Epic Value At William Hill Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Cheltenham

1:15

Date 2023-10-28

Distance 1m7f199y

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £31,218

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3	Haddex Des Obeaux b Jamie Moore · Gary Moore	Jamie Moore · Gary Moore	162	—	/U211-	146	160	134	287d	—	—	+23	51.9	5/2 29%
Impressive from the front in a pair of 2m handicaps last season; has Graded-race potential
5	Before Midnight ch Mr Ben Sutton(7) · Fergal O'Brien	Mr Ben Sutton(7) · Fergal O'Brien	151	—	4P6-54	135	164	115	15d	—	—	+11	25.3	11/2 15%
Rated higher in the past; hurdling reappearance (stable debut) was quite encouraging
1	Notlongtillmay b Adam Wedge · L J Morgan	Adam Wedge · L J Morgan	168	—	/1112-	152	155	125	226d	—	—	+36	49.1	11/2 15%
Quality novice last season, winding up with a second in the 2m4f Grade 1 here in March
NR	Red Rookie ch TBC · Emma Lavelle	· Emma Lavelle	156	—	/531-3	140	157	146	180d	—	—	+19	28.2	15/2 12%
Lightly raced; remains on a fair mark but drying ground wouldn't be welcomed
10	Guy ch Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	143	p	432-11	127	158	137	21d	—	—	+12	22.1	17/2 11%
Recent Fontwell winner; this is way tougher over a trip perhaps short of his best
2	Dancing On My Own b Rachael Blackmore · Henry De Bromhead	Rachael Blackmore · Henry De Bromhead	167	t	/091-2	151	155	138	145d	—	—	+24	32.6	12 8%
Decent run last time and had previously won Aintree's Red Rum off 7lb lower
8	Triple Trade b Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	145	—	22U11-	129	155	140	187d	—	—	+33	40.6	11 9%
Beaten in his first six chases but came good in his final two last season; up the weights
7	In Excelsis Deo b Jonathan Burke · Harry Fry	Jonathan Burke · Harry Fry	147	—	/1P32-	131	159	146	199d	—	—	+23	32.1	17/2 11%
Drying ground might not be ideal but he's a 5yo with more to offer
9	The Dasher Conway b Darragh O'Keeffe · Mrs Gillian Callaghan	Darragh O'Keeffe · Mrs Gillian Callaghan	143	—	-132F2	127	153	113	21d	—	—	+23	30.7	11 9%
Irish raider who could have a say should his jumping stand the test
11	Royale Margaux ch Ben Poste · Tom Symonds	Ben Poste · Tom Symonds	142	t	55P42-	126	154	89	191d	—	—	+19	25	16 6%
Seven wins in France and signed off last season with good efforts in handicaps
6	Prince Escalus b Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo O'Neill	Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo O'Neill	151	—	4817-7	135	159	142	28d	—	—	+19	22.1	30 3%
All three chase wins have come at a lower level in small fields; 2m5f too far latest
12	Madara b Ciaran Gethings · Sophie Leech	Ciaran Gethings · Sophie Leech	142	tp	11F-82	135	146	-	20d	—	—	+19	22	50 2%
Three wins in France; low mileage but could be on a tough mark for British debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Haddex Des Obeaux	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Before Midnight	11/2	11/2	9/2	11/2	11/2
Notlongtillmay	6	6	11/2	6	6
Red Rookie	15/2	15/2	15/2	7	7
Guy	17/2	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Dancing On My Own	12	11	11	8	11
Triple Trade	11	10	10	10	10
In Excelsis Deo	9	17/2	15/2	8	8
The Dasher Conway	11	11	11	9	11
Royale Margaux	14	16	16	14	16
Prince Escalus	30	28	28	28	25
Madara	50	40	40	33	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Haddex Des Obeaux

51.9

OR: 24 Form: 19.1 Odds: 8.9

5/2

2nd

Notlongtillmay

49.1

OR: 25.5 Form: 20 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Triple Trade

40.6

OR: 19.8 Form: 18.8 Odds: 2.1

Dancing On My Own

32.6

OR: 25.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

In Excelsis Deo

32.1

OR: 20.3 Form: 9.4 Odds: 2.5

17/2

The Dasher Conway

30.7

OR: 19.3 Form: 9.4 Odds: 2.1

Red Rookie

28.2

OR: 22.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Before Midnight

25.3

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Royale Margaux

OR: 19 Form: 4.3 Odds: 1.7

Guy

22.1

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Prince Escalus

22.1

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Madara

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Notlongtillmay Top Rated	152	155	125
Dancing On My Own	151	155	138
Haddex Des Obeaux	146	160	134
Red Rookie	140	157	146
Before Midnight	135	164	115
Prince Escalus	135	159	142
Madara	135	146	—
In Excelsis Deo	131	159	146
Triple Trade	129	155	140
Guy	127	158	137
The Dasher Conway	127	153	113
Royale Margaux	126	154	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Haddex Des Obeaux	287d ago	Long break
Before Midnight	15d ago	Fit
Notlongtillmay	226d ago	Long break
Red Rookie	180d ago	Long break
Guy	21d ago	Fit
Dancing On My Own	145d ago	Long break
Triple Trade	187d ago	Long break
In Excelsis Deo	199d ago	Long break
The Dasher Conway	21d ago	Fit
Royale Margaux	191d ago	Long break
Prince Escalus	28d ago	Fit
Madara	20d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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