Tennent's Lager Handicap (Div I) – Ayr

Ayr

4:00

Tennent's Lager Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-09-22

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (2)	Cosmos Raj b Daniel Tudhope · David Omeara	Daniel Tudhope · David Omeara	141	p	021544	71	79	71	24d	—	—	-3	14.3	4 25%
C&D winner who was an unlucky fourth at Ripon last time and is respected
11 (1)	Yorkstone b Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	128	—	535261	62	76	69	48d	—	—	+3	21.3	9/2 18%
Won at Doncaster last month and this 3yo may have more to offer
10 (6)	Gracelands Girl b David Allan · Tim Easterby	David Allan · Tim Easterby	129	—	-35083	59	72	44	4d	—	—	-3	9.2	13/2 13%
Fair 3rd at Thirsk on Monday but 0-13 & hard to be overly confident today will be the day
NR (5)	Cassy O b TBC · Tim Easterby	· Tim Easterby	134	b	644388	64	78	67	1d	—	—	-6	9.3	11 9%
On a handy mark on best 2023 form but soundly beaten here yesterday
12 (9)	Time To Rumble b Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	125	—	6-3146	55	77	69	1d	—	—	-9	5.3	11/2 15%
Won over C&D in July but not at the same level the next twice (including here yesterday)
4 (14)	Pol Roger b Clifford Lee · Michael Dods	Clifford Lee · Michael Dods	136	p	674340	70	77	66	24d	—	—	-1	9.4	15/2 12%
Running well in defeat prior to lesser effort at Ripon, where found to be coughing after
2 (10)	Bicep b Sam James · Grant Tuer	Sam James · Grant Tuer	140	—	108002	70	78	57	9d	—	—	+5	12.1	12 8%
Went close over 7f at Carlisle recently; possible player if seeing out this new trip
13 (3)	Retirement Beckons b Jonny Peate(3) · Linda Perratt	Jonny Peate(3) · Linda Perratt	124	—	751514	54	75	70	17d	—	—	+6	12.7	14 7%
Four-time C&D winner who was denied clear run at Hamilton last time; he's a possible
9 (12)	Arkenstaar b Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	132	—	142547	66	77	74	22d	—	—	+1	7.4	14 7%
Down to last winning mark but has to perform better than has been the case the last twice
3 (13)	Soames Forsyte b Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	139	p	497378	69	78	58	5d	—	—	+1	8.2	12 8%
Close third at Beverley last month but below par the last twice and is now 0-14
7 (8)	Kelpie Grey gr Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	134	—	-82768	68	74	55	111d	—	—	+3	7.1	20 5%
Runner-up here in May but has failed to shine on his three starts since and is now 0-8
8 (11)	Pembrokeshire b Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	134	h	5-5774	68	71	-	14d	—	—	+1	5.7	22 5%
Ran okay when fourth on stable debut (7f, AW) but needs to prove his stamina for 1m
14 (4)	Zebra Star gr Jason Hart · R Mike Smith	Jason Hart · R Mike Smith	123	h	583846	57	75	58	41d	—	—	-2	4.3	20 5%
Could benefit from the return to 1m and reapplication of a hood on second stable start
5 (7)	Big Bad Wolf gr Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler	Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler	135	—	4-685	69	70	38	20d	—	—	+3	5.5	50 2%
Not well treated on last two runs but promise previously; check betting on handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cosmos Raj	4	4	4	4	4
Yorkstone	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	5
Gracelands Girl	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	7
Cassy O	15/2	11	7	7	7
Time To Rumble	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	6
Pol Roger	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Bicep	12	11	12	11	11
Retirement Beckons	14	14	11	12	14
Arkenstaar	14	11	12	12	12
Soames Forsyte	12	11	10	10	11
Kelpie Grey	18	20	18	20	20
Pembrokeshire	18	20	18	20	22
Zebra Star	20	18	12	20	20
Big Bad Wolf	50	33	33	33	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Yorkstone

21.3

OR: 3 Form: 13.1 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Cosmos Raj

14.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 4 Odds: 5

3rd

Retirement Beckons

12.7

OR: 1 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

Bicep

12.1

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

Pol Roger

9.4

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Cassy O

9.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4.3

Gracelands Girl

9.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Soames Forsyte

8.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9

Arkenstaar

7.4

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9

Kelpie Grey

7.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

Pembrokeshire

5.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Big Bad Wolf

5.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Time To Rumble

5.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Zebra Star

4.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cosmos Raj Top Rated	71	79	71
Pol Roger	70	77	66
Bicep	70	78	57
Soames Forsyte	69	78	58
Big Bad Wolf	69	70	38
Kelpie Grey	68	74	55
Pembrokeshire	68	71	—
Arkenstaar	66	77	74
Cassy O	64	78	67
Yorkstone	62	76	69
Gracelands Girl	59	72	44
Zebra Star	57	75	58
Time To Rumble	55	77	69
Retirement Beckons	54	75	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cosmos Raj	24d ago	Fit
Yorkstone	48d ago	Fresh
Gracelands Girl	4d ago	Quick return
Cassy O	1d ago	Quick return
Time To Rumble	1d ago	Quick return
Pol Roger	24d ago	Fit
Bicep	9d ago	Quick return
Retirement Beckons	17d ago	Fit
Arkenstaar	22d ago	Fit
Soames Forsyte	5d ago	Quick return
Kelpie Grey	111d ago	Long break
Pembrokeshire	14d ago	Fit
Zebra Star	41d ago	Fit
Big Bad Wolf	20d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Soft

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