Entre Deux	75	102	83
Baily Gorse	71	92	78
Bellamys Grey	70	93	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Doctor Foley	7d ago	Quick return
Lady Wilberry	20d ago	Fit
Paseo	31d ago	Fit
West Orchard	24d ago	Fit
Wind Tor	19d ago	Fit
Entre Deux	20d ago	Fit
Mountain Grey	26d ago	Fit
Baily Gorse	36d ago	Fit
Shortcross Storm	20d ago	Fit
Bellamys Grey	26d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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