Tanners Cava EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Ludlow

3:35

Date 2023-12-20

Distance 1m7f169y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-6yo

Prize £4,901

Runners 15

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Go To War b Paddy Brennan · Fergal O'Brien	Paddy Brennan · Fergal O'Brien	154	—	18-U3	-	133	108	20d	—	—	-38	20	4/7 64%
Third in a good novice at Taunton and brings the best form credentials
6	Jour D'Evasion b Sam Twiston-Davies · Henry Daly	Sam Twiston-Davies · Henry Daly	154	t	334	107	124	105	25d	—	—	+2	24.5	7/2 22%
Fourth to a top prospect at Huntingdon; brighter prospects than a good many of his rivals
3	Gentleman Jacques b James Bowen · Charlie Longsdon	James Bowen · Charlie Longsdon	154	—	49-332	107	117	106	23d	—	—	+2	19.3	5/1 17%
2nd here last time; vulnerable to anything with potential but should make presence felt
7	Myfanwy's Magic b Harry Atkins(10) · Martin Keighley	Harry Atkins(10) · Martin Keighley	154	—	58-62	-	116	88	28d	—	—	-6	2.2	12/1 8%
150-1 when showing huge improvement to finish second in a 2m novice at Warwick
8	Saxons Lane b Nick Scholfield · Alan King	Nick Scholfield · Alan King	154	—	7-27	-	114	72	21d	—	—	-2	0.8	33/1 3%
His second at Hereford was fairly remote and wasn't so good on his return visit
1	Chevington b Jay Tidball(5) · Alastair Ralph	Jay Tidball(5) · Alastair Ralph	154	—	27-8	-	-	-	57d	—	—	-1	0.5	66/1 1%
Doesn't look up to winning at this level judged on his bumper defeats at Hereford
13	Lindy Reilly b Charlie Todd · Dan Skelton	Charlie Todd · Dan Skelton	147	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	80/1 1%
£46,000 3yo; third foal; half-sister to 2m2f/2m4f hurdle winner Dorisa Queen
2	Duc Du Rene b Kevin Brogan · Evan Williams	Kevin Brogan · Evan Williams	154	t	F8-5	-	98	91	28d	—	—	-1	0.4	80/1 1%
Ability on bumper debut but hasn't built on that at all; best watched for now
9	Scrumpy br Richard Patrick · Henry Daly	Richard Patrick · Henry Daly	154	—	5-6	-	-	-	222d	—	—	-1	0.4	100/1 1%
Well related but tailed off in both his bumpers and reportedly bled in the latest
14	My Virtue b Lee Edwards · Mel Rowley	Lee Edwards · Mel Rowley	147	h	0740-3	77	101	61	219d	—	—	+9	10.1	100/1 1%
It was a low-grade handicap in which she made the frame at Southwell in May
10	Top Of The Bay b Toby Wynne(3) · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	Toby Wynne(3) · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	154	h	6/UR-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Has a lot to prove on a few counts but he's kicking off for a respected new yard
12	Kattegat b Tristan Durrell(5) · Dan Skelton	Tristan Durrell(5) · Dan Skelton	147	—	—	-	-	-	29d	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Weak 22-1 chance when beaten nearly a distance in a bumper at Hereford
5	Johns Dream ch Sean Houlihan · Sheila Lewis	Sean Houlihan · Sheila Lewis	154	—	P-36P	-	-	-	4d	—	—	-1	0.2	200/1 0%
Placed in an Irish point; tailed off in an Ascot bumper and pulled up in a Hereford novice
11	Darquesse b Robert Dunne · Claire Dyson	Robert Dunne · Claire Dyson	147	—	0P	-	-	-	6d	—	—	-1	0.2	500/1 0%
Has shown zero in a bumper here and a Taunton novice hurdle
15	Special Dragon b Henry Brooke · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	Henry Brooke · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	147	t	87	-	97	54	18d	—	—	-1	0.2	250/1 0%
Has made a low-key start in two novice hurdles (good/soft) and now goes in a tongue-tie

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Go To War	4/9	8/15	4/7	4/7	4/7
Jour D'Evasion	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2	3/1
Gentleman Jacques	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Myfanwy's Magic	12/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Saxons Lane	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Chevington	66/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Lindy Reilly	80/1	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1
Duc Du Rene	80/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1
Scrumpy	100/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
My Virtue	100/1	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Top Of The Bay	80/1	150/1	125/1	125/1	150/1
Kattegat	150/1	150/1	125/1	150/1	150/1
Johns Dream	100/1	200/1	150/1	150/1	200/1
Darquesse	500/1	250/1	200/1	250/1	250/1
Special Dragon	150/1	250/1	200/1	200/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jour D'Evasion

24.5

OR: 14.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 6.7

7/2

2nd

Go To War

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

4/7

3rd

Gentleman Jacques

19.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

My Virtue

10.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Myfanwy's Magic

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Saxons Lane

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Chevington

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Lindy Reilly

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Duc Du Rene

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Scrumpy

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Top Of The Bay

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Kattegat

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Johns Dream

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Darquesse

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500/1

Special Dragon

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jour D'Evasion Top Rated	107	124	105
Gentleman Jacques	107	117	106
My Virtue	77	101	61
Go To War	—	133	108
Myfanwy's Magic	—	116	88
Saxons Lane	—	114	72
Chevington	—	—	—
Lindy Reilly	—	—	—
Duc Du Rene	—	98	91
Scrumpy	—	—	—
Top Of The Bay	—	—	—
Kattegat	—	—	—
Johns Dream	—	—	—
Darquesse	—	—	—
Special Dragon	—	97	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Go To War	20d ago	Fit
Jour D'Evasion	25d ago	Fit
Gentleman Jacques	23d ago	Fit
Myfanwy's Magic	28d ago	Fit
Saxons Lane	21d ago	Fit
Chevington	57d ago	Fresh
Lindy Reilly	—	—
Duc Du Rene	28d ago	Fit
Scrumpy	222d ago	Long break
My Virtue	219d ago	Long break
Top Of The Bay	—	—
Kattegat	29d ago	Fit
Johns Dream	4d ago	Quick return
Darquesse	6d ago	Quick return
Special Dragon	18d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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