William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive "Confined" Handicap (Which Have Won No More Than One Race)

Newmarket

5:15

Date 2024-05-04

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £15,462

Runners 20

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (15)	Christian David b Ryan Moore · Richard Hannon	Ryan Moore · Richard Hannon	136	—	731-33	86	95	79	15d	—	—	+1	12.1	6/1 14%
Ran well under 5lb claimer in both starts this term; Ryan Moore takes over; possibilities
16 (18)	Harry Did b Pierre-Louis Jamin · Harry Eustace	Pierre-Louis Jamin · Harry Eustace	125	—	52-2	75	96	-	28d	—	—	+3	14.6	11/2 15%
Solid efforts on AW the last twice (form has substance); has a turf pedigree; interesting
5 (5)	Key To Cotai ch Tom Marquand · Ed Walker	Tom Marquand · Ed Walker	134	—	4152-2	84	93	70	21d	—	—	+8	15.6	9/1 10%
Close second over C&D on last turf attempt; threatening to win a race of this nature
7 (10)	Purefoy b Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	132	—	972-1	82	93	57	29d	—	—	+12	20.4	8/1 11%
Made all at Lingfield (AW) on handicap/seasonal debut; open to further improvement
8 (16)	Pitney b James Doyle · Hugo Palmer	James Doyle · Hugo Palmer	131	—	231-	81	90	-	163d	—	—	+17	24.3	10/1 9%
Solid record in AW novice events last autumn; the type to make his mark in handicaps
17 (9)	Indivar b Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	124	—	5551-3	74	95	73	18d	—	—	+5	10.6	12/1 8%
Creditable third in C&D handicap at the Craven meeting; place possibilities off same mark
14 (6)	Kodiac Thriller b William Buick · Charles Hills	William Buick · Charles Hills	129	—	50421-	79	91	80	133d	—	—	+17	22.2	14/1 7%
Made all at Lingfield (upped to 7f) last time out; may have more to offer at this distance
9 (2)	Love Billy Boy b Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	131	—	3338-8	81	93	76	16d	—	—	+4	9.1	14/1 7%
Looks exposed now, at least over sprint distances; first crack at 7f
15 (1)	Pedro Valentino gr Richard Kingscote · Clive Cox	Richard Kingscote · Clive Cox	125	—	51-3	75	91	68	29d	—	—	+6	10.6	14/1 7%
Ties in with Purefoy on Lingfield reappearance running; remains of interest
10 (8)	Run Boy Run b Kieran Shoemark · Richard Spencer	Kieran Shoemark · Richard Spencer	130	—	202-17	80	92	77	16d	—	—	+4	8.7	16/1 6%
Ran respectably in 6f handicap at the Craven meeting; has form over 7f
12 (17)	Pressure's On b Rossa Ryan · Ed Dunlop	Rossa Ryan · Ed Dunlop	130	—	3351-2	80	94	73	18d	—	—	+10	13.6	18/1 5%
Two positive performances since upped to 7f, close second at this course latest; respected
4 (13)	Quatre Bras b David Egan · Jane Chapple-Hyam	David Egan · Jane Chapple-Hyam	134	—	3915-9	84	90	64	17d	—	—	+6	9.6	18/1 5%
Drop back in trip/grade looks a plus and he was successful on last 7f attempt
1 (19)	City House b Callum Shepherd · James Fanshawe	Callum Shepherd · James Fanshawe	137	t	4021-9	87	99	74	16d	—	—	+6	10.3	18/1 5%
Never landed a blow here on reappearance but this extra furlong may be needed now
11 (4)	Rockstar Icon ch David Probert · Paul & Oliver Cole	David Probert · Paul & Oliver Cole	130	—	721-	80	88	57	125d	—	—	+18	22	20/1 5%
Lingfield AW success showed he's effective when fresh; interesting on reappearance
13 (3)	Jungle Mac b Charles Bishop · Jack Channon	Charles Bishop · Jack Channon	129	—	322-13	79	93	80	59d	—	—	+5	8.1	22/1 4%
Consistent over 6f; mixed messages in pedigree with regard to this new trip
3 (14)	Royal Zabeel b Neil Callan · Kevin Ryan	Neil Callan · Kevin Ryan	135	—	718-	85	90	74	232d	—	—	+13	16.6	22/1 4%
The form of his Pontefract 2yo win badly lacks depth; bit to prove off this mark
6 (7)	Betties Bay b Joshua Bryan · Georgina Nicholls	Joshua Bryan · Georgina Nicholls	133	—	159-36	83	94	82	58d	—	—	+6	9	25/1 4%
Had wind surgery since last run and drops back in class; could go well
18 (20)	Sugarloaf Lenny b Saffie Osborne · William Knight	Saffie Osborne · William Knight	118	—	0041-	68	91	51	185d	—	—	+13	15.1	33/1 3%
Absent since making all in Class 6 contest on AW six months ago; this is a harder task
19 (12)	Romanee b Sean D Bowen(5) · John Ryan	Sean D Bowen(5) · John Ryan	116	h	75-57	66	88	73	89d	—	—	+3	4.3	66/1 1%
Has the weakest chance on form; gelded since last run and now goes in hood
NR (11)	Mister Mojito b Tyler Heard(3) · T J Kent	Tyler Heard(3) · T J Kent	115	—	90-331	65	93	85	21d	—	—	—	3.8	—
In-form contender; ready winner at Yarmouth most recently; may improve further

