Racing Welfare Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

7:50

Racing Welfare Handicap

Date 2023-07-25

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,621

Runners 15

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
12 (3)	Totnes b Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	131	—	151433	75	83	64	25d	—	—	-10	25.8	11/8 42%
2-3 on the AW early in the year and should be happier back to Polytrack; on the shortlist
NR (14)	Yeoman b NON-RUNNER · James Fanshawe	NON-RUNNER · James Fanshawe	130	—	5-6151	74	-	-	36d	—	—	-9	12.2	4 25%
This stronger, up in trip from a wide stall off 4lb higher, but open to more improvement
2 (13)	Wild Hurricane b David Egan · Saeed Bin Suroor	David Egan · Saeed Bin Suroor	140	p	3-352	75	83	57	27d	—	—	-3	12.8	6 17%
Claims but not certain to be suited by the drop back in trip round an easy course
1 (9)	Tarbaan ch Tom Marquand · Amy Murphy	Tom Marquand · Amy Murphy	141	tb	4-4674	76	88	62	31d	—	—	-4	10.5	13/2 13%
C&D winner off a 2lb higher mark last winter; turned in a better effort last time; player
15 (8)	Wadacre Gomez b Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	126	—	62167V	70	80	57	14d	—	—	+3	11.5	17/2 11%
Showed more back on the AW in a void race last time; that gave something to build on
NR (12)	Miss Bluebelle b NON-RUNNER · Marcus Tregoning	NON-RUNNER · Marcus Tregoning	139	h	761-27	74	82	-	61d	—	—	-7	11.3	14 7%
Should be happier back on the AW and in the hood but she'll need a career-best
NR (15)	Noodle Mission b NON-RUNNER · Michael Bell	NON-RUNNER · Michael Bell	135	—	7-1516	79	-	-	25d	—	—	-45	27.3	14 7%
Only has daylight on his outside from stall 15 and needs to settle better
8 (10)	Semser b Tom Queally · Gary Moore	Tom Queally · Gary Moore	135	p	-94124	70	84	62	31d	—	—	+9	15.4	12 8%
Often misses the kick and/or pulls hard; return here will help, with him 2-2 over C&D
10 (1)	Nasim ch William Buick · Michael Appleby	William Buick · Michael Appleby	134	eb	477326	69	84	62	13d	—	—	+6	11.4	18 6%
Free enough early in a smaller field over 1m3f latest; one of the more interesting runners
6 (6)	Mayfair Gold b Rossa Ryan · Alan King	Rossa Ryan · Alan King	137	h	2-1180	72	84	59	48d	—	—	+4	10.9	16 6%
Struggled in two runs since C&D win; return to 1m2f and first-time headgear are the angles
4 (5)	Boasty b Marco Ghiani · Ivan Furtado	Marco Ghiani · Ivan Furtado	138	v	231125	73	81	58	43d	—	—	+14	19.2	22 5%
Has three wins and three seconds to his name from eight runs over C&D; high in the weights
5 (7)	One For The Frog b Robert Havlin · S Woods	Robert Havlin · S Woods	138	t	2-4175	73	79	63	41d	—	—	+5	11	22 5%
Needs to improve for the stiffer test, which is no certainty on pedigree
11 (4)	Marions Boy ch Cieren Fallon · Roger Teal	Cieren Fallon · Roger Teal	134	b	074245	69	82	55	49d	—	—	+4	8.3	25 4%
Most of his best efforts, and all four wins, have come at Lingfield in the autumn/winter
9 (11)	Jenson Benson b Luke Morris · Shaun Lycett	Luke Morris · Shaun Lycett	134	—	612936	69	82	57	75d	—	—	+9	10.9	50 2%
Happiest round here but is weighted to his best and is some way down the pecking order
14 (2)	The Bay Warrior b Rhys Clutterbuck · Mark Usher	Rhys Clutterbuck · Mark Usher	130	p	424146	65	81	63	96d	—	—	+8	10.3	66 2%
Three C&D wins all came off slightly lower marks in the spring; needs to be at his best

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Totnes	5/4	5/4	11/8	5/4	5/4
Yeoman	SP	4	SP	SP	SP
Wild Hurricane	6	5	5	9/2	5
Tarbaan	6	13/2	13/2	9/2	13/2
Wadacre Gomez	9	17/2	15/2	15/2	8
Miss Bluebelle	SP	14	SP	SP	SP
Noodle Mission	SP	14	SP	SP	SP
Semser	11	12	10	11/1	11
Nasim	18	14	14	12	14
Mayfair Gold	16	16	10	14	14
Boasty	22	18	14	16	16
One For The Frog	22	18/1	11	16	18
Marions Boy	25	22	18	22	22
Jenson Benson	50	40	33	40	40
The Bay Warrior	66	50	33	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Noodle Mission

27.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 20

2nd

Totnes

25.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 8.1 Odds: 11.4

11/8

3rd

Boasty

19.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.4

Semser

15.4

OR: 5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.9

Wild Hurricane

12.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

Yeoman

12.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

Wadacre Gomez

11.5

OR: 5 Form: 4 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Nasim

11.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

Miss Bluebelle

11.3

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 5.3

One For The Frog

OR: 5.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

Mayfair Gold

10.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

Jenson Benson

10.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 0.6

Tarbaan

10.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

The Bay Warrior

10.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 6 Odds: 0.6

Marions Boy

8.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Noodle Mission Top Rated	79	—	—
Tarbaan	76	88	62
Totnes	75	83	64
Wild Hurricane	75	83	57
Yeoman	74	—	—
Miss Bluebelle	74	82	—
Boasty	73	81	58
One For The Frog	73	79	63
Mayfair Gold	72	84	59
Wadacre Gomez	70	80	57
Semser	70	84	62
Nasim	69	84	62
Marions Boy	69	82	55
Jenson Benson	69	82	57
The Bay Warrior	65	81	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Totnes	25d ago	Fit
Yeoman	36d ago	Fit
Wild Hurricane	27d ago	Fit
Tarbaan	31d ago	Fit
Wadacre Gomez	14d ago	Fit
Miss Bluebelle	61d ago	Fresh
Noodle Mission	25d ago	Fit
Semser	31d ago	Fit
Nasim	13d ago	Quick return
Mayfair Gold	48d ago	Fresh
Boasty	43d ago	Fit
One For The Frog	41d ago	Fit
Marions Boy	49d ago	Fresh
Jenson Benson	75d ago	Fresh
The Bay Warrior	96d ago	Long break

Going: Standard To Slow

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