At The Races App Expert Tips Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div I)

Lingfield

3:05

Date 2023-11-02

Distance 2m3f110y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR	Mercian Omen b NON-RUNNER · Amy Murphy	NON-RUNNER · Amy Murphy	147	—	26-	-	-	-	236d	—	—	-47	23.5	—
Second in a bumper last season and has a good jumping pedigree; each-way claims
4	Illico De Cotte ch Tristan Durrell(5) · Dan Skelton	Tristan Durrell(5) · Dan Skelton	154	—	1-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-21	25.5	11/10 48%
Impressed in heavy-ground point in March and was bought for £100,000 soon afterwards
6	Rockstown Native b Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo O'Neill	Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo O'Neill	154	t	4142-2	-	121	95	28d	—	—	-20	16.6	9/4 31%
No match for winner when second on last month's hurdling debut but still considered here
8	Face D'Music b Shane Quinlan(3) · Katy Price	Shane Quinlan(3) · Katy Price	153	—	3	-	-	-	—	—	—	-17	11.8	11 9%
Bought for £100,000 soon after finishing third in good-ground Irish point on debut in May
14	Tique b/br Micheal Nolan · Seamus Mullins	Micheal Nolan · Seamus Mullins	146	—	40-1F4	-	75	-	16d	—	—	-20	9.1	12 8%
Disappointing favourite in modest mares' race last month; this is much tougher
2	Canty Bay b Tom Bellamy · Emma Lavelle	Tom Bellamy · Emma Lavelle	154	—	43/86-	-	107	76	305d	—	—	-21	9.6	14 7%
Placed in a bumper in 2022 but soundly beaten on both hurdling starts last season
5	Letmetellusomethin b James Smith(7) · Jonjo O'Neill	James Smith(7) · Jonjo O'Neill	154	t	8395-	-	111	90	241d	—	—	-17	9.5	16 6%
Showed only minor promise in his two hurdling starts last season
9	Golden Ambition ch Kielan Woods · Ben Pauling	Kielan Woods · Ben Pauling	153	—	0-	-	-	-	189d	—	—	-19	8.5	16 6%
Only tenth of 17 when 5-1 for bumper debut but ought to be capable of better
7	Clondaw Royale gr Kevin Brogan · Jonjo O'Neill	Kevin Brogan · Jonjo O'Neill	153	t	2-8	-	64	-	27d	—	—	-14	11	20 5%
Second on Irish point debut in April but tailed off when switched to hurdles last month
11	Star Of Affinity b Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	153	—	5-	-	-	-	203d	—	—	-21	9.6	20 5%
Made just a mildly encouraging bumper debut in April but should improve over jumps
10	Jongleur D'Etoiles b Bryan Carver · Neil Mulholland	Bryan Carver · Neil Mulholland	153	—	67	-	80	37	27d	—	—	-19	8.2	28 4%
Well beaten after racing too freely on last month's hurdling debut at Fontwell
12	The Flying Fig b Rex Dingle · Robert Walford	Rex Dingle · Robert Walford	153	—	UU-	-	-	-	256d	—	—	-19	8.3	66 2%
Behind when unseating rider on both hurdling starts last season; makes no appeal here
1	Barbarosa br Cillin Leonard(5) · Joanne Thomason-Murphy	Cillin Leonard(5) · Joanne Thomason-Murphy	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.5	100 1%
Not seen since running poorly in a Flat seller in July 2021; hurdle debut today
3	Honore b Niall Houlihan(3) · Pat Phelan	Niall Houlihan(3) · Pat Phelan	154	—	0/6FP-	-	-	-	352d	—	—	-10	4.1	100 1%
Struggled when 200-1 for 2m novice hurdle here last November and not seen again since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mercian Omen	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Illico De Cotte	11/10	1	SP	SP	1
Rockstown Native	9/4	3	SP	SP	3
Face D'Music	10	11	SP	SP	11
Tique	12	12	SP	SP	12
Canty Bay	10	14	SP	SP	14
Letmetellusomethin	16	12	SP	SP	12
Golden Ambition	16	14	SP	SP	14
Clondaw Royale	20	14	SP	SP	14
Star Of Affinity	20	11	SP	SP	11
Jongleur D'Etoiles	25	28	SP	SP	28
The Flying Fig	66	33	SP	SP	33
Barbarosa	50	100	SP	SP	100
Honore	100	100	SP	SP	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Illico De Cotte

25.5

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 15.5

11/10

2nd

Mercian Omen

23.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 20

—

3rd

Rockstown Native

16.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 11.6

9/4

Face D'Music

11.8

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8.8

Clondaw Royale

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 7.5

Canty Bay

9.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 9.6

Star Of Affinity

9.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 9.6

Letmetellusomethin

9.5

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 8

Tique

9.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 9.1

Golden Ambition

8.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.5

The Flying Fig

8.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.3

Jongleur D'Etoiles

8.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.2

Barbarosa

4.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.5

100

Honore

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.1

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mercian Omen	—	—	—
Illico De Cotte	—	—	—
Rockstown Native	—	121	95
Face D'Music	—	—	—
Tique	—	75	—
Canty Bay	—	107	76
Letmetellusomethin	—	111	90
Golden Ambition	—	—	—
Clondaw Royale	—	64	—
Star Of Affinity	—	—	—
Jongleur D'Etoiles	—	80	37
The Flying Fig	—	—	—
Barbarosa	—	—	—
Honore	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mercian Omen	236d ago	Long break
Illico De Cotte	—	—
Rockstown Native	28d ago	Fit
Face D'Music	—	—
Tique	16d ago	Fit
Canty Bay	305d ago	Long break
Letmetellusomethin	241d ago	Long break
Golden Ambition	189d ago	Long break
Clondaw Royale	27d ago	Fit
Star Of Affinity	203d ago	Long break
Jongleur D'Etoiles	27d ago	Fit
The Flying Fig	256d ago	Long break
Barbarosa	—	—
Honore	352d ago	Long break

Going: Soft

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