Carmarthenshire Horse Boxes @3 As Leisure Handicap Hurdle

Ffos Las

2:50

Date 2023-11-22

Distance 2m7f191y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,809

Runners 7

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6	Balkardy ch Isabel Williams(3) · Evan Williams	Isabel Williams(3) · Evan Williams	153	—	123-22	110	128	98	10d	—	—	-2	22.3	5/2 29%
Runner-up in both starts since returning last month, the latest over C&D; solid claims
1	Mario De Pail gr James Bowen · Peter Bowen	James Bowen · Peter Bowen	170	p	23F/44	127	-	-	17d	—	—	-1	28.1	9/4 31%
Hasn't looked a natural over fences and now 6lb lower than when last winning over hurdles
3	Ballymagroarty Boy b Miss Ella Herbison(7) · Nigel Hawke	Miss Ella Herbison(7) · Nigel Hawke	164	b	2322-3	121	128	122	10d	—	—	+10	25.2	9/2 18%
Often placed as when third over C&D ten days ago, but record of 1-30 does raise concerns
7	Classic Concorde b Connor Brace · David Brace	Connor Brace · David Brace	149	p	321114	106	125	116	36d	—	—	+21	33.6	11/2 15%
Completed a hat-trick before held on quick ground at Hereford; still more needed, though
2	Grove Road ch Miss Brodie Hampson(3) · Archie Watson	Miss Brodie Hampson(3) · Archie Watson	167	—	/1125-	124	125	80	209d	—	—	+23	32.9	13/2 13%
Off seven months since well held on handicap debut at Perth; needs to get back on track
5	Ballinsker b Miss Eleanor Williams(7) · Evan Williams	Miss Eleanor Williams(7) · Evan Williams	160	—	321-38	117	-	-	16d	—	—	+14	17.7	28 4%
Back over hurdles for the first time since June 2021; soft/heavy ground a question
4	Emmpressive Lady b Sean Houlihan · Sue Gardner	Sean Houlihan · Sue Gardner	163	—	5P1PP-	120	-	-	216d	—	—	+17	20.4	33 3%
4lb lower than when last winning over hurdles; won't have a problem with the trip/ground

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Balkardy	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Mario De Pail	2	9/4	9/4	2	9/4
Ballymagroarty Boy	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Classic Concorde	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5
Grove Road	7	13/2	7	7	7
Ballinsker	28	25	25	22	22
Emmpressive Lady	33	25	28	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Classic Concorde

33.6

OR: 14 Form: 16 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Grove Road

32.9

OR: 18.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.9

13/2

3rd

Mario De Pail

28.1

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

9/4

Ballymagroarty Boy

25.2

OR: 17.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Balkardy

22.3

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Emmpressive Lady

20.4

OR: 17.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0.9

Ballinsker

17.7

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mario De Pail Top Rated	127	—	—
Grove Road	124	125	80
Ballymagroarty Boy	121	128	122
Emmpressive Lady	120	—	—
Ballinsker	117	—	—
Balkardy	110	128	98
Classic Concorde	106	125	116

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Balkardy	10d ago	Quick return
Mario De Pail	17d ago	Fit
Ballymagroarty Boy	10d ago	Quick return
Classic Concorde	36d ago	Fit
Grove Road	209d ago	Long break
Ballinsker	16d ago	Fit
Emmpressive Lady	216d ago	Long break

Going: Soft

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