QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Handicap Chase

Newcastle

4:35

Date 2024-03-26

Distance 2m7f91y

Class Class 5

Going Heavy

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £3,294

Runners 7

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Euchan Falls ch Danny McMenamin · R Mike Smith	Danny McMenamin · R Mike Smith	158	p	042542	90	104	94	18d	—	—	-2	24.5	2/1 33%
He was second to a last-time-out winner at Ayr (3m, good to soft); thereabouts
2	Has Troke b Kielan Woods · Alex Hales	Kielan Woods · Alex Hales	167	p	-62523	99	104	97	21d	—	—	+7	26	3/1 25%
Third at Lingfield last time and the two ahead of him have both run well since
7	Old Page b Derek Fox · David Thompson	Derek Fox · David Thompson	142	p	7422P2	74	98	76	32d	—	—	+7	16.6	7/1 13%
Rallying second at Sedgefield (3m3f, soft) a month ago but he's now 0-24; others are safer
6	Le Grand Vert b Conor O'Farrell · Micky Hammond	Conor O'Farrell · Micky Hammond	154	tv	-7U372	86	105	88	26d	—	—	-2	22.3	9/4 31%
In this new headgear combination when pushing an in-form rival close at Wetherby
3	Poetry Man ch Jonathon Bewley · George Bewley	Jonathon Bewley · George Bewley	162	p	-4647P	94	99	76	19d	—	—	+6	12.7	11/1 8%
Hasn't looked a natural in either chase run and now goes in cheekpieces
NR	Breakdance Kid ch Sam Coltherd · Stuart Coltherd	Sam Coltherd · Stuart Coltherd	168	—	-P541P	100	104	57	35d	—	—	—	17.7	—
2l winner at Market Rasen and can put a line through last run there (too bad to be true)
NR	Pats Dream b Craig Nichol · Rose Dobbin	Craig Nichol · Rose Dobbin	155	—	699-3U	87	103	68	124d	—	—	—	9.3	—
Not the percentage call but his penultimate effort (on chase debut) offers hope

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Euchan Falls	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Has Troke	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Old Page	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Le Grand Vert	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Poetry Man	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Has Troke

OR: 12.3 Form: 8 Odds: 5.7

3/1

2nd

Euchan Falls

24.5

OR: 10 Form: 6.5 Odds: 8

2/1

3rd

Le Grand Vert

22.3

OR: 9 Form: 6.1 Odds: 7.3

9/4

Breakdance Kid

17.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 5.2 Odds: 0

—

Old Page

16.6

OR: 6 Form: 8 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Poetry Man

12.7

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Pats Dream

9.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Breakdance Kid Top Rated	100	104	57
Has Troke	99	104	97
Poetry Man	94	99	76
Euchan Falls	90	104	94
Pats Dream	87	103	68
Le Grand Vert	86	105	88
Old Page	74	98	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Euchan Falls	18d ago	Fit
Has Troke	21d ago	Fit
Old Page	32d ago	Fit
Le Grand Vert	26d ago	Fit
Poetry Man	19d ago	Fit
Breakdance Kid	35d ago	Fit
Pats Dream	124d ago	Long break

Going: Heavy

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