Virgin Bet Handicap – Ayr · The Final Fence

Ayr

3:50

Virgin Bet Handicap

Date 2024-04-29

Distance 7f50y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (8)	Helter Skelter b Callum Rodriguez · Rebecca Menzies	Callum Rodriguez · Rebecca Menzies	133	—	63-465	73	88	64	2d	—	—	-13	13.8	5/2 29%
Disappointing favourite on Saturday but ran well in valuable handicap two starts ago
6 (3)	Classy Al b Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	129	p	2044-3	69	88	81	8d	—	—	-6	13.5	7/2 22%
Placed over 5f on recent seasonal debut and this C&D suits him well; a player
7 (5)	Phoenix Fire b Brandon Wilkie(5) · Michael Dods	Brandon Wilkie(5) · Michael Dods	129	p	5440-0	69	88	83	27d	—	—	-3	7.6	15/2 12%
Comes here with questions to answer but might be aided by first-time cheekpieces
5 (4)	Cue's Beau b Oisin Orr · Ed Dunlop	Oisin Orr · Ed Dunlop	130	—	21-347	70	93	65	51d	—	—	-1	7.5	9/1 10%
Didn't fire over 1m last month but began handicap career with two fairly good 7f AW runs
2 (1)	William Dewhirst b Andrew Breslin(3) · Ben Haslam	Andrew Breslin(3) · Ben Haslam	134	—	3316-9	74	86	69	57d	—	—	-1	8.7	9/1 10%
Two wins in 2023; made low-key reappearance but is not yet fully exposed
4 (6)	Al Muqdad ch David Nolan · David O'Meara	David Nolan · David O'Meara	131	—	445316	71	89	-	26d	—	—	+6	16.6	15/2 12%
Not yet proven on turf but won on AW last month and could still have more to offer over 7f
1 (7)	Kalganov b Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	135	p	10-544	75	89	74	72d	—	—	0	8.8	9/1 10%
Three wins in 2023 (one over C&D); in fair form on AW at start of year; back from break
9 (9)	End Zone b Jonny Peate(3) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	Jonny Peate(3) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	125	b	4391-7	65	87	80	20d	—	—	+1	4.8	25/1 4%
Held on for narrow C&D win in September; may find younger rivals better handicapped
8 (2)	Iris Dancer b Rowan Scott · Tristan Davidson	Rowan Scott · Tristan Davidson	127	—	1100-0	67	88	80	20d	—	—	+2	5.1	33/1 3%
Best known as a sprinter; ended 2023 with two poor runs and also disappointed this month

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Helter Skelter	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4	2/1
Classy Al	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Phoenix Fire	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2	7/1
Cue's Beau	8/1	9/1	17/2	9/1	8/1
William Dewhirst	8/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	8/1
Al Muqdad	7/1	7/1	13/2	15/2	13/2
Kalganov	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
End Zone	25/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Iris Dancer	33/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Al Muqdad

16.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

2nd

Helter Skelter

13.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

3rd

Classy Al

13.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Kalganov

8.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

William Dewhirst

8.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Phoenix Fire

7.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Cue's Beau

7.5

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Iris Dancer

5.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

End Zone

4.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kalganov Top Rated	75	89	74
William Dewhirst	74	86	69
Helter Skelter	73	88	64
Al Muqdad	71	89	—
Cue's Beau	70	93	65
Classy Al	69	88	81
Phoenix Fire	69	88	83
Iris Dancer	67	88	80
End Zone	65	87	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Helter Skelter	2d ago	Quick return
Classy Al	8d ago	Quick return
Phoenix Fire	27d ago	Fit
Cue's Beau	51d ago	Fresh
William Dewhirst	57d ago	Fresh
Al Muqdad	26d ago	Fit
Kalganov	72d ago	Fresh
End Zone	20d ago	Fit
Iris Dancer	20d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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