British EBF Future Stayers' Novice Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB Race)

Bath

2:32

Date 2023-10-02

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £10,800

Runners 8

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (4)	Hot Fuss b Richard Kingscote · Tom Dascombe	Richard Kingscote · Tom Dascombe	136	—	45146	95	97	71	23d	—	—	-9	28	6/4 40%
Smart form; commands respect back at this level, for all that he's penalised
4 (3)	Dallas Star b Rossa Ryan · Dominic Ffrench Davis	Rossa Ryan · Dominic Ffrench Davis	130	—	383	87	95	70	80d	—	—	+3	18.2	9/2 18%
An 80-day absence is a tad worrying but 1m should be fine and he should go close on form
5 (6)	Daymer Bay b Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	130	—	3424	72	82	69	35d	—	—	+1	13.5	11/2 15%
Consistent but would be receiving plenty of weight from two of these in a nursery
2 (2)	Calvert b Lewis Edmunds · Roger Teal	Lewis Edmunds · Roger Teal	130	—	33	-	82	49	33d	—	—	-3	8.4	13/2 13%
Third in two runs over 1m, posting RPRs in the low 70s; needs to improve but early days
7 (7)	Palace Green ch Oisin Murphy · Richard Hughes	Oisin Murphy · Richard Hughes	130	—	U	-	-	-	10d	—	—	-8	3.1	15/2 12%
Unseated leaving the stalls in a usually strong conditions race at Newbury
3 (1)	Chelsea Harbour b Rob Hornby · Andrew Balding	Rob Hornby · Andrew Balding	130	—	5	-	77	-	18d	—	—	-5	1.7	14 7%
Lacked the gears to get involved at Chelmsford (1m) but is entitled to improve on that
8 (8)	Flowering ch Jack Mitchell · Charlie Johnston	Jack Mitchell · Charlie Johnston	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	18 6%
Well-bred newcomer from a top yard and interesting to see what the market makes of her
6 (5)	Maxim De Winter gr Trevor Whelan · Jonathan Portman	Trevor Whelan · Jonathan Portman	130	p	88	-	73	55	27d	—	—	-1	0.4	66 2%
Down the field in his runs at Newbury (7f) and Goodwood (1m; again good)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Hot Fuss	6/5	11/8	6/4	5/4	11/8
Dallas Star	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Daymer Bay	6	6	11/2	11/2	11/2
Calvert	7	7	13/2	13/2	13/2
Palace Green	15/2	7	13/2	7	7
Chelsea Harbour	14	14	14	12	12
Flowering	18	16	12	16	16
Maxim De Winter	66	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hot Fuss

OR: 11.3 Form: 5 Odds: 11.8

6/4

2nd

Dallas Star

18.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Daymer Bay

13.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 4.4 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Calvert

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Palace Green

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Chelsea Harbour

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Flowering

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Maxim De Winter

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hot Fuss Top Rated	95	97	71
Dallas Star	87	95	70
Daymer Bay	72	82	69
Calvert	—	82	49
Palace Green	—	—	—
Chelsea Harbour	—	77	—
Flowering	—	—	—
Maxim De Winter	—	73	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hot Fuss	23d ago	Fit
Dallas Star	80d ago	Fresh
Daymer Bay	35d ago	Fit
Calvert	33d ago	Fit
Palace Green	10d ago	Quick return
Chelsea Harbour	18d ago	Fit
Flowering	—	—
Maxim De Winter	27d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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