Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

2:34

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2023-12-16

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,129

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (6)	The Turpinator b Jack Mitchell · Grant Tuer	Jack Mitchell · Grant Tuer	134	—	561339	82	95	41	43d	—	—	+4	19	9/2 18%
Below par on AW latest but had been in decent form on turf prior to that
10 (10)	Bowood b William Pyle(5) · Katie Scott	William Pyle(5) · Katie Scott	123	p	769253	71	95	65	8d	—	—	+1	14.8	5/1 17%
Placed in both C&D handicaps, collared late on by Kalganov latterly; should go well
5 (11)	Illusionist b P J McDonald · Grant Tuer	P J McDonald · Grant Tuer	130	b	830043	78	96	76	7d	—	—	+2	13.9	6/1 14%
Losing run mounting up but last weekend's 6f third came in warm race; second attempt at 7f
3 (4)	Larado b Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	134	b	024248	82	97	80	35d	—	—	+2	15.5	11/2 15%
Went close at Kempton (1m) in October and excuses for lesser runs since
6 (12)	Kalganov b Phil Dennis · Michael Dods	Phil Dennis · Michael Dods	129	p	110751	77	95	62	8d	—	—	+11	21.8	15/2 12%
Reacted well to cheekpieces when winning over C&D last week (Bowood third); respected
4 (2)	Swiss Ace b Ryan Sexton(3) · Ruth Carr	Ryan Sexton(3) · Ruth Carr	131	—	564552	79	97	66	169d	—	—	+6	14.8	9/1 10%
C&D winner in March; absent since June but he has gone well fresh before
1 (5)	Wildfell ch J F Egan · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J F Egan · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	135	—	116270	83	96	68	77d	—	—	+7	14.9	10/1 9%
Ended his time with Peter Chapple-Hyam on low note but was 3-3 on AW earlier in year
7 (9)	Abruzzo Mia b Clifford Lee · Michael Dods	Clifford Lee · Michael Dods	128	—	2-7617	76	95	68	75d	—	—	+4	12.4	11/1 8%
Back from break to win over C&D in September; freshened up since lesser run since
12 (8)	Showmedemoney b Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	122	tp	610338	70	94	35	8d	—	—	+7	11.8	18/1 5%
Three wins this year, including 1m here; twice third this autumn but below par last week
8 (3)	One More Dream br Jason Hart · John Quinn	Jason Hart · John Quinn	128	—	990180	76	94	-	77d	—	—	+9	12.6	22/1 4%
Good AW record so could easily shrug off lesser runs on turf since Catterick win in August
11 (7)	Surprise Picture b Mark Winn(3) · Grant Tuer	Mark Winn(3) · Grant Tuer	122	v	129507	70	92	82	8d	—	—	+4	6.9	25/1 4%
Three wins this year but well behind Kalganov and Bowood over C&D last week
9 (1)	Alexander James b Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	126	p	167989	74	93	69	8d	—	—	+3	7	33/1 3%
Not offered enough lately to be positive about his chances here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
The Turpinator	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Bowood	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Illusionist	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1
Larado	11/2	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1
Kalganov	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Swiss Ace	9/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Wildfell	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Abruzzo Mia	9/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Showmedemoney	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
One More Dream	18/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Surprise Picture	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Alexander James	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kalganov

21.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 12 Odds: 3.1

15/2

2nd

The Turpinator

OR: 8 Form: 6.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Larado

15.5

OR: 8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Wildfell

14.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Bowood

14.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 4

5/1

Swiss Ace

14.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Illusionist

13.9

OR: 7 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.3

6/1

One More Dream

12.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Abruzzo Mia

12.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Showmedemoney

11.8

OR: 5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Alexander James

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Surprise Picture

6.9

OR: 5 Form: 1 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wildfell Top Rated	83	96	68
The Turpinator	82	95	41
Larado	82	97	80
Swiss Ace	79	97	66
Illusionist	78	96	76
Kalganov	77	95	62
Abruzzo Mia	76	95	68
One More Dream	76	94	—
Alexander James	74	93	69
Bowood	71	95	65
Showmedemoney	70	94	35
Surprise Picture	70	92	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Turpinator	43d ago	Fit
Bowood	8d ago	Quick return
Illusionist	7d ago	Quick return
Larado	35d ago	Fit
Kalganov	8d ago	Quick return
Swiss Ace	169d ago	Long break
Wildfell	77d ago	Fresh
Abruzzo Mia	75d ago	Fresh
Showmedemoney	8d ago	Quick return
One More Dream	77d ago	Fresh
Surprise Picture	8d ago	Quick return
Alexander James	8d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard

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