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6:50

Thomas And Jane Connolly Memorial Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-05-20
Distance 6f2y
Class Class 5
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £4,320
Runners 12

Runners

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
1 (5)
Ray Dawson · Roger Varian 133 — 36-2
85
98
71
 33d — — -24
33.8
8/15
65%
Second to a rival with a BHA mark of 98 on his Kempton return.
3 (4)
Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden 133 t 06-
-
72
19
 249d — — -12
5
4
25%
Eyecatcher on second run; gelded since and had a wind op; could be an improver.
7 (11)
Joe Fanning · Mark Loughnane 133 — 422-43
77
91
85
 38d — — -2
10.1
13/2
13%
Current yard resisting any temptation to enter handicaps and perhaps vulnerable again.
8 (7)
Callum Shepherd · Charlie Fellowes 133 — 52
-
78
-
 23d — — -1
7.4
17/2
11%
Threatened at Chelmsford but the chances are this is a stronger race.
12 (3)
Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson 128 — —
-
63
19
 16d — — -4
1.4
20
5%
Poor at Redcar but was unruly beforehand and interesting that she was favourite.
NR (10)
P J McDonald · David Loughnane 133 — 0-
-
22
-
 281d — — -2
0.7
40
3%
Held some fancy entries when dropping right out at Newbury last August; still interesting.
5 (1)
William Cox · Clive Cox 133 — 7
-
50
-
 94d — — -1
0.5
66
2%
40-1 when never a threat on his Kempton debut in February (6f); bred to do better.
6 (12)
Dale Swift · Scott Dixon 133 — —
-
-
-
 — — — -2
0.8
66
2%
£15,000 2yo; third foal; brother to Italian 5.5f-6f winner (inc 2yo) Saielah.
9 (6)
Zak Wheatley(5) · Declan Carroll 133 — 4
-
67
38
 9d — — -3
1
80
1%
Positives to take from Thirsk but that bare form gives him masses to find.
4 (2)
David Nolan · Kevin Frost 133 — 7
-
44
-
 36d — — -1
0.4
80
1%
Never made any inroads from off the pace at Southwell (6f AW).
10 (8)
Dougie Costello · Steph Hollinshead 128 — —
-
19
-
 16d — — -1
0.3
125
1%
Started very slowly at Redcar (6f, good/soft) and remained in the rear throughout (80-1).
11 (9)
Nicola Currie · Jamie Osborne 128 — 0-7
-
66
45
 9d — — -1
0.5
100
1%
Has registered modest RPRs in both her runs and looks outclassed in a race like this.
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Almaty Star
 8/15 8/15 4/9 8/15 8/15
Dark Kestrel
 4 4 4 4 4
Mccauleys Tavern
 13/2 6 6 6 6
Surrey Noir
 8 17/2 9 8 17/2
Lady Chapel
 20 16 16 16 16
Boxing Alex
 40 40 40 40 40
Kaidu
 66 66 66 66 66
Lil Wade
 66 66 50 66 66
Whiskey Priest
 50 66 50 80 66
De La Hoya
 66 80 80 80 80
Beanie Blue
 125 100 100 100 100
Kynsa
 100 100 100 100 100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Almaty Star
33.8
OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 20
8/15
2nd Mccauleys Tavern
10.1
OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
13/2
3rd Surrey Noir
7.4
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4
17/2
4 Dark Kestrel
5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5
4
5 Lady Chapel
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
20
6 Whiskey Priest
1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1
80
7 Lil Wade
0.8
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
66
8 Boxing Alex
0.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
40
9 Kaidu
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
66
10 Kynsa
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
100
11 De La Hoya
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
80
12 Beanie Blue
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
125

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Almaty Star Top Rated
85
98
71
Mccauleys Tavern
77
91
85
Dark Kestrel —
72
19
Surrey Noir —
78
 —
Lady Chapel —
63
19
Boxing Alex —
22
 —
Kaidu —
50
 —
Lil Wade — — —
Whiskey Priest —
67
38
De La Hoya —
44
 —
Beanie Blue —
19
 —
Kynsa —
66
45

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Almaty Star 33d ago Fit
Dark Kestrel 249d ago Long break
Mccauleys Tavern 38d ago Fit
Surrey Noir 23d ago Fit
Lady Chapel 16d ago Fit
Boxing Alex 281d ago Long break
Kaidu 94d ago Long break
Lil Wade — —
Whiskey Priest 9d ago Quick return
De La Hoya 36d ago Fit
Beanie Blue 16d ago Fit
Kynsa 9d ago Quick return

Going: Good

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