Mercury Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course C) (Turf) – Happy Valley

Happy Valley

11:10

Mercury Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course C) (Turf)

Date 2023-12-20

Distance 1m3f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £122,258

Runners 8

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (7)	Natural Storm b James McDonald · P F Yiu	James McDonald · P F Yiu	134	b	809430	77	108	-	31d	—	—	—	8.9	—
Excellent C&D record (three wins) but weighted to his very best which makes him vulnerable
2 (2)	Turin Mascot gr Zac Purton · P C Ng	Zac Purton · P C Ng	132	t	531517	75	90	-	31d	—	—	—	16.9	—
Winner of both C&D runs; there is better to come from him back at his favourite track
3 (8)	Packing Hurricane b C Y Ho · C Fownes	C Y Ho · C Fownes	131	tb	146042	74	92	-	31d	—	—	—	11	—
Fourth in both C&D runs; three wins at Sha Tin (1m2f) and ahead of top two there last time
4 (3)	Escape Route b Andrea Atzeni · J Size	Andrea Atzeni · J Size	130	h	790294	73	94	-	21d	—	—	—	8.3	—
Inconsistent course winner who won over 1m2f in Sha Tin; well beaten only go at this trip
5 (5)	Majestic Victory b Angus Chung(5) · A S Cruz	Angus Chung(5) · A S Cruz	128	t	041628	71	93	-	21d	—	—	—	11.8	—
Front-runner with claims on best form but inconsistent; likely to set this up for others
6 (4)	Swan Bay b Karis Teetan · W Y So	Karis Teetan · W Y So	125	b	027337	68	93	-	10d	—	—	—	9.1	—
Two Sha Tin thirds to Ensued read well but disappointed last time; unplaced only run here
7 (1)	Gallant Hero b Alexis Badel · D J Hall	Alexis Badel · D J Hall	120	—	111916	63	89	-	21d	—	—	—	15.3	—
Snatched up at vital stage last time; triple winner here and successful on sole C&D run
8 (6)	Intrepid Winner b K De Melo · C W Chang	K De Melo · C W Chang	120	b	808325	63	101	-	31d	—	—	—	8.3	—
Goes well here; three placed efforts at 1m2f suggest he will stay; not easy to catch right

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Turin Mascot

16.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Gallant Hero

15.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 12 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Majestic Victory

11.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0

—

Packing Hurricane

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Swan Bay

9.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 0

—

Natural Storm

8.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Escape Route

8.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0

—

Intrepid Winner

8.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Natural Storm Top Rated	77	108	—
Turin Mascot	75	90	—
Packing Hurricane	74	92	—
Escape Route	73	94	—
Majestic Victory	71	93	—
Swan Bay	68	93	—
Gallant Hero	63	89	—
Intrepid Winner	63	101	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Natural Storm	31d ago	Fit
Turin Mascot	31d ago	Fit
Packing Hurricane	31d ago	Fit
Escape Route	21d ago	Fit
Majestic Victory	21d ago	Fit
Swan Bay	10d ago	Quick return
Gallant Hero	21d ago	Fit
Intrepid Winner	31d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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