Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

3:44

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-12-16

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,873

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (12)	Appellant b Jack Mitchell · Charlie Fellowes	Jack Mitchell · Charlie Fellowes	132	p	293456	70	81	64	25d	—	—	-5	10.3	11/2 15%
All races at 6f; just respectable efforts in handicaps last month and more needed
2 (6)	Petra Celera b Clifford Lee · K R Burke	Clifford Lee · K R Burke	135	—	307012	73	81	66	7d	—	—	+9	21.1	6/1 14%
In fine form, winning over 6f at Wolverhampton and close call over 7f here; respected
10 (1)	Magic Fluke ch Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti	Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti	130	t	4891	68	78	77	39d	—	—	+6	17.8	13/2 13%
Just hung on against subsequent winner on handicap debut over C&D; up 4lb; needs extra
11 (5)	Alfa Whiteburd b Tom Eaves · Craig Lidster	Tom Eaves · Craig Lidster	129	—	045854	67	81	69	3d	—	—	-4	7.3	15/2 12%
Not the best of runs in latest two handicaps at 6f; one of several with more to come
1 (7)	Morning Suit gr Taylor Fisher(3) · Archie Watson	Taylor Fisher(3) · Archie Watson	135	—	41	73	74	50	21d	—	—	+9	18.4	8/1 11%
Learnt from debut when winning at Lingfield (6f); two siblings handled Tapeta; can improve
3 (10)	Bulldog Drummond b Jason Hart · George Boughey	Jason Hart · George Boughey	134	tb	428226	72	79	66	21d	—	—	+6	15.2	17/2 11%
Seen off late by Petra Celera over 6f at Wolverhampton; this is competitive
6 (11)	Split The Profit b David Egan · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	David Egan · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	131	—	9054	69	82	49	28d	—	—	-2	7.4	9/1 10%
Promising 4th behind Petra Celera on handicap debut over 6f at Wolverhampton
8 (2)	Moyola b Joe Leavy(7) · Lucinda Russell	Joe Leavy(7) · Lucinda Russell	131	t	365441	69	83	64	57d	—	—	+6	18.1	9/1 10%
Hacked up on AW debut over C&D in October; off since and up 10lb but has potential
9 (3)	Bluebell Grove b P J McDonald · Andrew Balding	P J McDonald · Andrew Balding	130	—	862	68	79	59	37d	—	—	+6	10.9	14/1 7%
Improved over 6f latest; can do better now handicapping; yard 8-19 with 2yos here
12 (9)	Hearitfortheboys ch Lewis Edmunds · Nigel Tinkler	Lewis Edmunds · Nigel Tinkler	128	—	5751	66	79	54	31d	—	—	+10	15.6	16/1 6%
Well supported when winning 6f handicap debut latest; up 4lb; see what the market says
4 (4)	Mariamne gr Tommie Jakes(7) · B F Brookhouse	Tommie Jakes(7) · B F Brookhouse	132	t	042452	70	79	72	70d	—	—	+9	12.6	22/1 4%
Course winner at 5f for previous yard; has tended to find little over 6f but had wind op
7 (8)	Vitarli b Jimmy Quinn · Craig Lidster	Jimmy Quinn · Craig Lidster	131	—	084219	69	79	62	39d	—	—	+13	14.8	50/1 2%
Has shown her best form over 5f on this track; not as convincing at 6f so far

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Appellant	11/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Petra Celera	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2
Magic Fluke	13/2	6/1	13/2	11/2	6/1
Alfa Whiteburd	15/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
Morning Suit	8/1	8/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
Bulldog Drummond	17/2	8/1	15/2	8/1	8/1
Split The Profit	8/1	8/1	9/1	8/1	7/1
Moyola	7/1	15/2	9/1	7/1	7/1
Bluebell Grove	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Hearitfortheboys	16/1	16/1	14/1	12/1	16/1
Mariamne	18/1	20/1	22/1	18/1	20/1
Vitarli	33/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Petra Celera

21.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 12 Odds: 3.3

6/1

2nd

Morning Suit

18.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

8/1

3rd

Moyola

18.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

9/1

Magic Fluke

17.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Hearitfortheboys

15.6

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Bulldog Drummond

15.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Vitarli

14.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Mariamne

12.6

OR: 5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Bluebell Grove

10.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Appellant

10.3

OR: 5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Split The Profit

7.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Alfa Whiteburd

7.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Petra Celera Top Rated	73	81	66
Morning Suit	73	74	50
Bulldog Drummond	72	79	66
Appellant	70	81	64
Mariamne	70	79	72
Split The Profit	69	82	49
Moyola	69	83	64
Vitarli	69	79	62
Magic Fluke	68	78	77
Bluebell Grove	68	79	59
Alfa Whiteburd	67	81	69
Hearitfortheboys	66	79	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Appellant	25d ago	Fit
Petra Celera	7d ago	Quick return
Magic Fluke	39d ago	Fit
Alfa Whiteburd	3d ago	Quick return
Morning Suit	21d ago	Fit
Bulldog Drummond	21d ago	Fit
Split The Profit	28d ago	Fit
Moyola	57d ago	Fresh
Bluebell Grove	37d ago	Fit
Hearitfortheboys	31d ago	Fit
Mariamne	70d ago	Fresh
Vitarli	39d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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