Boutique Event Hire Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

5:30

Boutique Event Hire Handicap

Date 2023-09-26

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (11)	Keeponbelieving gr NON-RUNNER · Liam Bailey	NON-RUNNER · Liam Bailey	130	—	323775	57	-	-	63d	—	—	-42	23.7	—
Last at Musselburgh in July; she's no forlorn hope off an easing mark after a break
1 (12)	Geelong b Luke Morris · Paul & Oliver Cole	Luke Morris · Paul & Oliver Cole	141	b	343251	61	72	60	8d	—	—	-1	23.4	5/2 29%
Wide-margin winner at Kempton latest; big shout turned out under a 5lb penalty
12 (7)	Ana Emaraaty b William Pyle(5) · Jim Goldie	William Pyle(5) · Jim Goldie	119	b	736663	46	66	56	7d	—	—	-10	9.3	7/2 22%
Still to register a victory but he arrives in good form; considered on first go at 1m4f
8 (1)	Churchella b Daniel Tudhope · David Omeara	Daniel Tudhope · David Omeara	127	v	293526	54	65	45	8d	—	—	-7	10.4	4 25%
Remains winless and she's not proving the easiest to catch right; others appeal more
5 (4)	Silver Atom gr Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	129	—	5781	49	67	-	10d	—	—	+3	12.9	17/2 11%
Off the mark for current yard at Bath ten days ago; not taken lightly despite a 3lb rise
11 (8)	Flammable b Cieren Fallon · Archie Watson	Cieren Fallon · Archie Watson	121	p	803430	48	65	29	25d	—	—	-3	5.4	12/1 8%
In decent nick until last at Ffos Las latest; needs to bounce back on her Tapeta debut
2 (10)	Lawmans Blis b George Wood · Alex French	George Wood · Alex French	136	—	555715	56	70	54	12d	—	—	+4	10.2	14 7%
Won at Wolver and solid Chelmsford fifth 12 days ago; can go well again back up in trip
10 (9)	Beach Kitty b Ben Curtis · William Knight	Ben Curtis · William Knight	122	—	996084	49	60	34	26d	—	—	-5	1.7	16 6%
Not disgraced when fourth at Chelmsford 26 days ago; possibilities now going up in trip
6 (3)	Visitant ch Shane Gray · David Thompson	Shane Gray · David Thompson	129	p	266152	49	65	-	8d	—	—	+4	12.2	14 7%
Has been unreliable but enjoying a good spell; this C&D scorer ought to be in the shake-up
7 (6)	Twoforthegutter b Paddy Mathers · Christopher Kellett	Paddy Mathers · Christopher Kellett	129	b	493455	56	65	-	43d	—	—	-1	3.6	22 5%
Good form ended with Windsor fifth on last run for Ian Williams; more needed on yard debut
3 (2)	Wheres The Crumpet ch Alex Jary(7) · David Thompson	Alex Jary(7) · David Thompson	135	p	934690	55	67	9	14d	—	—	0	2.6	40 3%
Has failed to kick on since sent handicapping, beating only one at Catterick latest
9 (5)	Strong Team b Paul Mulrennan · Chris Grant	Paul Mulrennan · Chris Grant	126	p	0-3657	46	63	55	18d	—	—	-1	0.3	100 1%
Doesn't seem the force of old; beat only one over C&D 18 days ago; easy to look elsewhere

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Keeponbelieving	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Geelong	5/2	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4
Ana Emaraaty	4	7/2	7/2	4	4
Churchella	4	4	4	4	4
Silver Atom	15/2	17/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Flammable	12	11	10	11	12/1
Lawmans Blis	14	14	11	14	12/1
Beach Kitty	16	14	11	14	14/1
Visitant	14	11	10	11	12
Twoforthegutter	22	18	16	18	18
Wheres The Crumpet	40	33	28	33	33
Strong Team	100	100	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Keeponbelieving

23.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 1.9 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Geelong

23.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 13.4 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Silver Atom

12.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Visitant

12.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

Churchella

10.4

OR: 1 Form: 4.4 Odds: 5

Lawmans Blis

10.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

Ana Emaraaty

9.3

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Flammable

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Twoforthegutter

3.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.2

Wheres The Crumpet

2.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.7

Beach Kitty

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Strong Team

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Geelong Top Rated	61	72	60
Keeponbelieving	57	—	—
Lawmans Blis	56	70	54
Twoforthegutter	56	65	—
Wheres The Crumpet	55	67	9
Churchella	54	65	45
Silver Atom	49	67	—
Beach Kitty	49	60	34
Visitant	49	65	—
Flammable	48	65	29
Ana Emaraaty	46	66	56
Strong Team	46	63	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Keeponbelieving	63d ago	Fresh
Geelong	8d ago	Quick return
Ana Emaraaty	7d ago	Quick return
Churchella	8d ago	Quick return
Silver Atom	10d ago	Quick return
Flammable	25d ago	Fit
Lawmans Blis	12d ago	Quick return
Beach Kitty	26d ago	Fit
Visitant	8d ago	Quick return
Twoforthegutter	43d ago	Fit
Wheres The Crumpet	14d ago	Fit
Strong Team	18d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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