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Christian David	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Harry Did	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Key To Cotai	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Purefoy	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Pitney	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Indivar	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Kodiac Thriller	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Love Billy Boy	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Pedro Valentino	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Run Boy Run	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Pressure's On	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Quatre Bras	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
City House	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Rockstar Icon	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Jungle Mac	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Royal Zabeel	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Betties Bay	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Sugarloaf Lenny	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Romanee	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pitney

24.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 14.6 Odds: 1.9

10/1

2nd

Kodiac Thriller

22.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.5

14/1

3rd

Rockstar Icon

OR: 7.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1

20/1

Purefoy

20.4

OR: 8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Royal Zabeel

16.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Key To Cotai

15.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Sugarloaf Lenny

15.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Harry Did

14.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Pressure's On

13.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Christian David

12.1

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Indivar

10.6

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Pedro Valentino

10.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

14/1

City House

10.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Quatre Bras

9.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Love Billy Boy

9.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Betties Bay

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Run Boy Run

8.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Jungle Mac

8.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Romanee

4.3

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Mister Mojito

3.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
City House Top Rated	87	99	74
Christian David	86	95	79
Royal Zabeel	85	90	74
Key To Cotai	84	93	70
Quatre Bras	84	90	64
Betties Bay	83	94	82
Purefoy	82	93	57
Pitney	81	90	—
Love Billy Boy	81	93	76
Run Boy Run	80	92	77
Pressure's On	80	94	73
Rockstar Icon	80	88	57
Kodiac Thriller	79	91	80
Jungle Mac	79	93	80
Harry Did	75	96	—
Pedro Valentino	75	91	68
Indivar	74	95	73
Sugarloaf Lenny	68	91	51
Romanee	66	88	73
Mister Mojito	65	93	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Christian David	15d ago	Fit
Harry Did	28d ago	Fit
Key To Cotai	21d ago	Fit
Purefoy	29d ago	Fit
Pitney	163d ago	Long break
Indivar	18d ago	Fit
Kodiac Thriller	133d ago	Long break
Love Billy Boy	16d ago	Fit
Pedro Valentino	29d ago	Fit
Run Boy Run	16d ago	Fit
Pressure's On	18d ago	Fit
Quatre Bras	17d ago	Fit
City House	16d ago	Fit
Rockstar Icon	125d ago	Long break
Jungle Mac	59d ago	Fresh
Royal Zabeel	232d ago	Long break
Betties Bay	58d ago	Fresh
Sugarloaf Lenny	185d ago	Long break
Romanee	89d ago	Fresh
Mister Mojito	21d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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