Tote Always SP Or Better Handicap Hurdle – Downpatrick

Downpatrick

5:30

Tote Always SP Or Better Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-05-19

Distance 2m2f165y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners 16

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5	Mister Twist b Niall Moore(7) · Philip Fenton	Niall Moore(7) · Philip Fenton	164	b	8422-4	105	117	107	15d	—	—	-6	22.6	5/2 29%
Maiden has been placed several times, though creeping up the h'cap; can be involved
7	Set Point b Ben Harvey(5) · Gordon Elliott	Ben Harvey(5) · Gordon Elliott	163	p	6604-	104	111	64	29d	—	—	-4	21.1	11/4 27%
Flat winner ran a fine race on handicap debut at Kilbeggan; chance stepped up in trip
11	Queenie Newall b Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	159	t	063/5-	100	105	58	47d	—	—	0	17.5	9/2 18%
Went close at Leopardstown last year and not a bad return over C&D; player today
12	I Dont Get It b Mike O'Connor(5) · Neill Mccluskey	Mike O'Connor(5) · Neill Mccluskey	158	—	3301-1	99	119	102	18d	—	—	+15	24.9	17/2 11%
In great form, winning over C&D before scoring at Down Royal; up 7lb today but respected
2	Bigz Belief b James Smith(7) · Matthew J Smith	James Smith(7) · Matthew J Smith	166	tb	80R07-	107	118	101	—	—	—	+9	16.2	14 7%
Some decent Flat runs recently but earlier hurdles form leaves him with work to do
8	Turkestan b Mr J C Barry(3) · Mark Michael Mcniff	Mr J C Barry(3) · Mark Michael Mcniff	162	ht	27/8F-	103	102	51	—	—	—	+9	14.9	16 6%
Maiden was placed three times in 2021 but hsn't been seen for a while; hood applied
NR	Lariat ch TBC · J J Lambe	· J J Lambe	156	—	8260U-	97	114	105	—	—	—	+8	13.1	20 5%
Maiden after 11 hurdle starts but has a squeak on his best efforts; reserve
3	Willyouwalkwithme b Shane O'Callaghan(7) · H Smyth	Shane O'Callaghan(7) · H Smyth	166	—	61091-	107	110	101	224d	—	—	+24	28.6	18 6%
Three-time C&D winner but is 7lb higher than for last win here; go well if ready enough
9	Forest Pump ch Sean Flanagan · Matthew J Smith	Sean Flanagan · Matthew J Smith	161	ht	/P04P-	102	98	26	291d	—	—	+7	15.2	14 7%
Decent run in a maiden here last July; pulled-up on handicap debut next time; tongue-tie
1	Justicialism b Shane Fitzgerald(3) · B R Hamilton	Shane Fitzgerald(3) · B R Hamilton	168	—	02407-	109	118	87	54d	—	—	+13	17.6	16 6%
Dual hurdle winner has been below his best the last twice but a chance if bouncing back
NR	No Bodder b TBC · Anthony Mullins	· Anthony Mullins	152	—	P050P-	93	112	35	69d	—	—	+8	11.6	25 4%
Beaten a long way on last few starts on soft ground; needs to improve plenty; reserve
6	Montys Way b P J O'Hanlon(5) · George Stanley	P J O'Hanlon(5) · George Stanley	163	t	7068-9	104	116	66	7d	—	—	+11	14.5	33 3%
Dual Flat winner didn't run too badly on handicap hurdle debut last week but needs more
4	Arakan Quest gr Miss T Quail(7) · S Mcparlan	Miss T Quail(7) · S Mcparlan	165	—	3/353/	106	114	-	972d	—	—	+12	17.5	33 3%
Maiden has shown some ability but can only be watched returning from a long absence
13	Dinoland b Brian Hayes · John C Mcconnell	Brian Hayes · John C Mcconnell	157	—	778-0	98	113	86	18d	—	—	+9	13.2	50 2%
Respectable efforts in three maiden hurdles and of some interest on handicap debut
NR	True Destiny ch TBC · J J Lambe	· J J Lambe	154	—	100P0-	95	115	94	—	—	—	+9	13.5	50 2%
Well beaten on recent starts including on the Flat; needs to show much more; reserve
10	Roi De Dubai b Simon Torrens · John C Mcconnell	Simon Torrens · John C Mcconnell	161	—	00F00-	102	111	57	29d	—	—	+10	14.3	100 1%
Course winner has been soundly beaten the last twice and has to show more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mister Twist	9/4	2	5/2	9/4	2
Set Point	11/4	5/2	17/8	11/4	11/4
Queenie Newall	9/2	4	7/2	4	4
I Dont Get It	8	17/2	8	8	17/2
Bigz Belief	14	14	11	14	12
Turkestan	16	16	14	14	14
Lariat	20	16	14	16	16
Willyouwalkwithme	18	16	16	18	16
Forest Pump	14	11	17/2	12	12
Justicialism	16	16	16	16	16
No Bodder	25	25	22	25	25
Montys Way	33	28	25	28	28
Arakan Quest	33	33	14	16	28
Dinoland	50	50	40	50	50
True Destiny	50	50	40	50	50
Roi De Dubai	100	50	33	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Willyouwalkwithme

28.6

OR: 14.3 Form: 13 Odds: 1.4

2nd

I Dont Get It

24.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

17/2

3rd

Mister Twist

22.6

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

5/2

Set Point

21.1

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.6

11/4

Justicialism

17.6

OR: 14.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Queenie Newall

17.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Arakan Quest

17.5

OR: 14 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

Bigz Belief

16.2

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Forest Pump

15.2

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Turkestan

14.9

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Montys Way

14.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Roi De Dubai

14.3

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

100

True Destiny

13.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.3

Dinoland

13.2

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Lariat

13.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

No Bodder

11.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Justicialism Top Rated	109	118	87
Bigz Belief	107	118	101
Willyouwalkwithme	107	110	101
Arakan Quest	106	114	—
Mister Twist	105	117	107
Set Point	104	111	64
Montys Way	104	116	66
Turkestan	103	102	51
Forest Pump	102	98	26
Roi De Dubai	102	111	57
Queenie Newall	100	105	58
I Dont Get It	99	119	102
Dinoland	98	113	86
Lariat	97	114	105
True Destiny	95	115	94
No Bodder	93	112	35

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mister Twist	15d ago	Fit
Set Point	29d ago	Fit
Queenie Newall	47d ago	Fresh
I Dont Get It	18d ago	Fit
Bigz Belief	—	—
Turkestan	—	—
Lariat	—	—
Willyouwalkwithme	224d ago	Long break
Forest Pump	291d ago	Long break
Justicialism	54d ago	Fresh
No Bodder	69d ago	Fresh
Montys Way	7d ago	Quick return
Arakan Quest	972d ago	Long break
Dinoland	18d ago	Fit
True Destiny	—	—
Roi De Dubai	29d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Yielding

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